Real Colorado Athletico
ECNL Girls · Texas GU15 · 16 teams · Real Colorado (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:30 PM
Real Colorado Soccer Complex, RCSC 1 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.8 for, 3.3 against · 0.25 expected points)
| Season so far | Real Colorado Athletico | FC Dallas Youth |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 16th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-7 | 2-2-1 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals for / game | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 4.1 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 4 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | D W D L W |
| Biggest win | — | 3–0 vs West Side Alliance |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at Real Colorado National | 2–3 vs Real Colorado National |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.42 | +0.46 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.23 | +0.09 |
Common opponents: Colorado Storm — we 0–3; they 2–0. Real Colorado National — we 0–7; they 2–3.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–3 at Colorado Storm, 0–5 at FC Westlake, 0–4 at Lonestar ATX Red, 0–7 at Real Colorado National.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 5%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
West Side Alliance sit 15th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above West Side Alliance on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Real Colorado Athletico – FC Dallas Youth) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
16th— holds | 16th— holds | 16th— holds |
| Win 0.38 PPG |
14th▲ up 2 | 14th▲ up 2 | 15th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.13 PPG |
15th▲ up 1 | 16th— holds | 16th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
16th— holds | 16th— holds | 16th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th <1%
- 12th <1%
- 13th 1%
- 14th 7%
- 15th 22%
- 16th 69%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 1.60 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOLAR SC | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.78) | 45 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | FC Westlake | 2.38 (+2.38) | 2nd (2.25) | 36 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Lonestar ATX Red | 2.38 (+2.38) | 3rd (2.21) | 36 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 4 | Sting Royal | 2.17 (+2.17) | 4th (1.93) | 33 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 5 | Challenge SC | 2.00 (+2.00) | 7th (1.73) | 30 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 6 | Real Colorado National | 1.92 (+1.92) | 5th (1.92) | 29 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 7 | FC Dallas Youth | 1.60 (+1.60) | 8th (1.63) | 24 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 8 | DKSC | 1.50 (+1.50) | 11th (1.19) | 23 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 9 | OK Energy FC | 1.33 (+1.33) | 6th (1.81) | 20 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 10 | Sting Black | 1.33 (+1.33) | 9th (1.28) | 20 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection |
| 11 | Colorado Storm | 1.18 (+1.18) | 10th (1.24) | 18 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 12 | Albion Hurricanes FC | 1.13 (+1.13) | 12th (0.96) | 17 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
| 13 | Colorado Rush | 0.50 (+0.50) | 13th (0.65) | 8 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection |
| 14 | Dallas Texans | 0.14 (+0.14) | 14th (0.55) | A point next game |
| 15 | West Side Alliance | 0.00 (+0.00) | 15th (0.44) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
21 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Real Colorado Athletico to FC Dallas Youth through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
14 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.06 · 5th hardest of 16
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 01:30 PM |
FC Dallas Youth 7th · 2-2-1 · GD +4 |
Home Real Colorado Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.25 | 0.03 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 09:00 AM |
Sting Royal 4th · 4-1-1 · GD +8 |
Home Real Colorado Soccer Complex · grass |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.15 | 0.04 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 09:00 AM |
SOLAR SC 1st · 6-0-0 · GD +23 |
Home Highland Heritage Regional Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–5 | 0.02 | 0.04 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 01:30 PM |
Dallas Texans 14th · 0-1-6 · GD -10 |
Home Real Colorado Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
0–1 | 1.08 | 0.14 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 01:00 PM |
Sting Black 10th · 2-2-2 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Sting National Training Center |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
0–2 | 0.39 | 0.16 | Upside |
| Sun Dec 13 01:00 PM |
DKSC 8th · 3-0-3 · GD -11 |
Away far trip
Clark East Field |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.57 | 0.19 | Upside |
| Sat Feb 6 01:30 PM |
West Side Alliance 15th · 0-0-6 · GD -18 |
Home Real Colorado Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–1 | 1.29 | 0.27 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 7 01:30 PM |
OK Energy FC 9th · 2-2-2 · GD +5 |
Home Real Colorado Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–4 | 0.14 | 0.26 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SOLAR SC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | +23 | 18 | 3.00 | WWWWW | +0.19 | -0.43 | 100% | 1.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sun Nov 8 at Colorado Rush · Sat Nov 21 vs Sting Black See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Westlake | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 19 | 2.38 | WWWLW | -0.34 | +0.15 | 91% | 2.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Lonestar ATX Red · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Royal · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Dallas Youth See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Lonestar ATX Red | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | +13 | 19 | 2.38 | WWWWL | -0.34 | +0.19 | 87% | 3.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Westlake · Sat Nov 7 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sun Nov 8 vs Sting Royal See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Sting Royal | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +8 | 13 | 2.17 | WWWLD | -0.06 | -0.08 | 41% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Colorado Rush · Sun Oct 25 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sat Nov 7 at FC Westlake See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Challenge SC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | +10 | 16 | 2.00 | LLWWD | -0.69 | +0.70 | 12% | 6.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Albion Hurricanes FC · Sat Nov 21 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sun Nov 22 vs Sting Royal See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Real Colorado National | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 23 | 1.92 | LWWWW | -0.04 | -0.39 | 35% | 5.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Colorado Storm · Sat Jan 30 at OK Energy FC · Sun Jan 31 at West Side Alliance See all 3 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | FC Dallas Youth | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 8 | 1.60 | WLDWD | +0.09 | -0.11 | 7% | 7.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sun Oct 25 at Colorado Rush · Sat Nov 7 at Lonestar ATX Red See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | DKSC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 9 | 1.50 | LWLLW | +0.38 | -0.17 | 0% | 10.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Side Alliance · Sun Oct 25 at OK Energy FC · Sat Dec 12 vs Colorado Rush See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | OK Energy FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +5 | 8 | 1.33 | LDWWD | +0.62 | -0.56 | 26% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Black · Sun Oct 25 vs DKSC · Sun Nov 8 vs West Side Alliance See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Sting Black | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 | 1.33 | DWWDL | +0.10 | -0.05 | 0% | 9.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at OK Energy FC · Sun Oct 25 at West Side Alliance · Sat Nov 21 at SOLAR SC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Colorado Storm | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 | 1.18 | WWLDL | +0.14 | -0.44 | 0% | 9.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Real Colorado National · Sat Jan 30 at West Side Alliance · Sun Jan 31 at OK Energy FC See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Albion Hurricanes FC | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 9 | 1.13 | LLLLW | -0.70 | +0.87 | 0% | 11.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Challenge SC · Sat Nov 21 vs Sting Royal · Sun Nov 22 vs FC Dallas Youth See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Colorado Rush | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -15 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLW | +0.10 | +0.03 | 0% | 13.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Royal · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Texans See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Dallas Texans | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 1 | 0.14 | LLLLL | +0.62 | -0.43 | 0% | 13.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at Colorado Rush · Sun Nov 8 at Real Colorado Athletico · Sat Nov 21 vs OK Energy FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | West Side Alliance | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 20 | -18 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.62 | -0.28 | 0% | 14.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs DKSC · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Black · Sun Nov 8 at OK Energy FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Real Colorado Athletico | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 29 | -26 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.23 | +0.06 | 0% | 15.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth · Sun Oct 25 vs Sting Royal · Sat Nov 7 vs SOLAR SC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.78 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.