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FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire

Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U17 · 16 teams · FLYTE SC- Inland Empire (all teams)

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7th
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+9 goal diff · 13–4
LWDWlast 4
65% chance of top 4 · expected finish 4.0
-0.42 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:30 PM

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FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire
7th · 1.75 PPG
at

Aliso Niguel High School, Stadium Field ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.5 for, 1.4 against · 1.41 expected points)

Season so farFLYTE SC Blue- Inland EmpireCalifornia Football Academy
Position7th4th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-12-1-0
Points per game1.752.33
Goals for / game3.31.3
Goals against / game1.00.3
Clean sheets22
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W D W LD W W
Biggest win8–0 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire2–0 at City SC - San Diego
Worst loss2–3 at Inland Surf—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.22+0.64
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.42+0.93

Common opponents: Inland Surf — we 2–3; they 1–0. City SC - San Diego — we 1–1; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    California Football Academy concede only 0.3/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 39%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:30 PM at Aliso Niguel High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC Riverside sit 6th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.75.

    A win moves us above ALBION SC Riverside on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the California Football Academy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire – California Football Academy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.60 PPG
7th— holds 6th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 4
Win
2.00 PPG
4th▲ up 3 5th▲ up 2 6th▲ up 1
Draw
1.60 PPG
7th— holds 6th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 4
Loss
1.40 PPG
8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 13th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

5% finish 1st
65% top 4
35% below the top 4
4.0 average finish
  1. 1st 5%
  2. 2nd 22%
  3. 3rd 20%
  4. 4th 19%
  5. 5th 14%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th 6%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC San Diego 3.00 (+1.25) 5th (1.86) 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
2 Laguna United 3.00 (+1.25) 4th (1.93) 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
3 ALBION SC Santa Ana 2.50 (+0.75) 1st (2.49) 31 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
4 California Football Academy 2.33 (+0.58) 2nd (2.05) 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
5 Inland Surf 2.00 (+0.25) 6th (1.83) Win next game
6 ALBION SC Riverside 2.00 (+0.25) 8th (1.58) Win next game

How the results connect

3 chains · 5 teams

Paths of results that link FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire to California Football Academy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
2 favour them
+1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 0–2 2–3 0–1 8–0 2–1 FLYTE SC Blue- Inla… 7th City SC - San Diego 14th Inland Surf 5th FLYTE SC- Inland Em… 8th California Football… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

6 game days

1st 8th 16th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 20 Oct 11 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 7th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:30 PM
California Football Academy
4th · 2-1-0 · GD +3
Away
Aliso Niguel High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.41 1.68 Upside
Sat Oct 31
03:45 PM
Laguna United
2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +3
Home
San Bernardino Valley College · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.04 1.74 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
02:30 PM
Total Futbol Academy - OC
9th · 1-0-2 · GD +3
Away
Hoover High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.67 1.73 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
04:15 PM
City SC Southwest
13th · 1-0-2 · GD -8
Home
RJRSP
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
4–1 2.68 1.85 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
02:55 PM
BOCA OC
10th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Away
El Rancho Charter School (Track Field)
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.21 1.89 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
ALBION SC San Diego
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.93 1.89 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Santa Ana
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +18
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.72 1.79 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Riverside
6th · 2-0-1 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.09 1.81 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Reds FC
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -9
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
3–0 2.74 1.88 Bank it
Sat May 8
12:00 AM
CITY SC San Marcos
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
80%
3–1 2.52 1.93 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Elite FC
12th · 1-0-2 · GD -5
Home
RJRSP
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.53 1.97 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC San Diego 2200 73+4 63.00 WW -0.99 +0.09 44% 5.0
2 Laguna United 3300 96+3 93.00 WWW +0.07 -0.07 52% 4.6
3 ALBION SC Santa Ana 4310 202+18 102.50 WWDW -0.39 -0.08 99% 1.3
4 California Football Academy 3210 41+3 72.33 WWD +0.93 -0.28 69% 3.8
5 Inland Surf 3201 63+3 62.00 WLW +0.31 -0.16 40% 5.2
6 ALBION SC Riverside 3201 54+1 62.00 WWL -0.12 +0.01 12% 7.3
7 FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 4211 134+9 71.75 LWDW -0.42 +0.02 65% 4.0
8 FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 4202 1013-3 61.50 LWWL -0.02 +0.03 1% 10.0
9 Total Futbol Academy - OC 3102 85+3 31.00 LLW -0.08 -0.05 15% 7.0
10 BOCA OC 3102 711-4 31.00 WLL +0.81 -0.16 2% 9.8
11 CITY SC San Marcos 3102 48-4 31.00 LWL -0.33 +0.13 0% 12.1
12 Elite FC 3102 49-5 31.00 WLL +0.56 -0.09 0% 11.5
13 City SC Southwest 3102 311-8 31.00 LLW +0.01 +0.05 0% 13.2
14 City SC - San Diego 3012 25-3 10.33 LLD +0.50 -0.10 0% 11.3
15 Strikers FC North 3003 08-8 00.00 LLL -0.28 +0.15 0% 15.0
16 Reds FC 3003 09-9 00.00 LLL +0.05 +0.08 0% 15.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.97 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.