Florida Kraze Krush
ECNL Boys · Florida BU15 · 11 teams · Florida Kraze Krush (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:00 PM
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.4 for, 0.5 against · 2.49 expected points)
| Season so far | Florida Kraze Krush | Florida Premier FC South |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 5-1-0 | 1-2-3 |
| Points per game | 2.67 | 0.83 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W D W | D L L D L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Space Coast United | 7–2 at AC Florida West |
| Worst loss | — | 0–5 vs Florida Premier FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.10 | -0.50 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.09 | -0.54 |
Common opponents: Parkland Soccer Club — we 2–0; they 1–1. Sporting SA JAX — we 2–0; they 1–3. Doral Soccer Club — we 1–0, 1–0; they 0–1. Space Coast United — we 4–0; they 2–2.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at Fort Lauderdale United FC.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 78% chance; likely score 2–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Florida Premier FC South game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Florida Kraze Krush – Florida Premier FC South) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.71 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 2.71 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.43 PPG |
1st— holds | 3rd▼ down 2 | 3rd▼ down 2 |
| Loss 2.29 PPG |
3rd▼ down 2 | 3rd▼ down 2 | 3rd▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 38%
- 2nd 32%
- 3rd 19%
- 4th 8%
- 5th 2%
- 6th <1%
- 7th
- 8th
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
25 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Florida Kraze Krush to Florida Premier FC South through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.15 · 8th hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3 01:00 PM no score posted |
Palm Beach United 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3 |
Away far trip
Gardens North County District Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
1–0 | 1.94 | 2.56 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 10 09:00 AM no score posted |
Florida Premier FC 4th · 5-0-2 · GD +12 |
Home Central Winds |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
1–0 | 1.85 | 2.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 03:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC South 8th · 1-2-3 · GD -3 |
Home Central Winds |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.49 | 2.48 | Bank it |
| Sun Feb 21 11:00 AM |
Parkland Soccer Club 9th · 2-2-6 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Terramar Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
1–0 | 2.26 | 2.45 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 TBD |
Palm Beach United 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
1–0 | 2.13 | 2.43 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 05:00 PM |
Athletic Club Florida 6th · 3-2-1 · GD +7 |
Home Central Winds |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
0–0 | 1.72 | 2.37 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Athletic Club Florida 6th · 3-2-1 · GD +7 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
0–0 | 1.72 | 2.32 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 PM |
AC Florida West 11th · 0-0-5 · GD -24 |
Away far trip
Bayshore Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
3–0 | 2.85 | 2.36 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 12:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC South 8th · 1-2-3 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
2–0 | 2.33 | 2.35 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 10:00 AM |
Space Coast United 10th · 0-1-8 · GD -19 |
Away far trip
SCU - Viera Regional Park Soccer Fields |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
2–0 | 2.57 | 2.37 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 09:00 AM |
AC Florida West 11th · 0-0-5 · GD -24 |
Home Central Winds |
●○○○○ Favorable | 96% |
4–0 | 2.91 | 2.40 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 01:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC 4th · 5-0-2 · GD +12 |
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–0 | 1.65 | 2.36 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 09:00 AM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC 2nd · 6-1-1 · GD +22 |
Home Central Winds |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
0–0 | 1.38 | 2.31 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 10:00 AM |
Sporting SA JAX 3rd · 7-0-2 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Veterans Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
1–0 | 1.76 | 2.28 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Florida Kraze Krush | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | +10 | 16 | 2.67 | WDWWW | -0.09 | -0.15 | 97% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Palm Beach United · Sat Oct 10 vs Florida Premier FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 4 | +22 | 19 | 2.38 | WLWDW | -0.55 | +0.02 | 98% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Palm Beach United · Sun Oct 25 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Sporting SA JAX | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 21 | 2.33 | WWWWW | +0.63 | -0.68 | 95% | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Doral Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at AC Florida West · Sat Oct 31 at Parkland Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Florida Premier FC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 15 | 2.14 | LWWWL | -0.54 | +0.17 | 60% | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sun Nov 1 at Palm Beach United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Palm Beach United | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 12 | 2.00 | LWLWW | -0.40 | +0.12 | 12% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 24 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Athletic Club Florida | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 11 | 1.83 | DLWDW | -0.53 | +0.14 | 37% | 4.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Florida Premier FC South · Sun Oct 25 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Space Coast United See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Doral Soccer Club | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 7 | 0.88 | LLWLL | +0.61 | -0.35 | 0% | 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs AC Florida West · Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sun Oct 25 vs Space Coast United See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Florida Premier FC South | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 5 | 0.83 | LDLLD | -0.54 | +0.30 | 0% | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 25 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Palm Beach United See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Parkland Soccer Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 | 0.80 | WLDLD | +0.03 | +0.04 | 0% | 8.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sun Nov 1 vs Space Coast United · Sun Feb 21 vs Florida Kraze Krush See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Space Coast United | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 1 | 0.11 | DLLLL | +0.65 | -0.30 | 0% | 10.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Florida West · Sun Oct 25 at Doral Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Athletic Club Florida See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | AC Florida West | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 29 | -24 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.55 | +0.19 | 0% | 10.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Doral Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs Space Coast United · Sun Oct 25 vs Sporting SA JAX See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.63 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.