Preview · Saturday, Oct 31, TBD
Bay Area Surf vs Mustang SC
Forecast
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 home, 2.2 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-1 | 7-2-1 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 2.30 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L D | D W L W W |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Marin FC | 6–0 vs Stanislaus Surf |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at San Juan SC | 0–1 at Santa Rosa United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.98 | +1.27 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.17 | -0.05 |
Already met this season: Sep 12 2–2 (away for Bay Area Surf)
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 5–1; Mustang SC 4–0. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–2; Mustang SC 0–1. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–7; Mustang SC 4–3. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 4–0; Mustang SC 6–0. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–1; Mustang SC 3–1.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | Mustang SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 2nd |
| Games left | 15 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 88% | 98% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 5% |
| Average finish | 3.6 | 2.6 |
How the results connect
49 chains
20 favour Bay Area Surf, 20 favour Mustang SC, 9 even; average margin -0.1 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 5–1 → Marin FC lost to Mustang SC 0–4
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–1 → Davis Legacy lost to Mustang SC 1–3
- -2Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 4–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to Mustang SC 0–6
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–2 → Santa Rosa United beat Mustang SC 1–0
- -8Bay Area Surf lost to San Juan SC 0–7 → San Juan SC lost to Mustang SC 3–4
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · Mustang SC · Northern Cal GU14 standings