ALBION SC Antelope Valley
Elite Academy League · Southwest (North) U16 · 15 teams · ALBION SC Antelope Valley (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:00 PM
The Palmdale Aerospace Academy, Griffin Turf Field ↗ · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.1 for, 2.2 against · 1.84 expected points)
| Season so far | ALBION SC Antelope Valley | Oaks FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-0 | 0-1-1 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals for / game | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Goals against / game | 2.0 | 3.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W | L D |
| Biggest win | 4–3 vs LA Surf LC | — |
| Worst loss | — | 2–4 vs ALBION SC Los Angeles |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.01 | -0.51 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.76 | -0.27 |
Game plan
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Swing game — small margins
Win 56% / draw 17% / loss 28%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
FC Golden State Force sit 5th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 2.00.A point moves us above FC Golden State Force on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Oaks FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Antelope Valley – Oaks FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.33 PPG |
4th▲ up 2 | 4th▲ up 2 | 5th▲ up 1 |
| Win 2.33 PPG |
4th▲ up 2 | 4th▲ up 2 | 5th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.67 PPG |
6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.33 PPG |
8th▼ down 2 | 7th▼ down 1 | 11th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 2%
- 4th 7%
- 5th 10%
- 6th 14%
- 7th 14%
- 8th 14%
- 9th 14%
- 10th 10%
- 11th 7%
- 12th 4%
- 13th 2%
- 14th 1%
- 15th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.86 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ALBION SC Santa Monica | 3.00 (+1.00) | 2nd (2.32) | 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection |
| 2 | Total Futbol Academy | 3.00 (+1.00) | 1st (2.48) | 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 3 | Central Cal Aztecs | 3.00 (+1.00) | 3rd (2.21) | 38 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection |
| 4 | ALBION SC Los Angeles | 2.25 (+0.25) | 5th (1.63) | A point next game |
| 5 | FC Golden State Force | 2.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.62) | A point next game |
How the results connect
1 chain · 4 teams
Paths of results that link ALBION SC Antelope Valley to Oaks FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.15 · 2nd hardest of 15
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 04:00 PM |
Oaks FC 11th · 0-1-1 · GD -2 |
Home The Palmdale Aerospace Academy · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
3–2 | 1.84 | 1.95 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 09:00 AM |
Fram Soccer Club 9th · 1-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away Nansen |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–2 | 1.53 | 1.84 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 01:45 PM |
FC Golden State Force 5th · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Away Bell Gardens High School · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.11 | 1.70 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 12:00 AM |
Los Angeles SC 8th · 1-0-1 · GD -1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.30 | 1.63 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Santa Monica 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +10 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.49 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
AC Brea 7th · 1-0-1 · GD +4 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
2–3 | 1.20 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
Central Cal Aztecs 3rd · 3-0-0 · GD +8 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
2–3 | 0.98 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 12:00 AM |
LAIFC 10th · 1-0-2 · GD -6 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
2–2 | 1.78 | 1.42 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 AM |
LA Surf Futures 14th · 0-0-3 · GD -7 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.23 | 1.50 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy 2nd · 3-0-0 · GD +10 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.49 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Los Angeles 4th · 3-0-1 · GD -1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.30 | 1.40 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
City SC Los Angeles 12th · 0-1-1 · GD -3 |
Away Lawndale High School · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.48 | 1.41 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | ALBION SC Santa Monica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.51 | -0.05 | 95% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LAIFC · Sun Oct 25 vs Oaks FC · Sat Oct 31 at Central Cal Aztecs See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Total Futbol Academy | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | +0.25 | -0.20 | 99% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at City SC Los Angeles · Sat Oct 31 vs LA Surf LC · Sat Nov 7 at LA Surf Futures See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Central Cal Aztecs | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.38 | -0.01 | 91% | 2.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LA Surf LC · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Los Angeles See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Los Angeles | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | -0.14 | +0.07 | 20% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Los Angeles SC · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Golden State Force · Sat Nov 7 at Central Cal Aztecs See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC Golden State Force | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | LWW | -0.45 | +0.09 | 23% | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs LA Surf Futures · Sat Oct 31 at ALBION SC Los Angeles · Sun Nov 1 vs Oaks FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | ALBION SC Antelope Valley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 4 | 2.00 | WD | -0.76 | +0.15 | 10% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Oaks FC · Sat Oct 31 at Fram Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 at FC Golden State Force See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | AC Brea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | +0.31 | -0.08 | 48% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Fram Soccer Club · Sat Nov 7 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sat Nov 21 vs Oaks FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Los Angeles SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | +0.58 | -0.07 | 9% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Los Angeles · Sat Nov 7 vs Oaks FC · Sun Nov 8 at Rangers FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Fram Soccer Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3 | 1.00 | LLW | +0.06 | +0.03 | 1% | 10.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Brea · Sat Oct 31 vs ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sat Mar 6 at FC Golden State Force See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | LAIFC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | 1.00 | WLL | +0.17 | +0.09 | 0% | 11.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sun Nov 1 at City SC Los Angeles · Sat Nov 7 vs Rangers FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Oaks FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | 0.50 | DL | -0.27 | +0.10 | 1% | 10.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at ALBION SC Antelope Valley · Sun Oct 25 at ALBION SC Santa Monica · Sun Nov 1 at FC Golden State Force See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | City SC Los Angeles | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | 0.50 | LD | +0.63 | -0.06 | 2% | 9.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy · Sun Nov 1 vs LAIFC · Sat Nov 7 at LA Surf LC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Rangers FC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 | LLD | +0.36 | -0.07 | 1% | 10.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at LAIFC · Sun Nov 8 vs Los Angeles SC · Sun Nov 22 vs AC Brea See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | LA Surf Futures | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | -0.57 | +0.29 | 0% | 14.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Golden State Force · Sat Nov 7 vs Total Futbol Academy · Sat Mar 6 at Central Cal Aztecs See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | LA Surf LC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.36 | +0.04 | 0% | 13.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Central Cal Aztecs · Sat Oct 31 at Total Futbol Academy · Sat Nov 7 vs City SC Los Angeles See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.51 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.