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All-IN FC

Elite Academy League · Southeast U17 · 8 teams · All-IN FC (all teams)

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2nd
6-0-2 record · 8 played
2.25 points per game
+19 goal diff · 29–10
WLWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.9
-0.16 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 09:00 AM

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All-IN FC
2nd · 2.25 PPG
vs

Gary Pirkle Park, Field #6 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.0 for, 1.9 against · 1.47 expected points)

Season so farAll-IN FCALBION SC Atlanta Metro
Position2nd1st
Record (W-D-L)6-0-25-2-0
Points per game2.252.43
Goals for / game3.63.4
Goals against / game1.30.9
Clean sheets33
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)W W W L WW W W D W
Biggest win7–0 vs ALBION SC Atlanta6–0 vs ALBION SC Nashville
Worst loss1–4 at UFA Norcross—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.65+1.61
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.16-0.22

Already played this season: Sun Sep 27 0–1 at ALBION SC Atlanta Metro (L)

Common opponents: UFA Gainesville — we 5–1, 4–0; they 1–1. BVBIA Georgia — we 4–3; they 2–2. UFA Norcross — we 1–4; they 3–1. ALBION SC Nashville — we 1–0; they 6–0. Covered Bridge Soccer Club — we 7–1; they 3–0. ALBION SC Atlanta — we 7–0; they 8–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    ALBION SC Atlanta Metro score 3.4/game — well above the league's 2.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    ALBION SC Atlanta Metro concede only 0.9/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at ALBION SC Atlanta Metro.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 42%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    ALBION SC Atlanta Metro have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ALBION SC Atlanta Metro game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (All-IN FC – ALBION SC Atlanta Metro) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 4 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.33 PPG
1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1
Win
2.33 PPG
1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1 1st▲ up 1
Draw
2.11 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1
Loss
2.00 PPG
3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

38% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.9 average finish
  1. 1st 38%
  2. 2nd 39%
  3. 3rd 21%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 2.57 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 ALBION SC Atlanta Metro 2.43 (+0.18) 1st (2.31) 17 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection

How the results connect

48 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link All-IN FC to ALBION SC Atlanta Metro through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

30 favour us
18 favour them
+0.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 7–0 2–8 4–3 2–2 7–1 0–3 4–0 1–1 5–1 1–0 0–6 1–4 1–3 1–5 1–2 2–5 1–2 All-IN FC 2nd ALBION SC Atlanta 6th BVBIA Georgia 7th Covered Bridge Socc… 5th UFA Gainesville 4th ALBION SC Nashville 8th UFA Norcross 3rd ALBION SC Atlanta M… 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 4th 8th Aug 29 Sep 5 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.35 · 8th hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
09:00 AM
ALBION SC Atlanta Metro
1st · 5-2-0 · GD +18
Home
Gary Pirkle Park
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–1 1.47 2.16 Upside
Sun Nov 8
01:00 PM
Covered Bridge Soccer Club
5th · 3-0-5 · GD -9
Away
Joe Cowan Park
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.44 2.19 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
02:00 PM
UFA Norcross
3rd · 5-0-2 · GD +12
Home
Gary Pirkle Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–1 1.82 2.16 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM
ALBION SC Atlanta
6th · 2-1-6 · GD -27
Away
North Mount Carmel Park
●○○○○ Favorable
92%
4–1 2.81 2.21 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
08:00 AM
ALBION SC Nashville
8th · 1-0-6 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–0 2.60 2.24 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 PM
BVBIA Georgia
7th · 1-2-4 · GD -7
Away
Friendly City Park
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.43 2.26 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 ALBION SC Atlanta Metro 7520 246+18 172.43 WDWWW -0.22 -0.21 100% 1.8
2 All-IN FC 8602 2910+19 182.25 WLWWW -0.16 -0.35 100% 1.9
3 UFA Norcross 7502 2311+12 152.14 LWWWW -0.06 -0.23 100% 2.6
4 UFA Gainesville 9513 2518+7 161.78 LWLWW -0.05 -0.18 98% 3.8
5 Covered Bridge Soccer Club 8305 1524-9 91.13 WWLLL +0.29 -0.06 2% 5.2
6 ALBION SC Atlanta 9216 1138-27 70.78 LLWDL +0.06 +0.87 0% 7.3
7 BVBIA Georgia 7124 1219-7 50.71 WLLDL -0.08 +0.26 0% 6.2
8 ALBION SC Nashville 7106 720-13 30.43 LLLLL -0.09 +0.49 0% 7.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.24 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.