Athletic Club Florida
ECNL Boys · Florida BU15 · 11 teams · Athletic Club Florida (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM
Autonation Field at U School, Field 1 ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.8 for, 1.6 against · 0.81 expected points)
| Season so far | Athletic Club Florida | Fort Lauderdale United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-2-1 | 6-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 2.38 |
| Goals for / game | 1.7 | 3.3 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W L D | W D W L W |
| Biggest win | 6–0 at AC Florida West | 6–0 vs Space Coast United |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Sporting SA JAX | 1–3 vs Sporting SA JAX |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.68 | +1.82 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.53 | -0.55 |
Common opponents: AC Florida West — we 6–0; they 6–0. Doral Soccer Club — we 0–0; they 5–0. Sporting SA JAX — we 1–2; they 3–1, 1–3. Space Coast United — we 1–0; they 3–0, 6–0. Parkland Soccer Club — we 1–1; they 2–0.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
Fort Lauderdale United FC score 3.2/game — well above the league's 1.6.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Hard to break down
Fort Lauderdale United FC concede only 0.5/game with 6 clean sheet(s).Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.
-
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at Doral Soccer Club.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 19%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Autonation Field at U School.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
-
What a win does
Palm Beach United sit 5th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.83.A win moves us above Palm Beach United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Fort Lauderdale United FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Athletic Club Florida – Fort Lauderdale United FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.57 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
5th▲ up 1 | 5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.71 PPG |
6th— holds | 5th▲ up 1 | 6th— holds |
| Loss 1.57 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 2%
- 3rd 7%
- 4th 27%
- 5th 41%
- 6th 20%
- 7th 1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th <1%
- 10th
- 11th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida Kraze Krush | 2.67 (+0.84) | 2nd (2.28) | 43 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 2 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 2.38 (+0.55) | 1st (2.29) | 37 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 3 | Sporting SA JAX | 2.33 (+0.50) | 3rd (2.15) | 36 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 4 | Florida Premier FC | 2.14 (+0.31) | 4th (1.86) | 32 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 5 | Palm Beach United | 2.00 (+0.17) | 6th (1.57) | Win next game |
How the results connect
29 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Athletic Club Florida to Fort Lauderdale United FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
17 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.14 · 4th hardest of 11
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 17 04:00 PM no score posted |
Florida Premier FC South 8th · 1-2-3 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
1–0 | 2.03 | 1.86 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC 2nd · 6-1-1 · GD +22 |
Away Autonation Field at U School |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
0–1 | 0.81 | 1.73 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 31 11:00 AM |
Space Coast United 10th · 0-1-8 · GD -19 |
Home Tamarac Sports Complex |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
2–0 | 2.55 | 1.82 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 09:00 AM |
Sporting SA JAX 3rd · 7-0-2 · GD +6 |
Home Southeast Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
1–1 | 1.61 | 1.80 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 10:00 AM |
Palm Beach United 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3 |
Home Southeast Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
1–0 | 1.82 | 1.80 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 27 12:00 PM |
AC Florida West 11th · 0-0-5 · GD -24 |
Home Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
4–0 | 2.84 | 1.89 | Bank it |
| Sun Feb 28 11:00 AM |
Doral Soccer Club 7th · 2-1-5 · GD -7 |
Home Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
1–0 | 2.13 | 1.91 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 05:00 PM |
Florida Kraze Krush 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
Central Winds |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
0–0 | 0.93 | 1.84 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
Florida Kraze Krush 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +10 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
0–0 | 0.93 | 1.78 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 09:00 AM |
Parkland Soccer Club 9th · 2-2-6 · GD -7 |
Home Mullins Park · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 66% |
1–0 | 2.18 | 1.80 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 10:00 AM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC 2nd · 6-1-1 · GD +22 |
Home Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
0–1 | 1.00 | 1.75 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC South 8th · 1-2-3 · GD -3 |
Home Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–0 | 2.24 | 1.78 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 11:00 AM |
Florida Premier FC 4th · 5-0-2 · GD +12 |
Home Mullins Park · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.48 | 1.77 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Palm Beach United 5th · 4-0-2 · GD +3 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.60 | 1.76 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Florida Kraze Krush | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | +10 | 16 | 2.67 | WDWWW | -0.09 | -0.15 | 98% | 2.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Palm Beach United · Sat Oct 10 vs Florida Premier FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Fort Lauderdale United FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 4 | +22 | 19 | 2.38 | WLWDW | -0.55 | +0.02 | 99% | 1.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Palm Beach United · Sun Oct 25 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Sporting SA JAX | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 21 | 2.33 | WWWWW | +0.63 | -0.68 | 95% | 2.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Doral Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at AC Florida West · Sat Oct 31 at Parkland Soccer Club See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Florida Premier FC | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 15 | 2.14 | LWWWL | -0.54 | +0.17 | 61% | 4.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 10 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sun Nov 1 at Palm Beach United See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Palm Beach United | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 12 | 2.00 | LWLWW | -0.40 | +0.12 | 10% | 5.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 24 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Florida Premier FC South See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Athletic Club Florida | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 11 | 1.83 | DLWDW | -0.53 | +0.14 | 37% | 4.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Florida Premier FC South · Sun Oct 25 at Fort Lauderdale United FC · Sat Oct 31 vs Space Coast United See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Doral Soccer Club | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 7 | 0.88 | LLWLL | +0.61 | -0.35 | 0% | 7.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs AC Florida West · Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sun Oct 25 vs Space Coast United See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Florida Premier FC South | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 5 | 0.83 | LDLLD | -0.54 | +0.30 | 0% | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Athletic Club Florida · Sun Oct 25 at Florida Kraze Krush · Sat Oct 31 at Palm Beach United See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Parkland Soccer Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 | 0.80 | WLDLD | +0.03 | +0.04 | 0% | 8.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Sporting SA JAX · Sun Nov 1 vs Space Coast United · Sun Feb 21 vs Florida Kraze Krush See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Space Coast United | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 1 | 0.11 | DLLLL | +0.65 | -0.30 | 0% | 10.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at AC Florida West · Sun Oct 25 at Doral Soccer Club · Sat Oct 31 at Athletic Club Florida See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | AC Florida West | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 29 | -24 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.55 | +0.19 | 0% | 10.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Doral Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs Space Coast United · Sun Oct 25 vs Sporting SA JAX See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.63 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.