ALBION SC Santa Ana
Elite Academy League · Southwest (South) U17 · 16 teams · ALBION SC Santa Ana (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.8 for, 1.1 against · 2.33 expected points)
| Season so far | ALBION SC Santa Ana | ALBION SC Riverside |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-0 | 2-0-1 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 5.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals against / game | 0.5 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W W | L W W |
| Biggest win | 7–0 vs City SC Southwest | 1–0 at Reds FC |
| Worst loss | — | 1–2 at Laguna United |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +2.38 | +0.13 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.39 | -0.12 |
Game plan
-
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 73% chance; likely score 2–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
-
Away game
Kickoff 01:00 PM at Galway Downs.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Riverside game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Santa Ana – ALBION SC Riverside) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.60 PPG |
3rd— holds | 2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds |
| Win 2.60 PPG |
3rd— holds | 2nd▲ up 1 | 3rd— holds |
| Draw 2.20 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 2.00 PPG |
5th▼ down 2 | 5th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 79%
- 2nd 14%
- 3rd 4%
- 4th 2%
- 5th 1%
- 6th <1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
- 14th
- 15th
- 16th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.87 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC San Diego | 3.00 (+0.50) | 5th (1.86) | 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 2 | Laguna United | 3.00 (+0.50) | 4th (1.93) | 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection |
How the results connect
1 chain · 4 teams
Paths of results that link ALBION SC Santa Ana to ALBION SC Riverside through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
6 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.08 · 11th hardest of 16
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 01:00 PM |
ALBION SC Riverside 6th · 2-0-1 · GD +1 |
Away Galway Downs |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
2–1 | 2.33 | 2.47 | Bank it |
| Sat Oct 31 06:30 PM |
FLYTE SC- Inland Empire 8th · 2-0-2 · GD -3 |
Away RJRSP |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
4–1 | 2.69 | 2.50 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 7 07:00 PM |
Reds FC 16th · 0-0-3 · GD -9 |
Away Orange County Great Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 93% |
4–0 | 2.84 | 2.55 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC San Diego 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.21 | 2.51 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 9th · 1-0-2 · GD +3 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
3–1 | 2.24 | 2.48 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
CITY SC San Marcos 11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
3–1 | 2.69 | 2.50 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
City SC - San Diego 14th · 0-1-2 · GD -3 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
3–0 | 2.67 | 2.51 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire 7th · 2-1-1 · GD +9 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–1 | 2.12 | 2.48 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Strikers FC North 15th · 0-0-3 · GD -8 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 95% |
4–0 | 2.89 | 2.51 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM |
Laguna United 2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +3 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
3–1 | 2.31 | 2.50 | Bank it |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Inland Surf 5th · 2-0-1 · GD +3 |
Home Saint Jeanne De Lestonnac School |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
2–1 | 2.34 | 2.49 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC San Diego | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.99 | +0.09 | 44% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at BOCA OC · Sat Oct 31 vs Inland Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Strikers FC North See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Laguna United | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | +0.07 | -0.07 | 52% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Inland Surf · Sat Oct 31 at FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sun Nov 8 at California Football Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | ALBION SC Santa Ana | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 2 | +18 | 10 | 2.50 | WWDW | -0.39 | -0.08 | 99% | 1.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Riverside · Sat Oct 31 at FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sat Nov 7 at Reds FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | California Football Academy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 | 2.33 | WWD | +0.93 | -0.28 | 69% | 3.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire · Sun Nov 1 vs CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Nov 8 vs Laguna United See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Inland Surf | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.31 | -0.16 | 40% | 5.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Laguna United · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Nov 7 vs City SC - San Diego See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | ALBION SC Riverside | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | 2.00 | WWL | -0.12 | +0.01 | 12% | 7.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sun Nov 1 vs City SC - San Diego · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Southwest See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 7 | 1.75 | LWDW | -0.42 | +0.02 | 65% | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at California Football Academy · Sat Oct 31 vs Laguna United · Sat Nov 7 at Total Futbol Academy - OC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | FLYTE SC- Inland Empire | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 6 | 1.50 | LWWL | -0.02 | +0.03 | 1% | 10.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Elite FC · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana · Sat Nov 7 at CITY SC San Marcos See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Total Futbol Academy - OC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | -0.08 | -0.05 | 15% | 7.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at City SC - San Diego · Sun Oct 25 vs Elite FC · Sat Nov 7 vs FLYTE SC Blue- Inland Empire See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | BOCA OC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 | 1.00 | WLL | +0.81 | -0.16 | 2% | 9.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC San Diego · Sat Oct 31 at City SC Southwest · Sat Nov 7 at Elite FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | CITY SC San Marcos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | -0.33 | +0.13 | 0% | 12.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Strikers FC North · Sun Oct 25 at City SC - San Diego · Sun Nov 1 at California Football Academy See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | Elite FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 | 1.00 | WLL | +0.56 | -0.09 | 0% | 11.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FLYTE SC- Inland Empire · Sun Oct 25 at Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sat Nov 7 vs BOCA OC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | City SC Southwest | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | +0.01 | +0.05 | 0% | 13.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Reds FC · Sat Oct 31 vs BOCA OC · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Riverside See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | City SC - San Diego | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | LLD | +0.50 | -0.10 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC · Sun Oct 25 vs CITY SC San Marcos · Sun Nov 1 at ALBION SC Riverside See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15 | Strikers FC North | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | -0.28 | +0.15 | 0% | 15.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at CITY SC San Marcos · Sat Oct 31 vs Reds FC · Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC San Diego See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | Reds FC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.05 | +0.08 | 0% | 15.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at City SC Southwest · Sat Oct 31 at Strikers FC North · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Ana See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.97 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.