Result · Saturday, Sep 19, 09:00 AM
San Juan SC 1–3 Bay Area Surf
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 46% chance. Pre-match odds were 34% home, 20% draw, 46% away, most likely 1–2.
| Season so far | San Juan SC | Bay Area Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-4 | 6-1-0 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.71 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L L D W | W W W W D |
| Biggest win | 7–0 at Pleasanton RAGE | 7–1 vs Santa Rosa United |
| Worst loss | 1–3 vs Bay Area Surf | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.06 | +1.57 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.01 | +0.01 |
Already met this season: Sep 19 1–3 (home for San Juan SC)
Common opponents: Stanislaus Surf — San Juan SC 4–1; Bay Area Surf 4–1. Santa Rosa United — San Juan SC 4–0; Bay Area Surf 7–1. COSC — San Juan SC 2–2; Bay Area Surf 3–0. Mustang SC — San Juan SC 0–1; Bay Area Surf 2–2. Marin FC — San Juan SC 3–2; Bay Area Surf 2–1.
What's at stake
| San Juan SC | Bay Area Surf | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 6th | 1st |
| Games left | 12 | 15 |
| Chance of top 4 | 37% | 99% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 14% |
| Average finish | 4.9 | 2.6 |
How the results connect
49 chains
16 favour San Juan SC, 24 favour Bay Area Surf, 9 even; average margin -0.4 goals toward San Juan SC.
- -2San Juan SC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–3
- 0San Juan SC beat Marin FC 3–2 → Marin FC lost to Bay Area Surf 1–2
- 0San Juan SC beat Stanislaus Surf 4–1 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Bay Area Surf 1–4
- -1San Juan SC lost to Mustang SC 0–1 → Mustang SC drew with Bay Area Surf 2–2
- -2San Juan SC beat Santa Rosa United 4–0 → Santa Rosa United lost to Bay Area Surf 1–7
- -3San Juan SC drew with COSC 2–2 → COSC lost to Bay Area Surf 0–3
Full picture: San Juan SC · Bay Area Surf · Northern Cal GU15 standings