Cleveland Force Pre- White

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Ohio Valley GU11 (2015-2016) · 9 teams · Cleveland Force SC (all teams)

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8th

1-2-4 record · 7 played

0.71 points per game

-13 goal diff · 6–19

DLLWDlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.0

-0.12 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 01:00 PM

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Cleveland Force Pre- White
8th · 0.71 PPG

GTFC Impact Pre
2nd · 2.25 PPG

Rossford Soccer Center Dome, Indoor Turf 9v9 (1) ↗ · turf far trip

4% 90%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.0 for, 4.4 against · 0.17 expected points)

Season so far	Cleveland Force Pre- White	GTFC Impact Pre
Position	8th	2nd
Record (W-D-L)	1-2-4	3-0-1
Points per game	0.71	2.25
Goals for / game	0.9	4.5
Goals against / game	2.7	1.5
Clean sheets	1	1
Held scoreless	4	1
Form (recent first)	D W L L D	W L W W
Biggest win	3–1 vs WNY Flash Pre	8–1 vs Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin
Worst loss	0–5 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre	0–3 vs Internationals SC Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-1.31	+1.66
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.12	+0.17

Common opponents: Internationals SC Pre — we 1–3; they 0–3. Kings Hammer SC Barcelona — we 0–3; they 5–0. Cleveland Force Pre- Blue — we 0–5; they 5–2. Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin — we 2–2; they 8–1.

Game plan

Respect their attack
GTFC Impact Pre score 4.5/game — well above the league's 2.2.
Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 4 time(s): 0–5 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre, 0–0 vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre, 0–3 vs Kings Hammer SC Barcelona, 0–5 at Cleveland Force Pre- Blue.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 4%; a draw (6%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 01:00 PM at Rossford Soccer Center Dome.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre sit 7th on 0.83 PPG; we are on 0.71.
A point moves us above Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the GTFC Impact Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Cleveland Force Pre- White – GTFC Impact Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.63 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	8th— holds
Win 1.00 PPG	7th▲ up 1	7th▲ up 1	7th▲ up 1
Draw 0.75 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	8th— holds
Loss 0.63 PPG	8th— holds	8th— holds	8th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

8.0 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th 1%
8th 98%
9th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 1.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre	2.33 (+1.62)	1st (2.32)	14 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	GTFC Impact Pre	2.25 (+1.54)	2nd (2.25)	13 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3	Internationals SC Pre	1.88 (+1.17)	3rd (1.88)	11 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue	1.75 (+1.04)	4th (1.75)	9 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5	Kings Hammer SC Barcelona	1.43 (+0.72)	5th (1.56)	7 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6	Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin	1.13 (+0.42)	6th (1.13)	5 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 4 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre	0.83 (+0.12)	7th (1.00)	A point next game

How the results connect

27 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Cleveland Force Pre- White to GTFC Impact Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us

1 even

21 favour them

-5.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +1.66 · 1st hardest of 6

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Nov 1 01:00 PM	GTFC Impact Pre 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +12	Away far trip Rossford Soccer Center Dome · turf	●●●●● Very tough	4%	1–4	0.17	0.65	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre

+15

2.33

DWWWD

-0.17

-0.29

100%

1.4

D	Sat Oct 3	vs	Kings Hammer SC Barcelona (5th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (7th)	3–1
W	Sun Aug 30	at	Internationals SC Pre (3rd)	6–0
W	Sun Aug 30	vs	Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin (6th)	4–2
D	Sat Aug 29	at	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue (4th)	1–1
W	Sat Aug 29	at	Cleveland Force Pre- White (8th)	5–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs WNY Flash Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs GTFC Impact Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	WNY Flash Pre (9th)	4–0	95%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	GTFC Impact Pre (2nd)	2–2	50%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

GTFC Impact Pre

+12

2.25

WWLW

+0.17

-0.60

99%

1.6

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin (6th)	8–1
L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Internationals SC Pre (3rd)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue (4th)	5–2
W	Sat Aug 22	at	Kings Hammer SC Barcelona (5th)	5–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at WNY Flash Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre · Sun Oct 25 at Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	WNY Flash Pre (9th)	5–1	93%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (7th)	3–1	71%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (1st)	2–2	31%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Cleveland Force Pre- White (8th)	4–1	90%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Internationals SC Pre

1.88

LWLWL

-0.06

—

100%

3.0

Cleveland Force Pre- Blue

1.75

WWLDW

-0.15

—

100%

4.0

Kings Hammer SC Barcelona

-3

1.43

LDLWW

+0.31

-2.25

5.0

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Internationals SC Pre (3rd)	2–0
W	Wed Oct 7	vs	Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin (6th)	3–2
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (7th)	0–3
D	Sat Oct 3	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (1st)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 6	at	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue (4th)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 6	at	Cleveland Force Pre- White (8th)	3–0
L	Sat Aug 22	vs	GTFC Impact Pre (2nd)	0–5

Next: Mon Jan 1 vs WNY Flash Pre See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Mon Jan 1 (no score yet)	vs	WNY Flash Pre (9th)	3–1	78%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin

-3

1.13

DDLWL

+0.01

—

6.2

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre

-5

0.83

LDLWD

+0.15

-0.29

6.8

D	Sun Oct 4	at	Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin (6th)	3–3
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Kings Hammer SC Barcelona (5th)	3–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (1st)	1–3
D	Sun Aug 30	at	Cleveland Force Pre- White (8th)	0–0
L	Sun Aug 30	at	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue (4th)	0–5
L	Sat Aug 29	at	Internationals SC Pre (3rd)	3–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs GTFC Impact Pre · Sun Oct 25 vs WNY Flash Pre See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	GTFC Impact Pre (2nd)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	WNY Flash Pre (9th)	3–1	77%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Cleveland Force Pre- White

-13

0.71

DLLWD

-0.12

+1.66

8.0

D	Sun Oct 4	vs	Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin (6th)	2–2
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	WNY Flash Pre (9th)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue (4th)	0–5
L	Sun Sep 6	vs	Kings Hammer SC Barcelona (5th)	0–3
D	Sun Aug 30	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (7th)	0–0
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Internationals SC Pre (3rd)	1–3
L	Sat Aug 29	vs	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (1st)	0–5

Next: Sun Nov 1 at GTFC Impact Pre See all 1 future matchup ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	GTFC Impact Pre (2nd)	1–4	4%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

WNY Flash Pre

-16

0.00

LLLL

-0.12

+0.67

9.0

L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Internationals SC Pre (3rd)	1–6
L	Sun Oct 4	at	Cleveland Force Pre- Blue (4th)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Ohio Premier Pre- Dublin (6th)	0–6
L	Sat Oct 3	at	Cleveland Force Pre- White (8th)	1–3

Next: Mon Jan 1 at Kings Hammer SC Barcelona · Sat Oct 24 vs GTFC Impact Pre · Sat Oct 24 at Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre See all 4 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Mon Jan 1 (no score yet)	at	Kings Hammer SC Barcelona (5th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	GTFC Impact Pre (2nd)	1–5	3%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (1st)	0–4	1%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre (7th)	1–3	11%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.22 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.