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Sting Soccer Club - ID

Elite Academy League · PACNW U15 · 17 teams · Sting Soccer Club - ID (all teams)

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15th
0-0-0 record · 0 played
0.00 points per game
+0 goal diff · 0–0
last 0
5% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.4
+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 11:00 AM

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Sting Soccer Club - ID
15th · 0.00 PPG
vs

HUB Sports Complex, HUB Field #2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.8 for, 2.3 against · 1.07 expected points)

Season so farSting Soccer Club - IDWestern WA Surf Academy White
Position15th6th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-03-1-1
Points per game0.002.00
Goals for / game0.02.8
Goals against / game0.01.2
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)—W W D L W
Biggest win—6–1 at ALBION SC Washington
Worst loss—1–3 vs Seattle Celtic
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.00+0.83
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.00-0.88

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 29%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Mt. Rainier sit 14th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Mt. Rainier on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Western WA Surf Academy White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Soccer Club - ID – Western WA Surf Academy White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
15th— holds 16th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 2
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd▲ up 13 2nd▲ up 13 2nd▲ up 13
Draw
1.00 PPG
11th▲ up 4 11th▲ up 4 13th▲ up 2
Loss
0.00 PPG
15th— holds 16th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
5% top 4
95% below the top 4
9.4 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 5%
  7. 7th 7%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 13%
  10. 10th 18%
  11. 11th 24%
  12. 12th 12%
  13. 13th 3%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Washington East Surf Columbia Basin 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.50) Win next game
2 Harbor SC 2.25 (+2.25) 7th (1.73) A point next game
3 Sparta Tacoma 2.17 (+2.17) 3rd (2.24) A point next game
4 ALBION SC Hawaii 2.17 (+2.17) 2nd (2.25) A point next game
5 Emerald City FC 2.17 (+2.17) 5th (1.92) A point next game
6 Western WA Surf Academy White 2.00 (+2.00) 6th (1.78) A point next game
7 Warriors Sports Academy 2.00 (+2.00) 9th (1.63) A point next game
8 BVBIA Washington 1.67 (+1.67) 4th (1.93) A point next game
9 Everett FC 1.50 (+1.50) 8th (1.65) A point next game
10 Seattle Celtic 1.33 (+1.33) 10th (1.61) A point next game
11 Atletico Rojo 1.00 (+1.00) 12th (1.12) A point next game
12 Western WA Surf Academy Blue 1.00 (+1.00) 13th (0.81) A point next game
13 Valencia CF Academy - Seattle 0.60 (+0.60) 16th (0.52) Already ahead
14 Mt. Rainier 0.50 (+0.50) 15th (0.55) Already ahead

Position over the season

17 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.07 · 10th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
Western WA Surf Academy White
6th · 3-1-1 · GD +8
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.07 1.07 Upside
Sat Nov 14
05:00 PM
BVBIA Washington
8th · 3-1-2 · GD +3
Away
Robinswood Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.89 0.98 Upside
Sat Nov 21
11:00 AM
Mt. Rainier
14th · 1-0-5 · GD -12
Home
Real Life Ministries
●●○○○ Lean win
73%
2–0 2.35 1.44 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
11:00 AM
Emerald City FC
5th · 4-1-1 · GD +7
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–1 1.05 1.34 Upside
Sun Dec 13
03:00 PM
Valencia CF Academy - Seattle
13th · 1-0-4 · GD -19
Home
Real Life Ministries
●○○○○ Favorable
83%
3–0 2.59 1.59 Bank it
Sat Jan 9
02:00 PM
Atletico Rojo
11th · 2-1-4 · GD -6
Away
Sirius Sports Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.58 1.59 Swing game
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM
Harbor SC
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.08 1.52 Upside
Sat Jan 23
12:00 AM
Western WA Surf Academy Blue
12th · 2-0-4 · GD -15
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
65%
2–1 2.14 1.59 Swing game
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
Seattle Celtic
10th · 2-2-2 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.10 1.54 Upside
Sat Jan 30
03:00 PM
Sparta Tacoma
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +20
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
17%
2–3 0.65 1.45 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 PM
Highline Premier FC
16th · 0-0-4 · GD -9
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.31 1.53 Bank it
Sat Feb 6
12:00 AM
Warriors Sports Academy
7th · 2-0-1 · GD +3
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.10 1.49 Upside
Sat Feb 13
12:00 AM
Washington East Surf Columbia Basin
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +16
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.38 1.41 Upside
Sat Feb 20
12:00 PM
Everett FC
9th · 2-0-2 · GD +4
Home
Real Life Ministries
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.28 1.40 Upside
Sun Feb 21
11:00 AM
ALBION SC Washington
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -14
Home
HUB Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
3–1 2.43 1.47 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Washington East Surf Columbia Basin 4400 204+16 123.00 WWWW -0.46 -0.12 97% 1.6
2 Harbor SC 4301 107+3 92.25 LWWW -0.55 +0.07 13% 7.4
3 Sparta Tacoma 6411 3111+20 132.17 WWWWL -0.19 -0.11 85% 3.0
4 ALBION SC Hawaii 6411 165+11 132.17 WWWDL -0.06 -0.95 89% 2.8
5 Emerald City FC 6411 103+7 132.17 WLWWW -0.48 +0.09 35% 5.7
6 Western WA Surf Academy White 5311 146+8 102.00 WLDWW -0.88 +0.34 19% 6.7
7 Warriors Sports Academy 3201 85+3 62.00 WWL -0.68 +0.08 8% 8.2
8 BVBIA Washington 6312 1310+3 101.67 LLWDW +1.20 -0.76 34% 5.5
9 Everett FC 4202 128+4 61.50 LWLW -0.34 -0.02 9% 7.9
10 Seattle Celtic 6222 1414+0 81.33 WDLDW +0.63 -0.44 5% 8.3
11 Atletico Rojo 7214 915-6 71.00 WLDLL +0.24 -0.12 0% 11.8
12 Western WA Surf Academy Blue 6204 419-15 61.00 WLLWL +0.32 -0.04 0% 13.5
13 Valencia CF Academy - Seattle 5104 221-19 30.60 LLLLW +0.40 -0.00 0% 15.5
14 Mt. Rainier 6105 214-12 30.50 LLWLL -0.23 +0.29 0% 15.1
15 Sting Soccer Club - ID 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.07 ——
16 Highline Premier FC 4004 312-9 00.00 LLLL -0.49 +0.20 0% 15.4
17 ALBION SC Washington 4004 216-14 00.00 LLLL +0.68 -0.08 0% 15.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.10 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.