Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 12:00 PM
COSC 2–2 MVLA
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 17% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 17% home, 17% draw, 66% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | COSC | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 6-2-2 | 7-3-0 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 4.9 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W W D D | D W W W D |
| Biggest win | 7–1 at Santa Rosa United | 10–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Bay Area Surf | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.76 | +2.87 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.28 | -0.48 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 2–2 (home for COSC)
Common opponents: Santa Rosa United — COSC 7–1; MVLA 6–0. Stanislaus Surf — COSC 1–0; MVLA 10–0. Marin FC — COSC 2–0; MVLA 9–1. Force — COSC 4–0; MVLA 2–0. Davis Legacy — COSC 3–4; MVLA 4–0. San Juan SC — COSC 2–2; MVLA 3–2. Pleasanton RAGE — COSC 1–0; MVLA 10–0. Placer United — COSC 2–0; MVLA 2–2.
What's at stake
| COSC | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 4th | 2nd |
| Games left | 12 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 51% | 100% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 42% |
| Average finish | 4.6 | 1.8 |
How the results connect
69 chains
10 favour COSC, 53 favour MVLA, 6 even; average margin -3.4 goals toward COSC.
- 0COSC drew with MVLA 2–2
- 0COSC beat Santa Rosa United 7–1 → Santa Rosa United lost to MVLA 0–6
- -1COSC drew with San Juan SC 2–2 → San Juan SC lost to MVLA 2–3
- +2COSC beat Placer United 2–0 → Placer United drew with MVLA 2–2
- +2COSC beat Force 4–0 → Force lost to MVLA 0–2
- -5COSC lost to Davis Legacy 3–4 → Davis Legacy lost to MVLA 0–4
Full picture: COSC · MVLA · Northern Cal GU15 standings