Preview · Saturday, Oct 24, 09:00 AM
Bay Area Surf vs MVLA
Forecast
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.2 home, 2.5 away)
| Season so far | Bay Area Surf | MVLA |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-1 | 7-1-2 |
| Points per game | 2.29 | 2.20 |
| Goals for / game | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Goals against / game | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W L D | D W L W W |
| Biggest win | 5–1 at Marin FC | 8–0 at Force |
| Worst loss | 0–7 at San Juan SC | 1–3 at San Juan SC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.98 | +1.37 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.17 | -0.24 |
Common opponents: Marin FC — Bay Area Surf 5–1; MVLA 4–1. Santa Rosa United — Bay Area Surf 3–2; MVLA 2–1. Mustang SC — Bay Area Surf 2–2; MVLA 1–2. San Juan SC — Bay Area Surf 0–7; MVLA 1–3. Stanislaus Surf — Bay Area Surf 4–0; MVLA 3–1. Davis Legacy — Bay Area Surf 5–1; MVLA 3–0. COSC — Bay Area Surf 3–0; MVLA 4–2.
What's at stake
| Bay Area Surf | MVLA | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 3rd | 4th |
| Games left | 15 | 11 |
| Chance of top 4 | 89% | 97% |
| Chance of 1st | 1% | 3% |
| Average finish | 3.6 | 2.9 |
How the results connect
62 chains
33 favour Bay Area Surf, 25 favour MVLA, 4 even; average margin -0.1 goals toward Bay Area Surf.
- 0Bay Area Surf beat Santa Rosa United 3–2 → Santa Rosa United lost to MVLA 1–2
- +1Bay Area Surf beat COSC 3–0 → COSC lost to MVLA 2–4
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Davis Legacy 5–1 → Davis Legacy lost to MVLA 0–3
- +1Bay Area Surf drew with Mustang SC 2–2 → Mustang SC beat MVLA 2–1
- +1Bay Area Surf beat Marin FC 5–1 → Marin FC lost to MVLA 1–4
- +2Bay Area Surf beat Stanislaus Surf 4–0 → Stanislaus Surf lost to MVLA 1–3
Full picture: Bay Area Surf · MVLA · Northern Cal GU14 standings