TableChase Clubs

Florida Kraze Krush

ECNL Girls · Southeast GU15 · 16 teams · Florida Kraze Krush (all teams)

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1st
8-0-1 record · 9 played
2.67 points per game
+21 goal diff · 32–11
WWWWLlast 5
98% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.5
-0.09 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Mar 13, 09:00 AM

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Florida Kraze Krush
1st · 2.67 PPG
vs
Team Boca
3rd · 2.13 PPG

Central Winds, Field B ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.6 against · 1.71 expected points)

Season so farFlorida Kraze KrushTeam Boca
Position1st3rd
Record (W-D-L)8-0-15-2-1
Points per game2.672.13
Goals for / game3.62.3
Goals against / game1.20.9
Clean sheets33
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L W W W WL W D W W
Biggest win5–0 at Concorde Fire Premier5–1 at Alabama FC
Worst loss2–3 vs GSA1–2 vs United Futbol Academy
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.63+0.97
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.09-0.05

Common opponents: Concorde Fire Premier — we 5–0; they 1–0. Alabama FC — we 4–2; they 5–1. CESA Liberty — we 2–1; they 1–1. South Carolina United — we 5–1; they 1–0. United Futbol Academy — we 2–1; they 1–2. Atlanta Fire United — we 8–3; they 4–0. Concorde Fire Platinum — we 1–0; they 2–2. GSA — we 2–3; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Team Boca concede only 0.9/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 50% / draw 21% / loss 29%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Team Boca game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Florida Kraze Krush – Team Boca) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Mar 8 – Sun Mar 14); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.70 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
2.70 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.50 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.40 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

72% finish 1st
98% top 4
2% below the top 4
1.5 average finish
  1. 1st 72%
  2. 2nd 16%
  3. 3rd 6%
  4. 4th 3%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

16 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Florida Kraze Krush to Team Boca through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

11 favour us
5 favour them
+0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 2–2 8–3 0–4 2–1 1–1 2–1 2–1 4–2 1–5 2–3 1–3 5–1 0–1 5–0 0–1 3–0 2–0 2–2 0–3 1–1 Florida Kraze Krush 1st Concorde Fire Plati… 2nd Atlanta Fire United 14th CESA Liberty 7th United Futbol Acade… 12th Alabama FC 13th GSA 8th South Carolina Unit… 15th Concorde Fire Premi… 4th Jacksonville FC 10th Team Boca 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.09 · 12th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Mar 13
09:00 AM
Team Boca
3rd · 5-2-1 · GD +11
Home
Central Winds
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.71 2.57 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
6th · 4-1-2 · GD +12
Home
Central Winds
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–1 1.60 2.48 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
02:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
5th · 5-1-2 · GD +10
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–1 1.61 2.41 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
01:00 PM
Tampa Bay United
11th · 3-1-4 · GD -9
Away far trip
Ed Radice Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.53 2.42 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
09:00 AM
Seminole United
9th · 4-2-4 · GD -5
Away
Seminole
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.42 2.42 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
09:00 AM
Sporting SA JAX
16th · 0-1-8 · GD -27
Home
Central Winds
●○○○○ Favorable
98%
5–0 2.94 2.45 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Florida Kraze Krush 9801 3211+21 242.67 WWWWL -0.09 -0.09 98% 1.5
2 Concorde Fire Platinum 8521 268+18 172.13 WWDLW +0.08 -0.25 88% 2.8
3 Team Boca 8521 187+11 172.13 WWDWL -0.05 -0.08 54% 4.3
4 Concorde Fire Premier 8512 269+17 162.00 LWWWD -0.03 -0.25 69% 3.8
5 Florida Premier FC 8512 2010+10 162.00 WWLLW -0.06 -0.06 33% 5.2
6 Athletic Club Florida 7412 186+12 131.86 LWLWW -0.04 -0.11 47% 4.6
7 CESA Liberty 8422 115+6 141.75 WWLWW +0.00 -0.11 11% 6.4
8 GSA 8404 1615+1 121.50 WLLLW +0.08 -0.05 1% 8.2
9 Seminole United 10424 1924-5 141.40 WDDWL -0.29 +0.76 0% 10.7
10 Jacksonville FC 10343 1121-10 131.30 WWDDD +0.12 -0.01 0% 10.3
11 Tampa Bay United 8314 1221-9 101.25 WLDWL -0.06 +0.17 0% 11.3
12 United Futbol Academy 7223 89-1 81.14 LLLDW -0.03 +0.13 0% 10.5
13 Alabama FC 8224 1319-6 81.00 LLDDW -0.03 +0.05 0% 11.5
14 Atlanta Fire United 8107 1031-21 30.38 LLLLL +0.14 +0.24 0% 14.4
15 South Carolina United 8017 522-17 10.13 LLDLL +0.00 +0.18 0% 14.7
16 Sporting SA JAX 9018 128-27 10.11 LLDLL -0.04 +0.52 0% 15.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.82 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.