Colorado Storm
Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U12 · 10 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)
Next game — Sat Dec 12, 12:00 PM
South - El Pomar Youth Sports Park, Olin Turf ↗ · turf
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.7 for, 2.0 against · 1.21 expected points)
| Season so far | Colorado Storm | Colorado Rush - COS |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | D |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.42 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Colorado Rush - COS average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 0 of 1.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 33%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at South - El Pomar Youth Sports Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
City SC NOCO sit 8th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above City SC NOCO on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Colorado Rush - COS game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm – Colorado Rush - COS) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Dec 7 – Sun Dec 13); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
4th▲ up 5 | 4th▲ up 5 | 4th▲ up 5 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 7 | 2nd▲ up 7 | 2nd▲ up 7 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
4th▲ up 5 | 4th▲ up 5 | 4th▲ up 5 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
9th— holds | 9th— holds | 9th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 4th if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 6%
- 2nd 9%
- 3rd 11%
- 4th 10%
- 5th 12%
- 6th 12%
- 7th 13%
- 8th 10%
- 9th 12%
- 10th 6%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skyline SA | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.03) | Win next game |
| 2 | Colorado United | 1.33 (+1.33) | 2nd (1.50) | A point next game |
| 3 | Colorado Rush - COS | 1.00 (+1.00) | 3rd (1.44) | A point next game |
| 4 | ALBION SC Boulder County | 0.00 (+0.00) | 4th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 5 | ALBION SC Boulder County (1) | 0.00 (+0.00) | 7th (1.38) | Already ahead |
| 6 | ALBION SC Denver | 0.00 (+0.00) | 5th (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 7 | ALBION SC Denver (1) | 0.00 (+0.00) | 8th (1.38) | Already ahead |
| 8 | City SC NOCO | 0.00 (+0.00) | 9th (1.38) | Already ahead |
Position over the season
3 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.01 · 8th hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Dec 12 12:00 PM |
Colorado Rush - COS 3rd · 0-1-0 · GD +0 |
Away South - El Pomar Youth Sports Park · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
1–1 | 1.21 | 1.21 | Upside |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
Colorado Elevation FC 10th · 0-0-1 · GD -6 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
3–1 | 1.95 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Denver (1) 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.25 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 PM |
Colorado United 2nd · 1-1-1 · GD +3 |
Home Douglas County Fairgrounds |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.31 | 1.43 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 16 12:00 PM |
City SC NOCO 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Douglas County Fairgrounds |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.55 | 1.45 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 01:00 PM |
ALBION SC Denver 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Douglas County Fairgrounds |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.55 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 11:00 AM |
Skyline SA 1st · 1-0-0 · GD +3 |
Away Kennedy Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.84 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 10:00 AM |
ALBION SC Boulder County 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Douglas County Fairgrounds |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 45% |
2–1 | 1.55 | 1.40 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 PM |
ALBION SC Boulder County (1) 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Pleasant View Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.25 | 1.38 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Skyline SA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 3.00 | W | +0.42 | -0.16 | 89% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs City SC NOCO · Thu Nov 12 at ALBION SC Denver · Sat Nov 14 at Colorado Rush - COS See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Colorado United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 4 | 1.33 | WLD | -0.16 | +0.00 | 48% | 4.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at City SC NOCO · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 vs ALBION SC Denver See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Colorado Rush - COS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 | 1.00 | D | +0.42 | -0.08 | 40% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Skyline SA · Sat Dec 12 vs Colorado Storm · Fri Dec 25 vs ALBION SC Boulder County (1) See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Boulder County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado United · Sat Nov 7 vs Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Rush - COS See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | ALBION SC Boulder County (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Boulder County See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | ALBION SC Denver | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Thu Nov 12 vs Skyline SA · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado United · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Rush - COS See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | ALBION SC Denver (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 vs City SC NOCO See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | City SC NOCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Colorado United · Sun Nov 1 at Skyline SA · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Rush - COS See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Colorado Storm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Denver (1) See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Colorado Elevation FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.42 | +0.10 | 2% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 vs ALBION SC Boulder County (1) · Fri Dec 25 vs ALBION SC Denver (1) See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.08 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.