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DKSC

ECNL Boys · Texas BU13 · 20 teams · DKSC (all teams)

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12th
4-1-5 record · 10 played
1.30 points per game
-8 goal diff · 15–23
LWLWLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.3
+0.34 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 09:00 AM

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DKSC
12th · 1.30 PPG
at
Colorado Storm
4th · 2.33 PPG

Stargate Charter School, Field 1 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.9 for, 2.6 against · 0.49 expected points)

Season so farDKSCColorado Storm
Position12th4th
Record (W-D-L)4-1-54-2-0
Points per game1.302.33
Goals for / game1.52.5
Goals against / game2.30.8
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless40
Form (recent first)L W L W LD W D W W
Biggest win3–0 vs Sting4–0 vs Lonestar ATX Royal
Worst loss0–6 at Lonestar ATX Red—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.51+1.07
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.34+0.17

Common opponents: Tulsa SC — we 3–1; they 1–1. OK Energy FC Academy — we 1–3; they 2–1. Lonestar ATX Royal — we 2–2; they 4–0. Lonestar ATX Red — we 0–6; they 3–2.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Colorado Storm concede only 0.8/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–6 at Lonestar ATX Red, 0–3 at Dallas Texans Academy, 0–4 vs HTX, 0–3 vs FC Dallas Youth Red.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 11%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at Stargate Charter School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Sting sit 11th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.30.

    A point moves us above Sting on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Colorado Storm game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC – Colorado Storm) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.18 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1
Win
1.45 PPG
10th▲ up 2 11th▲ up 1 12th— holds
Draw
1.27 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Loss
1.18 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 13th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 0–2 loss we finish as high as 10th if every rival drops points, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 13%
  11. 11th 24%
  12. 12th 28%
  13. 13th 13%
  14. 14th 4%
  15. 15th 2%
  16. 16th 1%
  17. 17th <1%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th
  20. 20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.11 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Red 2.75 (+1.45) 1st (2.61) 40 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Dallas Texans Academy 2.71 (+1.41) 3rd (2.36) 39 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 HTX 2.43 (+1.13) 2nd (2.45) 34 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Colorado Storm 2.33 (+1.03) 5th (2.10) 32 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
5 OK Energy FC Academy 2.17 (+0.87) 4th (2.32) 29 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 RISE SC 1.86 (+0.56) 8th (1.57) 23 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
7 Lonestar ATX Red 1.78 (+0.48) 6th (1.95) 21 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
8 Albion Hurricanes FC 1.71 (+0.41) 9th (1.56) 20 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
9 Solar SC Academy 1.57 (+0.27) 7th (1.71) 17 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
10 Dallas Texans 1.43 (+0.13) 11th (1.31) A point next game
11 Sting 1.40 (+0.10) 10th (1.56) A point next game

How the results connect

34 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC to Colorado Storm through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us
24 favour them
-2.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–1 1–1 1–3 1–2 2–2 0–4 0–6 2–3 0–4 7–0 0–4 0–3 4–2 1–1 3–0 1–2 2–0 6–1 2–0 3–0 1–2 1–2 DKSC 12th Tulsa SC 13th OK Energy FC Academy 5th Lonestar ATX Royal 14th Lonestar ATX Red 7th HTX 3rd Dallas Texans Acade… 2nd Sting 11th FC Westlake 19th SOLAR SC 15th Solar SC Academy 9th Colorado Storm 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

14 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.39 · 20th hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
10:00 AM
no score posted
Albion Hurricanes FC
8th · 4-0-3 · GD +3
Away far trip
Campbell Road Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.87 1.26 Upside
Sun Oct 4
09:00 AM
no score posted
RISE SC
6th · 4-1-2 · GD +1
Away far trip
South Campus
●●●●○ Tough
25%
1–2 0.94 1.23 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:00 AM
Colorado Storm
4th · 4-2-0 · GD +10
Away far trip
Stargate Charter School
●●●●● Very tough
11%
0–2 0.49 1.18 Upside
Sun Nov 1
01:30 PM
Real Colorado Academy
18th · 0-3-5 · GD -12
Away far trip
Real Colorado Soccer Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
1–1 1.53 1.20 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
TBD
Solar SC Academy
9th · 3-2-2 · GD +4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.72 1.17 Upside
Sun Nov 8
TBD
SOLAR SC
15th · 2-0-5 · GD -11
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.48 1.19 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD
SAFC
16th · 1-1-3 · GD -7
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.74 1.22 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
TBD
San Antonio City SC
17th · 1-1-4 · GD -17
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
2–1 2.22 1.28 Swing game
Sun May 2
TBD
Dallas Texans
10th · 3-1-3 · GD -5
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
1–1 1.52 1.29 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Red 8710 234+19 222.75 WWWWW +0.20 -0.35 98% 1.6
2 Dallas Texans Academy 7610 247+17 192.71 WWWWW -0.11 -0.11 83% 3.2
3 HTX 7520 325+27 172.43 WWWWD -0.13 -0.16 94% 2.5
4 Colorado Storm 6420 155+10 142.33 WWDWD +0.17 -0.19 28% 5.1
5 OK Energy FC Academy 12822 4911+38 262.17 LWWLW -0.12 -0.23 88% 3.4
6 RISE SC 7412 1817+1 131.86 WLDWL -0.24 +0.13 0% 9.0
7 Lonestar ATX Red 9513 2610+16 161.78 WLWLW -0.04 -0.15 8% 6.0
8 Albion Hurricanes FC 7403 1815+3 121.71 WWWLL -0.15 +0.06 0% 9.0
9 Solar SC Academy 7322 2016+4 111.57 LWDWD +0.32 -0.27 1% 7.7
10 Dallas Texans 7313 712-5 101.43 DWLLW +0.12 -0.06 0% 11.3
11 Sting 10424 2013+7 141.40 DLWLW +0.02 -0.16 0% 8.9
12 DKSC 10415 1523-8 131.30 LWLWL +0.34 -0.39 0% 11.3
13 Tulsa SC 11326 1331-18 111.00 LWWDD +0.01 +0.03 0% 14.6
14 Lonestar ATX Royal 9225 822-14 80.89 LWLWL +0.26 -0.15 0% 15.0
15 SOLAR SC 7205 1324-11 60.86 LWLLW +0.02 +0.04 0% 14.6
16 SAFC 5113 815-7 40.80 DLLLW -0.45 +0.21 0% 14.8
17 San Antonio City SC 6114 320-17 40.67 WDLLL +0.11 +0.04 0% 17.3
18 Real Colorado Academy 8035 1022-12 30.38 LLLDL +0.16 -0.05 0% 16.2
19 FC Westlake 8017 529-24 10.13 LLLLL -0.22 +0.34 0% 19.4
20 FC Dallas Youth White 7007 228-26 00.00 LLLLL +0.45 -0.12 0% 19.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.03 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.