Skyline SA
Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U12 · 10 teams · Skyline SA (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 10:00 AM
Kennedy Soccer Complex, Field 7 ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.5 for, 1.5 against · 1.97 expected points)
| Season so far | Skyline SA | City SC NOCO |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W | — |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Colorado United | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.75 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.42 | +0.00 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
City SC NOCO average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 60% / draw 19% / loss 22%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the City SC NOCO game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Skyline SA – City SC NOCO) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 49%
- 2nd 19%
- 3rd 12%
- 4th 8%
- 5th 6%
- 6th 3%
- 7th 2%
- 8th 1%
- 9th 1%
- 10th <1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
Position over the season
3 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.16 · 10th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM |
City SC NOCO 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Kennedy Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.97 | 2.49 | Swing game |
| Thu Nov 12 06:30 PM |
ALBION SC Denver 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Aurora Sports Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.69 | 2.22 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 11:00 AM |
Colorado Rush - COS 3rd · 0-1-0 · GD +0 |
Away South - El Pomar Youth Sports Park · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
1–1 | 1.62 | 2.07 | Swing game |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Boulder County 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.69 | 2.00 | Swing game |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
Colorado Elevation FC 10th · 0-0-1 · GD -6 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 73% |
3–1 | 2.34 | 2.05 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 21 11:00 AM |
ALBION SC Denver (1) 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Kennedy Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.97 | 2.04 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 11:00 AM |
Colorado Storm 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Kennedy Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.97 | 2.03 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 11:00 AM |
ALBION SC Boulder County (1) 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Kennedy Soccer Complex |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.97 | 2.03 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skyline SA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 3.00 | W | +0.42 | -0.16 | 87% | 2.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs City SC NOCO · Thu Nov 12 at ALBION SC Denver · Sat Nov 14 at Colorado Rush - COS See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Colorado United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 4 | 1.33 | WLD | -0.16 | +0.00 | 50% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at City SC NOCO · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Denver (1) See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Colorado Rush - COS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 | 1.00 | D | +0.42 | -0.08 | 40% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Skyline SA · Sat Dec 12 vs Colorado Storm · Fri Dec 25 vs ALBION SC Boulder County (1) See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | ALBION SC Boulder County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado United · Sat Nov 7 vs Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Rush - COS See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | ALBION SC Boulder County (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Denver See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | ALBION SC Denver | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Thu Nov 12 vs Skyline SA · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 vs ALBION SC Boulder County (1) See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | ALBION SC Denver (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Storm · Fri Dec 25 vs City SC NOCO See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | City SC NOCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Colorado United · Sun Nov 1 at Skyline SA · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Elevation FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Colorado Storm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Denver (1) · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Colorado Elevation FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.42 | +0.10 | 2% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 at City SC NOCO · Fri Dec 25 vs Skyline SA See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.08 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.