ECNL Girls · 2026-27 · Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25
Week 10 in Northern Cal GU14: what changed
12 games · 47 goals
Week 10 in Northern Cal GU14 (Oct 19 to Oct 25): 12 games, 47 goals. Pleasanton RAGE climbed 2 places to 9th. Mustang SC slipped 1 place to 3rd. San Juan SC lead on 2.75 points per game. The biggest upset was Santa Rosa United 1–2 Stanislaus Surf, a result the model gave a 16% chance. Next week's game to watch: Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC on Saturday.
Results
Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25
Sat Oct 24
- Santa Rosa United (5th) 1–2 (8th) Stanislaus Surf
- Davis Legacy (10th) 0–4 (1st) San Juan SC
- Bay Area Surf (2nd) 3–2 (4th) MVLA
- Pleasanton RAGE (9th) 4–2 (12th) Force
- Marin FC (7th) 0–2 (6th) Placer United
- Mustang SC (3rd) 3–0 (11th) COSC
Sun Oct 25
Movers
table position and finish odds, before and after the week
| Team | Before | After | Change | Top 4 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasanton RAGE | 11th | 9th | ▲2 | — |
| Bay Area Surf | 3rd | 2nd | ▲1 | — |
| Mustang SC | 2nd | 3rd | ▼1 | — |
| Davis Legacy | 9th | 10th | ▼1 | — |
| COSC | 10th | 11th | ▼1 | — |
Positions are the table re-sorted after the last game of each week. Odds come from the nightly forecast snapshot nearest each end of the week; a dash means no snapshot exists yet.
Upsets
winner's odds under 30%
-
Santa Rosa United 1–2 Stanislaus Surf 16% likelySat Oct 24 · model favoured Santa Rosa United
How likely each result was by today's ratings.
Next week: games that matter
Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1
-
Bay Area Surf (2nd) vs Mustang SC (3rd) Sat Oct 3134% · 22% · 44% — KEY GAME toss-up, neighbours in the table
-
Santa Rosa United (5th) vs San Juan SC (1st) Sat Oct 3113% · 15% · 71% — KEY GAME form check
-
47% · 24% · 29% — KEY GAME toss-up, neighbours in the table
-
Placer United (6th) vs Davis Legacy (10th) Sat Oct 3163% · 20% · 17% — KEY GAME form check
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Marin FC (7th) vs MVLA (4th) Sat Oct 3114% · 15% · 71% — KEY GAME form check