Colorado United
Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U12 · 10 teams · Colorado United (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:30 PM
Loveland Sports Park, Field 1A ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.2 for, 2.0 against · 1.49 expected points)
| Season so far | Colorado United | City SC NOCO |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-1 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.7 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.7 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D L W | — |
| Biggest win | 7–1 vs Colorado Elevation FC | — |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Skyline SA | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.42 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.16 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
City SC NOCO average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Skyline SA.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 43% / draw 20% / loss 37%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 01:30 PM at Loveland Sports Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the City SC NOCO game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado United – City SC NOCO) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.25 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 1.75 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Draw 1.25 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Loss 1.00 PPG |
3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 | 3rd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 7%
- 2nd 14%
- 3rd 15%
- 4th 15%
- 5th 13%
- 6th 12%
- 7th 10%
- 8th 8%
- 9th 5%
- 10th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 2.44 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skyline SA | 3.00 (+1.67) | 1st (2.03) | 23 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
Position over the season
3 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 2nd hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 01:30 PM |
City SC NOCO 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Loveland Sports Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.49 | 1.37 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 10:30 AM |
ALBION SC Boulder County 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Cornerstone Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.79 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Denver (1) 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.49 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Denver 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–1 | 1.79 | 1.51 | Swing game |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 AM |
ALBION SC Boulder County (1) 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.49 | 1.51 | Swing game |
| Fri Dec 25 12:00 PM |
Colorado Storm 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away Douglas County Fairgrounds |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 43% |
2–2 | 1.49 | 1.50 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skyline SA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 3.00 | W | +0.42 | -0.16 | 88% | 2.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs City SC NOCO · Thu Nov 12 at ALBION SC Denver · Sat Nov 14 at Colorado Rush - COS See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Colorado United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 4 | 1.33 | WLD | -0.16 | +0.00 | 51% | 4.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at City SC NOCO · Sun Nov 1 vs ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Denver (1) See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Colorado Rush - COS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 1 | 1.00 | D | +0.42 | -0.08 | 41% | 5.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs Skyline SA · Sat Dec 12 vs Colorado Storm · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | ALBION SC Boulder County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Nov 1 at Colorado United · Sat Nov 7 vs Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 vs Skyline SA See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | ALBION SC Boulder County (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado United See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | ALBION SC Denver | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Thu Nov 12 vs Skyline SA · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Elevation FC See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | ALBION SC Denver (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Fri Dec 25 vs City SC NOCO · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado United · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Denver See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | City SC NOCO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Colorado United · Sun Nov 1 at Skyline SA · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Denver (1) See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Colorado Storm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Dec 12 at Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 at Colorado Elevation FC · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Denver (1) See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Colorado Elevation FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.42 | +0.10 | 1% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at ALBION SC Boulder County · Fri Dec 25 vs Colorado Rush - COS · Fri Dec 25 at ALBION SC Denver See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.08 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.