DKSC Pre- Saavedra

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Fairview Soccer Park , Field 1B ↗

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.4 for, 1.2 against · 2.50 expected points)

Common opponents: OK Energy FC Pre I — we 1–3; they 0–7. Dallas Texans Pre- Ramirez — we 3–1; they 2–1. West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select — we 0–3; they 0–7. FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon — we 3–1; they 0–8.

• They struggle to score
  Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black average 0.3 goals/game (league avg 1.9); blanked in 5 of 6.

  A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

• They leak goals — be greedy
  Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black concede 5.7/game; worst result 0–8 at FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon.

  Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

• Finishing wins the tight ones
  Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–6 vs SOLAR PRE- WILCOX, 0–3 vs West Side Alliance Pre Tulsa Select.

  Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

• Expected win — the trap is complacency
  Model gives a 80% chance; likely score 3–1.

  Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

• Confidence is low on their side
  Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).

  Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

• Away game
  Kickoff 01:00 PM at Fairview Soccer Park .

  Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

• What a win does
  FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon sit 6th on 1.20 PPG; we are on 1.20.

  A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth Pre- Falcon on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

Where we'd sit after the Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC Pre- Saavedra – Dallas Cosmos SC Pre- Black) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 7th if every rival wins.

1. 1st
2. 2nd
3. 3rd <1%
4. 4th 1%
5. 5th 6%
6. 6th 28%
7. 7th 29%
8. 8th 36%
9. 9th <1%
10. 10th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 3 remaining known games (max 1.88 PPG if we win out).