Albion Hurricanes FC
ECNL Boys · Texas BU13 · 20 teams · Albion Hurricanes FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 02:00 PM
Bear Branch Sportsfields, Field 7 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.2 for, 4.1 against · 0.25 expected points)
| Season so far | Albion Hurricanes FC | HTX |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-0-3 | 5-2-0 |
| Points per game | 1.71 | 2.43 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 4.6 |
| Goals against / game | 2.1 | 0.7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 5 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W W W | D W W W W |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at SOLAR SC | 10–0 at Tulsa SC |
| Worst loss | 3–4 at Solar SC Academy | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.17 | +2.56 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.15 | -0.13 |
Common opponents: SOLAR SC — we 4–1; they 7–0. Solar SC Academy — we 3–4; they 2–2.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
HTX score 4.6/game — well above the league's 2.0.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Hard to break down
HTX concede only 0.7/game with 5 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 6%; a draw (8%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 02:00 PM at Bear Branch Sportsfields.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Lonestar ATX Red sit 7th on 1.78 PPG; we are on 1.71.A point moves us above Lonestar ATX Red on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the HTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Albion Hurricanes FC – HTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 12 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.50 PPG |
9th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.88 PPG |
6th▲ up 2 | 7th▲ up 1 | 8th— holds |
| Draw 1.63 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 10th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
9th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–4 loss we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th <1%
- 5th 1%
- 6th 4%
- 7th 12%
- 8th 21%
- 9th 24%
- 10th 19%
- 11th 12%
- 12th 5%
- 13th 1%
- 14th <1%
- 15th
- 16th
- 17th
- 18th
- 19th
- 20th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.53 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Dallas Youth Red | 2.75 (+1.04) | 1st (2.61) | 41 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Dallas Texans Academy | 2.71 (+1.00) | 3rd (2.36) | 40 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 3 | HTX | 2.43 (+0.72) | 2nd (2.45) | 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 4 | Colorado Storm | 2.33 (+0.62) | 5th (2.10) | 33 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 5 | OK Energy FC Academy | 2.17 (+0.46) | 4th (2.32) | 30 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 6 | RISE SC | 1.86 (+0.15) | 8th (1.57) | A point next game |
| 7 | Lonestar ATX Red | 1.78 (+0.07) | 6th (1.95) | A point next game |
How the results connect
16 chains · 13 teams
Paths of results that link Albion Hurricanes FC to HTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
14 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.06 · 4th hardest of 20
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3 10:00 AM no score posted |
DKSC 12th · 4-1-5 · GD -8 |
Home Campbell Road Sports Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.95 | 1.74 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 02:00 PM |
HTX 3rd · 5-2-0 · GD +27 |
Away far trip
Bear Branch Sportsfields |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–4 | 0.25 | 1.58 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 01:00 PM |
San Antonio City SC 17th · 1-1-4 · GD -17 |
Away far trip
Specht Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–1 | 2.36 | 1.66 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 11:00 AM |
Tulsa SC 13th · 3-2-6 · GD -18 |
Home Campbell Road Sports Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
3–1 | 2.31 | 1.72 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
OK Energy FC Academy 5th · 8-2-2 · GD +38 |
Home Campbell Road Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.44 | 1.61 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 11:00 AM |
FC Westlake 19th · 0-1-7 · GD -24 |
Away far trip
Onion Creek Soccer Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
3–1 | 2.52 | 1.68 | Bank it |
| Sun Feb 7 09:00 AM |
Colorado Storm 4th · 4-2-0 · GD +10 |
Home Campbell Road Sports Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.94 | 1.63 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 09:00 AM |
Sting 11th · 4-2-4 · GD +7 |
Home Campbell Road Sports Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–2 | 1.28 | 1.60 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 03:00 PM |
FC Dallas Youth Red 1st · 7-1-0 · GD +19 |
Away far trip
Toyota Soccer Center |
●●●●● Very tough | 8% |
0–3 | 0.37 | 1.53 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 11:00 AM |
FC Dallas Youth White 20th · 0-0-7 · GD -26 |
Away far trip
Toyota Soccer Center |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–1 | 2.59 | 1.59 | Bank it |
| Sat May 1 11:00 AM |
Lonestar ATX Red 7th · 5-1-3 · GD +16 |
Away far trip
Round Rock MultiPurpose Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–3 | 0.63 | 1.54 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 09:00 AM |
Lonestar ATX Royal 14th · 2-2-5 · GD -14 |
Away far trip
Round Rock MultiPurpose Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.03 | 1.56 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | FC Dallas Youth Red | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 4 | +19 | 22 | 2.75 | WWWWW | +0.20 | -0.35 | 99% | 1.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Colorado Storm · Sun Oct 25 vs Real Colorado Academy · Sat Nov 7 at San Antonio City SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Dallas Texans Academy | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 19 | 2.71 | WWWWW | -0.11 | -0.11 | 83% | 3.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Tulsa SC · Sun Oct 25 at OK Energy FC Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs Lonestar ATX Royal See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | HTX | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 5 | +27 | 17 | 2.43 | WWWWD | -0.13 | -0.16 | 94% | 2.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 6 vs SAFC · Sun Oct 25 vs Albion Hurricanes FC · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Westlake See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Colorado Storm | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 14 | 2.33 | WWDWD | +0.17 | -0.19 | 29% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth Red · Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth White · Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | OK Energy FC Academy | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 11 | +38 | 26 | 2.17 | LWWLW | -0.12 | -0.23 | 87% | 3.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dallas Texans · Sun Oct 25 vs Dallas Texans Academy · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth White See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | RISE SC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 13 | 1.86 | WLDWL | -0.24 | +0.13 | 0% | 9.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs DKSC · Sat Nov 7 vs OK Energy FC Academy · Sun Nov 8 vs Tulsa SC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Lonestar ATX Red | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 10 | +16 | 16 | 1.78 | WLWLW | -0.04 | -0.15 | 8% | 6.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at SAFC · Sat Oct 24 at Solar SC Academy · Sun Oct 25 at SOLAR SC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Albion Hurricanes FC | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 12 | 1.71 | WWWLL | -0.15 | +0.06 | 0% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs DKSC · Sun Oct 25 at HTX · Sun Nov 1 at San Antonio City SC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Solar SC Academy | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 11 | 1.57 | LWDWD | +0.32 | -0.27 | 1% | 7.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 12 at SAFC · Sun Sep 13 at San Antonio City SC · Sat Oct 24 vs Lonestar ATX Red See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Dallas Texans | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 10 | 1.43 | DWLLW | +0.12 | -0.06 | 0% | 11.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at OK Energy FC Academy · Sun Oct 25 at Tulsa SC · Sat Oct 31 vs Lonestar ATX Red See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Sting | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 13 | +7 | 14 | 1.40 | DLWLW | +0.02 | -0.16 | 0% | 8.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Real Colorado Academy · Sun Nov 1 at Colorado Storm · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR SC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | DKSC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 13 | 1.30 | LWLWL | +0.34 | -0.39 | 0% | 11.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Albion Hurricanes FC · Sun Oct 4 at RISE SC · Sat Oct 31 at Colorado Storm See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Tulsa SC | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 11 | 1.00 | LWWDD | +0.01 | +0.03 | 0% | 14.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dallas Texans Academy · Sun Oct 25 vs Dallas Texans · Sat Nov 7 at Albion Hurricanes FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Lonestar ATX Royal | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 22 | -14 | 8 | 0.89 | LWLWL | +0.26 | -0.15 | 0% | 15.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR SC · Sun Oct 25 at Solar SC Academy · Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans Academy See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | SOLAR SC | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 6 | 0.86 | LWLLW | +0.02 | +0.04 | 0% | 14.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at SAFC · Sat Oct 24 vs Lonestar ATX Royal · Sun Oct 25 vs Lonestar ATX Red See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | SAFC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | 0.80 | DLLLW | -0.45 | +0.21 | 0% | 14.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 6 at HTX · Sat Sep 12 vs Solar SC Academy · Sun Sep 13 vs SOLAR SC See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | San Antonio City SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 20 | -17 | 4 | 0.67 | WDLLL | +0.11 | +0.04 | 0% | 17.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs Solar SC Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs Albion Hurricanes FC · Sat Nov 7 vs FC Dallas Youth Red See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 18 | Real Colorado Academy | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 3 | 0.38 | LLLDL | +0.16 | -0.05 | 0% | 16.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth White · Sun Oct 25 at FC Dallas Youth Red · Sat Oct 31 vs Sting See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 19 | FC Westlake | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 29 | -24 | 1 | 0.13 | LLLLL | -0.22 | +0.34 | 0% | 19.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at HTX · Sat Nov 7 at Dallas Texans Academy · Sun Nov 8 at Dallas Texans See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 20 | FC Dallas Youth White | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 28 | -26 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.45 | -0.12 | 0% | 19.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Real Colorado Academy · Sun Oct 25 vs Colorado Storm · Sun Nov 1 vs OK Energy FC Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.03 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.