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Ohio Galaxies FC BSA Celtic White

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Ohio Valley GU12 (2014-2015) · 6 teams · Ohio Galaxies FC (all teams)

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5th
0-4-3 record · 7 played
0.57 points per game
-4 goal diff · 10–14
DDDLDlast 5
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.0
+0.08 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 01:30 PM

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Ohio Galaxies FC BSA Celtic White
5th · 0.57 PPG
at
Columbus Force Pre
1st · 2.14 PPG

Havener Park, HP 04 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–3 (expected goals 0.8 for, 3.0 against · 0.32 expected points)

Season so farOhio Galaxies FC BSA Celtic WhiteColumbus Force Pre
Position5th1st
Record (W-D-L)0-4-34-3-0
Points per game0.572.14
Goals for / game1.43.6
Goals against / game2.00.6
Clean sheets14
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)D L D D DW W W D D
Biggest win—8–1 vs Sporting Columbus
Worst loss1–3 vs FC Pride Elite Pre—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.37+1.91
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.08-0.75

Already played this season: Sun Sep 13 1–1 vs Columbus Force Pre (D)

Common opponents: FC Pride Elite Pre — we 1–3, 1–2; they 0–0, 2–0. Sporting Columbus — we 3–4; they 2–2, 8–1. Lakota FC Black — we 0–0; they 7–0, 5–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Columbus Force Pre score 3.6/game — well above the league's 2.2.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Columbus Force Pre concede only 0.6/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at Lakota FC Black.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 7%; a draw (12%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Columbus Force Pre have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:30 PM at Havener Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Columbus Force Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Ohio Galaxies FC BSA Celtic White – Columbus Force Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.50 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Win
0.88 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
0.63 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds
Loss
0.50 PPG		 5th— holds 5th— holds 5th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–3 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
5.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 96%
  6. 6th 3%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 1.30 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Columbus Force Pre 2.14 (+1.57) 1st (2.20) 18 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Sporting Columbus 1.83 (+1.26) 2nd (2.01) 15 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Indy Eleven Pre 1.71 (+1.14) 3rd (1.60) 14 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 FC Pride Elite Pre 1.43 (+0.86) 4th (1.38) 11 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule

How the results connect

39 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Ohio Galaxies FC BSA Celtic White to Columbus Force Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
5 even
27 favour them
-3.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 1–2 0–0 3–4 2–2 1–3 0–2 0–0 0–5 0–7 1–8 2–2 4–4 2–0 2–2 Ohio Galaxies FC BS… 5th FC Pride Elite Pre 4th Sporting Columbus 2nd Lakota FC Black 6th Indy Eleven Pre 3rd Columbus Force Pre 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

15 game days

1st 3rd 6th Aug 22 Aug 30 Sep 13 Sep 20 Oct 17 Oct 22

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.06 · 4th hardest of 6

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 31
01:30 PM		 Columbus Force Pre
1st · 4-3-0 · GD +21		 Away far trip
Havener Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 0–3 0.32 0.54 Upside
Sat Oct 31
10:30 AM		 Sporting Columbus
2nd · 3-2-1 · GD +4		 Away far trip
Thompson Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 2–3 0.76 0.57 Upside
Sun Nov 1
12:30 PM		 Lakota FC Black
6th · 0-1-5 · GD -23		 Home
John Ankeney Soccer Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
77%		 2–0 2.44 0.75 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Columbus Force Pre 7430 254+21 152.14 DDWWW -0.75 +0.21 100% 1.2
2 Sporting Columbus 6321 2521+4 111.83 DDLWW +0.32 -0.88 100% 1.9
3 Indy Eleven Pre 7331 2014+6 121.71 WDLDW -0.37 +0.49 100% 3.1
4 FC Pride Elite Pre 7313 711-4 101.43 DLLWL +0.25 -0.37 98% 3.8
5 Ohio Galaxies FC BSA Celtic White 7043 1014-4 40.57 DDDLD +0.08 +0.06 2% 5.0
6 Lakota FC Black 6015 124-23 10.17 DLLLL +0.79 +0.08 0% 6.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.