TableChase Clubs

ALBION SC Boulder County (1)

Elite Academy League · Southwest Desert U12 · 10 teams · ALBION SC Boulder County (all teams)

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5th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
35% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.7
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Fri Dec 25, 12:00 AM

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ALBION SC Boulder County (1)
5th · 0.00 PPG
at

TBD, TBD ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 2.0 for, 2.2 against · 1.25 expected points)

Season so farALBION SC Boulder County (1)ALBION SC Boulder County
Position5th4th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-00-0-0
Points per game0.000.00
Goals for / game0.00.0
Goals against / game0.00.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)——
Biggest win——
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00+0.00

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    ALBION SC Boulder County average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 0 of 0.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 35%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 AM at TBD.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    ALBION SC Boulder County sit 4th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above ALBION SC Boulder County on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Friday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Boulder County game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ALBION SC Boulder County (1) – ALBION SC Boulder County) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 21 other games that week (Mon Dec 21 – Sun Dec 27); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
9th▼ down 4 9th▼ down 4 10th▼ down 5
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 3 2nd▲ up 3 6th▼ down 1
Draw
1.00 PPG
5th— holds 8th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 5
Loss
0.00 PPG
9th▼ down 4 9th▼ down 4 10th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

7% finish 1st
35% top 4
65% below the top 4
5.7 average finish
  1. 1st 7%
  2. 2nd 9%
  3. 3rd 10%
  4. 4th 10%
  5. 5th 11%
  6. 6th 12%
  7. 7th 12%
  8. 8th 13%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 5%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Skyline SA 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.03) Win next game
2 Colorado United 1.33 (+1.33) 2nd (1.50) A point next game
3 Colorado Rush - COS 1.00 (+1.00) 3rd (1.44) A point next game
4 ALBION SC Boulder County 0.00 (+0.00) 4th (1.41) Already ahead

Position over the season

3 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 4th hardest of 10

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Fri Dec 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Boulder County
4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.25 Upside
Fri Dec 25
12:00 AM
Colorado Rush - COS
3rd · 0-1-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.21 1.23 Upside
Fri Dec 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver (1)
7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.34 Swing game
Fri Dec 25
12:00 AM
City SC NOCO
8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.39 Swing game
Fri Dec 25
12:00 AM
Colorado United
2nd · 1-1-1 · GD +3
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.31 1.37 Upside
Fri Dec 25
12:00 AM
ALBION SC Denver
6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
35%
1–2 1.25 1.35 Upside
Fri Dec 25
12:00 AM
Colorado Elevation FC
10th · 0-0-1 · GD -6
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
3–1 1.95 1.44 Swing game
Tue May 25
11:00 AM
Skyline SA
1st · 1-0-0 · GD +3
Away
Kennedy Soccer Complex
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.84 1.36 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
Colorado Storm
9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Home
Pleasant View Soccer Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.55 1.38 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Skyline SA 1100 30+3 33.00 W +0.42 -0.16 88% 2.3
2 Colorado United 3111 85+3 41.33 WLD -0.16 +0.00 50% 4.7
3 Colorado Rush - COS 1010 11+0 11.00 D +0.42 -0.08 40% 5.3
4 ALBION SC Boulder County 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.01 ——
5 ALBION SC Boulder County (1) 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.01 ——
6 ALBION SC Denver 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.01 ——
7 ALBION SC Denver (1) 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.01 ——
8 City SC NOCO 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.01 ——
9 Colorado Storm 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.01 ——
10 Colorado Elevation FC 1001 17-6 00.00 L +0.42 +0.10 2% 9.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.08 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.