FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Texas GU11 · 10 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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4th

3-0-2 record · 5 played

1.80 points per game

+10 goal diff · 14–4

WLWLWlast 5

86% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.0

-0.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb
4th · 1.80 PPG

Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez
10th · 0.00 PPG

Fairview Soccer Park , Field 1A ↗

85% 9%

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.7 for, 1.0 against · 2.64 expected points)

Season so far	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez
Position	4th	10th
Record (W-D-L)	3-0-2	0-0-6
Points per game	1.80	0.00
Goals for / game	2.8	1.5
Goals against / game	0.8	3.0
Clean sheets	2	0
Held scoreless	1	0
Form (recent first)	W L W L W	L L L L L
Biggest win	7–0 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black	—
Worst loss	0–1 vs SOLAR PRE- WILCOX	1–4 vs OK Energy FC Pre I
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+1.25	-1.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.21	-0.07

Common opponents: SOLAR PRE- WILCOX — we 0–1; they 1–2. OK Energy FC Pre I — we 1–2; they 1–4. Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black — we 7–0; they 1–2.

Game plan

They leak goals — be greedy
Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez concede 3.0/game; worst result 1–4 vs OK Energy FC Pre I.
Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs SOLAR PRE- WILCOX.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 85% chance; likely score 3–1.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
Confidence is low on their side
Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez have lost 6 straight (form: LLLLL).
Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
What a win does
SOLAR PRE- WILCOX sit 3rd on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.80.
A win moves us above SOLAR PRE- WILCOX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb – Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 2.00 PPG	2nd▲ up 2	3rd▲ up 1	3rd▲ up 1
Win 2.00 PPG	3rd▲ up 1	4th— holds	4th— holds
Draw 1.67 PPG	4th— holds	4th— holds	4th— holds
Loss 1.50 PPG	4th— holds	5th▼ down 1	5th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

86% top 4

14% below the top 4

3.0 average finish

1st
2nd 51%
3rd 16%
4th 19%
5th 11%
6th 2%
7th <1%
8th <1%
9th
10th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 2.25 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	OK Energy FC Pre I	2.75 (+0.95)	1st (2.75)	13 of 9 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select	2.00 (+0.20)	3rd (2.00)	Win next game
3	SOLAR PRE- WILCOX	2.00 (+0.20)	4th (1.99)	Win next game

How the results connect

20 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb to Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

18 favour us

2 even

0 favour them

+3.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.54 · 6th hardest of 8

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 01:00 PM	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez 10th · 0-0-6 · GD -9	Home Fairview Soccer Park	●○○○○ Favorable	85%	3–1	2.64	1.94	Bank it
Sat Oct 31 01:00 PM	DKSC Pre- Saavedra 7th · 2-0-3 · GD -7	Away Fairview Soccer Park	●●○○○ Lean win	73%	2–1	2.35	2.00	Bank it
Sun Nov 1 05:00 PM	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon 6th · 2-0-3 · GD +3	Away Railroad Park	●●○○○ Lean win	62%	2–1	2.03	2.00	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

OK Energy FC Pre I

+17

2.75

WWWWW

-0.26

—

100%

1.0

West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select

+11

2.00

DWWWL

-0.29

—

99%

3.0

SOLAR PRE- WILCOX

2.00

LLWWW

+0.36

+0.05

82%

3.5

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (10th)	2–1
W	Sun Oct 11	at	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb (4th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 20	at	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sting Pre- Lomax (5th)	1–3
W	Sat Sep 12	at	DKSC Pre- Saavedra (7th)	6–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Pre- Robles · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Sting Pre- Robles (8th)	1–0	55%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (6th)	2–1	62%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb

+10

1.80

WLWLW

-0.21

-0.54

86%

3.0

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (9th)	7–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	1–2
W	Thu Oct 8	at	Sting Pre- Robles (8th)	4–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	SOLAR PRE- WILCOX (3rd)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Sting Pre- Lomax (5th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez · Sat Oct 31 at DKSC Pre- Saavedra · Sun Nov 1 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (10th)	3–1	85%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	DKSC Pre- Saavedra (7th)	2–1	73%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (6th)	2–1	62%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Pre- Lomax

1.40

LWDLW

+0.85

-1.42

27%

4.9

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Sting Pre- Robles (8th)	1–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	1–2
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	SOLAR PRE- WILCOX (3rd)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb (4th)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon · Sat Oct 31 vs Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black · Sun Nov 1 at Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (6th)	2–1	41%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (9th)	4–0	93%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (10th)	2–1	59%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon

1.20

WLLWL

-0.88

+0.78

7.0

L	Sat Oct 17	at	DKSC Pre- Saavedra (7th)	1–3
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (9th)	8–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Sting Pre- Robles (8th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	2–3
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (10th)	4–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Pre- Lomax · Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR PRE- WILCOX · Sun Nov 1 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Sting Pre- Lomax (5th)	1–2	38%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	SOLAR PRE- WILCOX (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb (4th)	1–2	21%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC Pre- Saavedra

-7

1.20

LLWLW

+0.43

-0.69

6.9

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (6th)	3–1
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (10th)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 19	at	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	SOLAR PRE- WILCOX (3rd)	0–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black · Thu Oct 29 at Sting Pre- Robles · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb See all 3 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (9th)	3–1	80%
·	Thu Oct 29	at	Sting Pre- Robles (8th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb (4th)	1–2	12%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Pre- Robles

1.17

WWLLL

+0.13

+0.02

6.7

L	Sat Oct 17	at	Sting Pre- Lomax (5th)	0–1
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	0–2
L	Thu Oct 8	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb (4th)	0–4
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (9th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (6th)	3–0
D	Sun Sep 20	at	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR PRE- WILCOX · Thu Oct 29 vs DKSC Pre- Saavedra See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	SOLAR PRE- WILCOX (3rd)	0–1	20%
·	Thu Oct 29	vs	DKSC Pre- Saavedra (7th)	2–1	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black

-32

0.50

LLLLL

+0.48

-0.19

9.2

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb (4th)	0–7
L	Sun Oct 11	at	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	0–7
L	Sat Oct 10	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (6th)	0–8
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Sting Pre- Robles (8th)	0–4
L	Sun Sep 20	at	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	0–7
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez (10th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs DKSC Pre- Saavedra · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Pre- Lomax See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	DKSC Pre- Saavedra (7th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Sting Pre- Lomax (5th)	0–4	2%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez

-9

0.00

LLLLL

-0.07

+0.79

9.8

L	Sat Oct 17	at	SOLAR PRE- WILCOX (3rd)	1–2
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	OK Energy FC Pre I (1st)	1–4
L	Sat Oct 10	at	West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select (2nd)	2–3
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	DKSC Pre- Saavedra (7th)	1–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black (9th)	1–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon (6th)	3–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb · Sun Nov 1 vs Sting Pre- Lomax See all 2 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Dallas Youth Pre- Webb (4th)	1–3	6%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Sting Pre- Lomax (5th)	1–2	21%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.91 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.