Colorado Storm

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Real Colorado Soccer Complex, RCSC Grass ↗ · grass far trip

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.9 for, 3.4 against · 0.30 expected points)

Common opponents: Real Colorado Athletico — we 3–2; they 3–0. Lonestar ATX Red — we 2–2; they 8–0. FC Westlake — we 2–3; they 2–1. FC Dallas Youth — we 1–2; they 2–2. Sting Royal — we 2–2; they 2–2. Albion Hurricanes FC — we 2–1; they 3–0. Challenge SC — we 1–3; they 3–1. Dallas Texans — we 3–0; they 6–1. SOLAR SC — we 1–3; they 3–1. Sting Black — we 0–3; they 2–0. DKSC — we 4–3; they 3–1.

• Respect their attack
  Real Colorado National score 3.2/game — well above the league's 2.0.

  Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

• Hard to break down
  Real Colorado National concede only 0.8/game with 5 clean sheet(s).

  Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

• Finishing wins the tight ones
  Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 vs Sting Black.

  Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

• Underdog — play free, stay organised
  Model gives 6%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.

  Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

• They arrive in form
  Real Colorado National have won 7 straight.

  Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

• Grass field
  Venue listed as "RCSC Grass" at Real Colorado Soccer Complex.

  If the team trains on turf: the ball will be slower and bounce less true. Weight passes harder, favour early crosses in the final third, and bring FG/SG cleats. Warm up on the field, not the track.

• Away game
  Kickoff 01:30 PM at Real Colorado Soccer Complex.

  Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

• What a win does
  Sting Royal sit 7th on 1.33 PPG; we are on 1.27.

  A point moves us above Sting Royal on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

Where we'd sit after the Real Colorado National game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm – Real Colorado National) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 11 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 0–3 loss we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

1. 1st
2. 2nd
3. 3rd
4. 4th
5. 5th <1%
6. 6th 4%
7. 7th 10%
8. 8th 18%
9. 9th 24%
10. 10th 23%
11. 11th 12%
12. 12th 7%
13. 13th 2%
14. 14th <1%
15. 15th
16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 4 remaining known games (max 1.73 PPG if we win out).