ECNL Boys · 2026-27 · Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25
Week 10 in Northern Cal BU18/19: what changed
7 games · 26 goals
Week 10 in Northern Cal BU18/19 (Oct 19 to Oct 25): 7 games, 26 goals. MVLA climbed 3 places to 6th. Placer United slipped 2 places to 5th. San Francisco Elite Academy lead on 2.71 points per game. The biggest upset was Folsom Lake Surf 2–1 Placer United, a result the model gave a 18% chance. Next week's game to watch: Placer United vs Davis Legacy on Sunday.
Results
Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25
Sat Oct 24
- Napa United (7th) 3–3 (9th) Los Gatos United Soccer Club
- Association FC B08/09 (15th) not reported (10th) Santa Clara Sporting
Sun Oct 25
Movers
table position and finish odds, before and after the week
| Team | Before | After | Change | Top 4 odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MVLA | 9th | 6th | ▲3 | — |
| Mustang Soccer | 4th | 2nd | ▲2 | — |
| Placer United | 3rd | 5th | ▼2 | — |
| El Camino FC Salinas | 14th | 12th | ▲2 | — |
| Folsom Lake Surf | 15th | 13th | ▲2 | — |
| COSC | 12th | 14th | ▼2 | — |
| Association FC B08/09 | 13th | 15th | ▼2 | — |
| Davis Legacy | 2nd | 3rd | ▼1 | — |
Positions are the table re-sorted after the last game of each week. Odds come from the nightly forecast snapshot nearest each end of the week; a dash means no snapshot exists yet.
Upsets
winner's odds under 30%
-
Folsom Lake Surf 2–1 Placer United 18% likelySun Oct 25 · model favoured Placer United
How likely each result was by today's ratings.
Next week: games that matter
Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1
-
32% · 25% · 42% — KEY GAME toss-up, zone race on the line
-
26% · 26% · 48% — KEY GAME toss-up, zone race on the line
-
55% · 20% · 25% — KEY GAME form check
-
28% · 22% · 50% — KEY GAME toss-up
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Folsom Lake Surf (13th) vs MVLA (6th) Sun Nov 125% · 27% · 48% — KEY GAME toss-up