TableChase Clubs

Sporting SA JAX

ECNL Girls · Southeast GU15 · 16 teams · Sporting SA (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
16th
0-1-8 record · 9 played
0.11 points per game
-27 goal diff · 1–28
LLDLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.8
-0.04 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Mar 13, 01:00 PM

Open the match preview →

Sporting SA JAX
16th · 0.11 PPG
vs
Tampa Bay United
11th · 1.25 PPG

Veterans Park, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.8 for, 2.3 against · 0.50 expected points)

Season so farSporting SA JAXTampa Bay United
Position16th11th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-83-1-4
Points per game0.111.25
Goals for / game0.11.5
Goals against / game3.12.6
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless82
Form (recent first)L L D L LL W D L W
Biggest win—3–1 at Atlanta Fire United
Worst loss0–8 vs Concorde Fire Premier1–7 at Concorde Fire Platinum
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.23-0.79
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.04-0.06

Common opponents: United Futbol Academy — we 0–1; they 1–0. Atlanta Fire United — we 0–5; they 3–1. Concorde Fire Platinum — we 0–2; they 1–7. GSA — we 0–4; they 2–3. CESA Liberty — we 0–2; they 0–1. South Carolina United — we 0–0; they 3–1. Concorde Fire Premier — we 0–8; they 0–6. Alabama FC — we 0–3; they 2–2.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 8 time(s): 0–1 at United Futbol Academy, 0–5 at Atlanta Fire United, 0–2 at Concorde Fire Platinum, 0–4 at GSA, 0–2 vs CESA Liberty, 0–0 vs South Carolina United, 0–8 vs Concorde Fire Premier, 0–3 vs Alabama FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 11%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    South Carolina United sit 15th on 0.13 PPG; we are on 0.11.

    A point moves us above South Carolina United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Tampa Bay United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting SA JAX – Tampa Bay United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Mar 8 – Sun Mar 14); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.10 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Win
0.40 PPG
14th▲ up 2 14th▲ up 2 14th▲ up 2
Draw
0.20 PPG
15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1
Loss
0.10 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
15.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th 2%
  15. 15th 15%
  16. 16th 83%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 1.27 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Florida Kraze Krush 2.67 (+2.56) 1st (2.45) 40 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Concorde Fire Platinum 2.13 (+2.02) 2nd (2.19) 31 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Team Boca 2.13 (+2.02) 4th (2.03) 31 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Concorde Fire Premier 2.00 (+1.89) 3rd (2.08) 29 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Florida Premier FC 2.00 (+1.89) 6th (1.91) 29 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Athletic Club Florida 1.86 (+1.75) 5th (1.98) 27 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 CESA Liberty 1.75 (+1.64) 7th (1.78) 26 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 GSA 1.50 (+1.39) 8th (1.50) 22 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 Seminole United 1.40 (+1.29) 10th (1.18) 20 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
10 Jacksonville FC 1.30 (+1.19) 9th (1.25) 19 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
11 Tampa Bay United 1.25 (+1.14) 12th (1.11) 18 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
12 United Futbol Academy 1.14 (+1.03) 11th (1.18) 17 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
13 Alabama FC 1.00 (+0.89) 13th (1.05) 14 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
14 Atlanta Fire United 0.38 (+0.27) 14th (0.46) A point next game
15 South Carolina United 0.13 (+0.02) 15th (0.34) Already ahead

How the results connect

16 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Sporting SA JAX to Tampa Bay United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
1 even
13 favour them
-1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–2 1–0 0–8 6–0 0–0 1–3 0–1 0–1 0–3 2–2 0–4 3–2 0–2 7–1 0–5 1–3 1–3 2–1 2–7 3–1 2–4 Sporting SA JAX 16th CESA Liberty 7th Concorde Fire Premi… 4th South Carolina Unit… 15th United Futbol Acade… 12th Alabama FC 13th GSA 8th Concorde Fire Plati… 2nd Atlanta Fire United 14th Seminole United 9th Tampa Bay United 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.52 · 2nd hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Mar 13
01:00 PM
Tampa Bay United
11th · 3-1-4 · GD -9
Home
Veterans Park
●●●●● Very tough
11%
0–2 0.50 0.15 Upside
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
Florida Premier FC
5th · 5-1-2 · GD +10
Home
Veterans Park
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–3 0.15 0.15 Upside
Sat Apr 10
09:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
6th · 4-1-2 · GD +12
Home
Veterans Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–3 0.12 0.15 Upside
Sun Apr 11
09:00 AM
Team Boca
3rd · 5-2-1 · GD +11
Home
Veterans Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–3 0.15 0.15 Upside
Sun Apr 18
10:30 AM
Jacksonville FC
10th · 3-4-3 · GD -10
Away
Patton Park · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.44 0.17 Upside
Sat Apr 24
09:00 AM
Florida Kraze Krush
1st · 8-0-1 · GD +21
Away far trip
Central Winds
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–5 0.04 0.16 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Florida Kraze Krush 9801 3211+21 242.67 WWWWL -0.09 -0.09 98% 1.5
2 Concorde Fire Platinum 8521 268+18 172.13 WWDLW +0.08 -0.25 86% 2.9
3 Team Boca 8521 187+11 172.13 WWDWL -0.05 -0.08 53% 4.3
4 Concorde Fire Premier 8512 269+17 162.00 LWWWD -0.03 -0.25 69% 3.7
5 Florida Premier FC 8512 2010+10 162.00 WWLLW -0.06 -0.06 33% 5.2
6 Athletic Club Florida 7412 186+12 131.86 LWLWW -0.04 -0.11 47% 4.6
7 CESA Liberty 8422 115+6 141.75 WWLWW +0.00 -0.11 12% 6.3
8 GSA 8404 1615+1 121.50 WLLLW +0.08 -0.05 1% 8.2
9 Seminole United 10424 1924-5 141.40 WDDWL -0.29 +0.76 0% 10.7
10 Jacksonville FC 10343 1121-10 131.30 WWDDD +0.12 -0.01 0% 10.3
11 Tampa Bay United 8314 1221-9 101.25 WLDWL -0.06 +0.17 0% 11.3
12 United Futbol Academy 7223 89-1 81.14 LLLDW -0.03 +0.13 0% 10.5
13 Alabama FC 8224 1319-6 81.00 LLDDW -0.03 +0.05 0% 11.5
14 Atlanta Fire United 8107 1031-21 30.38 LLLLL +0.14 +0.24 0% 14.4
15 South Carolina United 8017 522-17 10.13 LLDLL +0.00 +0.18 0% 14.8
16 Sporting SA JAX 9018 128-27 10.11 LLDLL -0.04 +0.52 0% 15.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.82 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.