Pipeline SC
ECNL Girls · North Atlantic GU14 · 10 teams · Pipeline SC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:15 AM
Morris Catholic High School, Field 2 Lower ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–5 (expected goals 0.6 for, 5.4 against · 0.04 expected points)
| Season so far | Pipeline SC | Match Fit Surf |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-6 | 3-1-2 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 6.0 | 1.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 6 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | L W L W W |
| Biggest win | — | 7–2 at HEX FC Bucks |
| Worst loss | 0–10 at FC DELCO | 1–4 at Maryland United FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -3.63 | +0.52 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.91 | +0.41 |
Common opponents: Philadelphia Ukranian Nationals — we 0–5; they 2–0. Maryland United FC — we 0–5; they 1–4. FC DELCO — we 0–10; they 0–1. PDA Blue — we 0–6; they 3–2. PDA White — we 0–3; they 1–1.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 6 time(s): 0–5 at Philadelphia Ukranian Nationals, 0–5 vs Maryland United FC, 0–10 at FC DELCO, 0–7 vs Bethesda SC, 0–6 vs PDA Blue, 0–3 vs PDA White.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 1%; a draw (2%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:15 AM at Morris Catholic High School.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
HEX FC Bucks sit 9th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above HEX FC Bucks on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Match Fit Surf game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pipeline SC – Match Fit Surf) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 10th— holds |
| Win 0.43 PPG |
9th▲ up 1 | 9th▲ up 1 | 10th— holds |
| Draw 0.14 PPG |
9th▲ up 1 | 9th▲ up 1 | 10th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 10th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–5 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th <1%
- 9th 8%
- 10th 92%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC DELCO | 2.71 (+2.71) | 1st (2.43) | 49 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Maryland United FC | 2.25 (+2.25) | 2nd (1.92) | 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 3 | PDA White | 2.00 (+2.00) | 5th (1.70) | 36 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 4 | PDA Blue | 1.83 (+1.83) | 3rd (1.91) | 33 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 5 | Bethesda SC | 1.67 (+1.67) | 4th (1.74) | 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 6 | Match Fit Surf | 1.67 (+1.67) | 6th (1.68) | 31 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 7 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 1.50 (+1.50) | 7th (1.36) | 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection |
| 8 | Philadelphia Ukranian Nationals | 0.60 (+0.60) | 8th (1.02) | 11 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
| 9 | HEX FC Bucks | 0.00 (+0.00) | 9th (0.42) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
19 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Pipeline SC to Match Fit Surf through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.14 · 2nd hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 11:15 AM |
Match Fit Surf 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +4 |
Away Morris Catholic High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–5 | 0.04 | 0.01 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 02:15 PM |
HEX FC Bucks 9th · 0-0-5 · GD -19 |
Home Mercy High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
1–2 | 0.75 | 0.10 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 09:00 AM |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 7th · 3-0-3 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
USTC |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
0–3 | 0.15 | 0.10 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 10:30 AM |
Philadelphia Ukranian Nationals 8th · 1-0-4 · GD -1 |
Home Mercy High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.27 | 0.12 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 10:30 AM |
FC DELCO 1st · 6-1-0 · GD +21 |
Home Mercy High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–6 | 0.01 | 0.11 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 27 TBD |
Maryland United FC 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +8 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–5 | 0.03 | 0.10 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Bethesda SC 5th · 3-1-2 · GD +10 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–5 | 0.03 | 0.10 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 09:00 AM |
PDA Blue 4th · 3-2-1 · GD +9 |
Away far trip
PDA Main Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 0% |
0–6 | 0.02 | 0.09 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
PDA White 3rd · 3-1-1 · GD +7 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 1% |
0–5 | 0.04 | 0.09 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 10:30 AM |
Match Fit Surf 6th · 3-1-2 · GD +4 |
Home Notre Dame Prepatory School |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
0–4 | 0.08 | 0.09 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 10:30 AM |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy 7th · 3-0-3 · GD -3 |
Home Mercy High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
0–3 | 0.23 | 0.10 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
HEX FC Bucks 9th · 0-0-5 · GD -19 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 13% |
1–2 | 0.54 | 0.12 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC DELCO | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 6 | +21 | 19 | 2.71 | WWWWW | -0.36 | -0.14 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Philadelphia Ukranian Nationals · Sat Nov 7 at PDA White · Sat Mar 20 at Bethesda SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Maryland United FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | +8 | 9 | 2.25 | WWWL | -0.19 | -0.05 | 77% | 3.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy · Sat Nov 7 at Bethesda SC · Sun Nov 8 vs HEX FC Bucks See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | PDA White | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 10 | 2.00 | DWWLW | -0.98 | +0.22 | 44% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Bethesda SC · Sat Nov 7 vs FC DELCO · Sat Nov 14 at Philadelphia Ukranian Nationals See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | PDA Blue | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 11 | 1.83 | DLWWD | +0.01 | -0.21 | 81% | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs HEX FC Bucks · Sat Nov 7 at Philadelphia Ukranian Nationals · Sat Nov 14 vs Maryland United FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Bethesda SC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 10 | 1.67 | LLWWD | -0.53 | +0.10 | 54% | 4.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PDA White · Sat Oct 31 vs Match Fit Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Maryland United FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Match Fit Surf | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 10 | 1.67 | WWLWL | +0.41 | -0.29 | 40% | 4.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Pipeline SC · Sat Oct 31 at Bethesda SC · Sun Nov 8 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 9 | 1.50 | LWWLW | +0.35 | -0.16 | 5% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Maryland United FC · Sun Nov 8 at Match Fit Surf · Sat Nov 14 vs Pipeline SC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Philadelphia Ukranian Nationals | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | 0.60 | WLLLL | -0.20 | +0.13 | 0% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC DELCO · Sat Oct 31 at HEX FC Bucks · Sat Nov 7 vs PDA Blue See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | HEX FC Bucks | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 22 | -19 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.80 | +0.02 | 0% | 9.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PDA Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs Philadelphia Ukranian Nationals · Sat Nov 7 at Pipeline SC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Pipeline SC | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 36 | -36 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.91 | +0.14 | 0% | 9.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Match Fit Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs HEX FC Bucks · Sat Nov 14 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.97 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.