TableChase Clubs

Fort Lauderdale United FC

ECNL Boys · Florida BU15 · 11 teams · Fort Lauderdale United FC (all teams)

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2nd
6-1-1 record · 8 played
2.38 points per game
+22 goal diff · 26–4
WLWDWlast 5
99% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.8
-0.55 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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Fort Lauderdale United FC
2nd · 2.38 PPG
vs
Palm Beach United
5th · 2.00 PPG

Beyond Bancard Stadium, Field 1 ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 2.6 for, 0.9 against · 2.39 expected points)

Season so farFort Lauderdale United FCPalm Beach United
Position2nd5th
Record (W-D-L)6-1-14-0-2
Points per game2.382.00
Goals for / game3.31.8
Goals against / game0.51.3
Clean sheets61
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W D W L WW W L W L
Biggest win6–0 vs Space Coast United3–1 vs Space Coast United
Worst loss1–3 vs Sporting SA JAX1–3 at Sporting SA JAX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.82+0.27
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.55-0.40

Common opponents: Sporting SA JAX — we 3–1, 1–3; they 1–3, 1–2. Space Coast United — we 3–0, 6–0; they 1–0, 3–1. Doral Soccer Club — we 5–0; they 3–1. Parkland Soccer Club — we 2–0; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 vs Florida Kraze Krush.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 75% chance; likely score 2–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Palm Beach United game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fort Lauderdale United FC – Palm Beach United) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.44 PPG
2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1
Win
2.44 PPG
2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1
Draw
2.22 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1
Loss
2.11 PPG
5th▼ down 3 5th▼ down 3 5th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

48% finish 1st
99% top 4
1% below the top 4
1.8 average finish
  1. 1st 48%
  2. 2nd 32%
  3. 3rd 16%
  4. 4th 4%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.75 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Florida Kraze Krush 2.67 (+0.29) 2nd (2.28) 35 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection

How the results connect

28 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Fort Lauderdale United FC to Palm Beach United through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

22 favour us
1 even
5 favour them
+1.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–3 3–1 2–1 2–0 1–2 3–0 1–3 0–1 5–0 1–3 3–1 6–0 0–0 2–0 1–0 Fort Lauderdale Uni… 2nd Sporting SA JAX 3rd Parkland Soccer Club 9th Space Coast United 10th Doral Soccer Club 7th Florida Kraze Krush 1st Palm Beach United 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

17 game days

1st 6th 11th Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 7th hardest of 11

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
Palm Beach United
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3
Home
Beyond Bancard Stadium · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
2–0 2.39 2.38 Bank it
Sun Oct 25
11:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
6th · 3-2-1 · GD +7
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
1–0 1.94 2.33 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
11:00 AM
Florida Premier FC
4th · 5-0-2 · GD +12
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.08 2.31 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
11:00 AM
Florida Premier FC South
8th · 1-2-3 · GD -3
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●○○○○ Favorable
88%
3–0 2.73 2.35 Bank it
Sun Mar 14
09:00 AM
AC Florida West
11th · 0-0-5 · GD -24
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●○○○○ Favorable
99%
7–0 2.98 2.39 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
04:00 PM
Florida Premier FC
4th · 5-0-2 · GD +12
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
1–1 1.84 2.35 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
01:00 PM
Florida Premier FC South
8th · 1-2-3 · GD -3
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–0 2.58 2.37 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Palm Beach United
5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–0 2.19 2.36 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
10:00 AM
Athletic Club Florida
6th · 3-2-1 · GD +7
Away
Nob Hill Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
1–0 1.73 2.32 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
09:00 AM
Doral Soccer Club
7th · 2-1-5 · GD -7
Away far trip
Divine Savior Academy
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
2–0 2.47 2.33 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
09:00 AM
Parkland Soccer Club
9th · 2-2-6 · GD -7
Home
Autonation Field at U School
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
3–0 2.67 2.35 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
09:00 AM
Florida Kraze Krush
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +10
Away far trip
Central Winds
●●●●○ Tough
32%
0–0 1.30 2.29 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Florida Kraze Krush 6510 100+10 162.67 WDWWW -0.09 -0.15 98% 2.0
2 Fort Lauderdale United FC 8611 264+22 192.38 WLWDW -0.55 +0.02 99% 1.8
3 Sporting SA JAX 9702 1812+6 212.33 WWWWW +0.63 -0.68 95% 2.7
4 Florida Premier FC 7502 197+12 152.14 LWWWL -0.54 +0.17 61% 4.2
5 Palm Beach United 6402 118+3 122.00 LWLWW -0.40 +0.12 10% 5.6
6 Athletic Club Florida 6321 103+7 111.83 DLWDW -0.53 +0.14 37% 4.7
7 Doral Soccer Club 8215 613-7 70.88 LLWLL +0.61 -0.35 0% 7.5
8 Florida Premier FC South 6123 1114-3 50.83 LDLLD -0.54 +0.30 0% 8.3
9 Parkland Soccer Club 10226 1219-7 80.80 WLDLD +0.03 +0.04 0% 8.1
10 Space Coast United 9018 423-19 10.11 DLLLL +0.65 -0.30 0% 10.2
11 AC Florida West 5005 529-24 00.00 LLLLL +0.55 +0.19 0% 10.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.63 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.