ECNL Girls · 2026-27 · Mon Sep 14 – Sun Sep 20
Week 5 in Northern Cal GU15: what changed
12 games · 46 goals
Week 5 in Northern Cal GU15 (Sep 14 to Sep 20): 12 games, 46 goals. Santa Rosa United climbed 4 places to 8th. COSC slipped 2 places to 3rd. Bay Area Surf took over at the top from COSC. The biggest upset was Davis Legacy 0–3 Santa Rosa United, a result the model gave a 10% chance.
Results
Mon Sep 14 – Sun Sep 20
Sat Sep 19
- Stanislaus Surf (12th) 1–2 (4th) Placer United
- Marin FC (7th) 1–1 (2nd) Mustang SC
- Force (8th) 0–2 (3rd) MVLA
- San Juan SC (6th) 1–3 (1st) Bay Area Surf
- Santa Rosa United (9th) 1–0 (11th) Pleasanton RAGE
- Davis Legacy (10th) 4–3 (5th) COSC
Sun Sep 20
Movers
table position and finish odds, before and after the week
| Team | Before | After | Change | Top 4 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Rosa United | 12th | 8th | ▲4 | — |
| Bay Area Surf | 4th | 1st | ▲3 | — |
| COSC | 1st | 3rd | ▼2 | — |
| Pleasanton RAGE | 8th | 10th | ▼2 | — |
| Placer United | 3rd | 4th | ▼1 | — |
| Force | 10th | 11th | ▼1 | — |
| Stanislaus Surf | 11th | 12th | ▼1 | — |
Positions are the table re-sorted after the last game of each week. Odds come from the nightly forecast snapshot nearest each end of the week; a dash means no snapshot exists yet.
Upsets
winner's odds under 30%
-
Davis Legacy 0–3 Santa Rosa United 10% likelySun Sep 20 · model favoured Davis Legacy
-
Davis Legacy 4–3 COSC 24% likelySat Sep 19 · model favoured COSC
How likely each result was by today's ratings.