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Parkland Soccer Club

ECNL Boys · Florida BU15 · 11 teams · Parkland Soccer Club (all teams)

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9th
2-2-6 record · 10 played
0.80 points per game
-7 goal diff · 12–19
WLDLDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.1
+0.03 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 03:00 PM

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Parkland Soccer Club
9th · 0.80 PPG
vs
Sporting SA JAX
3rd · 2.33 PPG

Terramar Park, Field D ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 2.1 against · 0.82 expected points)

Season so farParkland Soccer ClubSporting SA JAX
Position9th3rd
Record (W-D-L)2-2-67-0-2
Points per game0.802.33
Goals for / game1.22.0
Goals against / game1.91.3
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)D L D L WW W W W W
Biggest win3–2 at AC Florida West3–1 vs Palm Beach United
Worst loss0–2 at Florida Kraze Krush1–3 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.47+0.69
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.03+0.63

Already played this season: Sun Oct 4 1–2 at Sporting SA JAX (L)

Common opponents: Florida Kraze Krush — we 0–2; they 0–2. Fort Lauderdale United FC — we 0–2; they 1–3, 3–1. Palm Beach United — we 1–2; they 3–1, 2–1. Athletic Club Florida — we 1–1; they 2–1. Florida Premier FC — we 2–3; they 2–1. Florida Premier FC South — we 1–1; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 at Florida Kraze Krush, 0–2 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 21%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Sporting SA JAX have won 6 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    Florida Premier FC South sit 8th on 0.83 PPG; we are on 0.80.

    A point moves us above Florida Premier FC South on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sporting SA JAX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Parkland Soccer Club – Sporting SA JAX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.73 PPG
9th— holds 8th▲ up 1 9th— holds
Win
1.00 PPG
7th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 1
Draw
0.82 PPG
9th— holds 8th▲ up 1 9th— holds
Loss
0.73 PPG
9th— holds 8th▲ up 1 9th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–2 loss we finish as high as 8th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 23%
  8. 8th 41%
  9. 9th 32%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 1.90 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Florida Kraze Krush 2.67 (+1.87) 2nd (2.28) 46 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Fort Lauderdale United FC 2.38 (+1.58) 1st (2.29) 40 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Sporting SA JAX 2.33 (+1.53) 3rd (2.15) 39 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Florida Premier FC 2.14 (+1.34) 4th (1.86) 35 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
5 Palm Beach United 2.00 (+1.20) 6th (1.57) 32 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
6 Athletic Club Florida 1.83 (+1.03) 5th (1.76) 29 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
7 Doral Soccer Club 0.88 (+0.08) 7th (1.11) A point next game
8 Florida Premier FC South 0.83 (+0.03) 9th (0.91) A point next game

How the results connect

42 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Parkland Soccer Club to Sporting SA JAX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
6 even
35 favour them
-2.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–2 0–2 3–1 0–2 2–0 1–1 1–2 1–1 1–3 2–3 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–0 2–1 0–3 0–0 Parkland Soccer Club 9th Fort Lauderdale Uni… 2nd Florida Kraze Krush 1st Athletic Club Flori… 6th Florida Premier FC … 8th Florida Premier FC 4th Palm Beach United 5th Space Coast United 10th Sporting SA JAX 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.04 · 6th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
03:00 PM
Sporting SA JAX
3rd · 7-0-2 · GD +6
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.82 0.80 Upside
Sun Nov 1
02:00 PM
Space Coast United
10th · 0-1-8 · GD -19
Home
Terramar Park
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
1–0 2.11 0.91 Swing game
Sun Feb 21
11:00 AM
Florida Kraze Krush
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +10
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
10%
0–1 0.52 0.88 Upside
Sat Feb 27
01:00 PM
Doral Soccer Club
7th · 2-1-5 · GD -7
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●○ Tough
42%
1–1 1.52 0.93 Upside
Sun Feb 28
11:00 AM
AC Florida West
11th · 0-0-5 · GD -24
Home
Terramar Park
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.47 1.03 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
09:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
6th · 3-2-1 · GD +7
Away
Mullins Park · turf
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–1 0.61 1.00 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Palm Beach United
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.81 0.99 Upside
Sat Apr 10
06:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
4th · 5-0-2 · GD +12
Home
Terramar Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–2 0.70 0.98 Upside
Sun Apr 11
01:00 PM
Florida Premier FC South
8th · 1-2-3 · GD -3
Home
Terramar Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
1–1 1.49 1.00 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
09:00 AM
Fort Lauderdale United FC
2nd · 6-1-1 · GD +22
Away far trip
Autonation Field at U School
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.24 0.96 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Florida Kraze Krush 6510 100+10 162.67 WDWWW -0.09 -0.15 98% 2.0
2 Fort Lauderdale United FC 8611 264+22 192.38 WLWDW -0.55 +0.02 99% 1.8
3 Sporting SA JAX 9702 1812+6 212.33 WWWWW +0.63 -0.68 95% 2.7
4 Florida Premier FC 7502 197+12 152.14 LWWWL -0.54 +0.17 62% 4.2
5 Palm Beach United 6402 118+3 122.00 LWLWW -0.40 +0.12 10% 5.6
6 Athletic Club Florida 6321 103+7 111.83 DLWDW -0.53 +0.14 35% 4.8
7 Doral Soccer Club 8215 613-7 70.88 LLWLL +0.61 -0.35 0% 7.5
8 Florida Premier FC South 6123 1114-3 50.83 LDLLD -0.54 +0.30 0% 8.4
9 Parkland Soccer Club 10226 1219-7 80.80 WLDLD +0.03 +0.04 0% 8.1
10 Space Coast United 9018 423-19 10.11 DLLLL +0.65 -0.30 0% 10.2
11 AC Florida West 5005 529-24 00.00 LLLLL +0.55 +0.19 0% 10.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.63 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.