Matchfit Surf Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Atlantic GU11 · 10 teams · Match Fit Surf (all teams)

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5th

0-0-0 record · 0 played

0.00 points per game

+0 goal diff · 0–0

last 0

38% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.7

+0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Mar 20, TBD

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Matchfit Surf Pre
5th · 0.00 PPG

PDA White Pre- Boltz
7th · 0.00 PPG

Venue TBD

35% 18% 47%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)

Season so far	Matchfit Surf Pre	PDA White Pre- Boltz
Position	5th	7th
Record (W-D-L)	0-0-0	0-0-0
Points per game	0.00	0.00
Goals for / game	0.0	0.0
Goals against / game	0.0	0.0
Clean sheets	0	0
Held scoreless	0	0
Form (recent first)	—	—
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	—	—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.00	+0.00
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.00	+0.00

Game plan

They struggle to score
PDA White Pre- Boltz average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff TBD at TBD.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Maryland United FC Pre sit 4th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.
A point moves us above Maryland United FC Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the PDA White Pre- Boltz game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Matchfit Surf Pre – PDA White Pre- Boltz) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Mar 15 – Sun Mar 21); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Draw · 1.00 PPG	1st▲ up 4	6th▼ down 1	9th▼ down 4
Win 3.00 PPG	1st▲ up 4	1st▲ up 4	6th▼ down 1
Draw 1.00 PPG	1st▲ up 4	9th▼ down 4	9th▼ down 4
Loss 0.00 PPG	10th▼ down 5	10th▼ down 5	10th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

9% finish 1st

38% top 4

62% below the top 4

5.7 average finish

1st 9%
2nd 9%
3rd 10%
4th 10%
5th 9%
6th 11%
7th 10%
8th 11%
9th 12%
10th 10%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Bethesda SC Pre	0.00 (+0.00)	5th (1.39)	Already ahead
2	FC DELCO Pre	0.00 (+0.00)	6th (1.39)	Already ahead
3	HEX FC Bucks Pre	0.00 (+0.00)	2nd (1.43)	Already ahead
4	Maryland United FC Pre	0.00 (+0.00)	3rd (1.43)	Already ahead

The path

run-in difficulty +0.00 · 5th hardest of 10

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Mar 20 TBD	PDA White Pre- Boltz 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.24	Upside
Sat Mar 27 TBD	HEX FC Bucks Pre 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.41	Swing game
Sun Apr 11 TBD	FC DELCO Pre 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.47	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 TBD	PUNSC Pre 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sun Apr 25 TBD	Maryland United FC Pre 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.44	Swing game
Sat May 1 02:30 PM	Pipeline SC Pre 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away Baltimore Polytechnic Institute	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sun May 9 TBD	Bethesda SC Pre 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.58	1.43	Swing game
Sat May 15 TBD	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.41	Upside
Sat May 22 12:00 PM	PDA Blue Pre 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0	Away PDA Main Complex	●●●●○ Tough	35%	2–2	1.24	1.39	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Bethesda SC Pre

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 vs FC DELCO Pre · Sat Apr 10 vs Pipeline SC Pre · Sun Apr 11 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	FC DELCO Pre (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	PDA Blue Pre (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	PDA White Pre- Boltz (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	vs	PUNSC Pre (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 9	at	Matchfit Surf Pre (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	Maryland United FC Pre (4th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC DELCO Pre

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 at Bethesda SC Pre · Sun Mar 21 at Pipeline SC Pre · Sat Mar 27 at PDA Blue Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Bethesda SC Pre (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Pipeline SC Pre (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	PDA Blue Pre (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Matchfit Surf Pre (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	PUNSC Pre (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	vs	PDA White Pre- Boltz (7th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

HEX FC Bucks Pre

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Mar 21 vs Maryland United FC Pre · Sat Mar 27 at Matchfit Surf Pre · Sat Apr 3 at PDA White Pre- Boltz See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Matchfit Surf Pre (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	PDA White Pre- Boltz (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	FC DELCO Pre (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 2	vs	PDA Blue Pre (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	PUNSC Pre (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (9th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Maryland United FC Pre

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sun Mar 21 at HEX FC Bucks Pre · Sat Mar 27 vs Pipeline SC Pre · Sat Apr 10 vs PDA Blue Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Mar 21	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	PDA Blue Pre (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	PUNSC Pre (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	PDA White Pre- Boltz (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Matchfit Surf Pre (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	at	FC DELCO Pre (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (1st)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Matchfit Surf Pre

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 at PDA White Pre- Boltz · Sat Mar 27 vs HEX FC Bucks Pre · Sun Apr 11 vs FC DELCO Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	at	PDA White Pre- Boltz (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	FC DELCO Pre (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	PUNSC Pre (10th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Pipeline SC Pre (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 22	at	PDA Blue Pre (6th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PDA Blue Pre

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Tue Mar 9 vs PDA White Pre- Boltz · Sat Mar 20 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre · Sat Mar 27 vs FC DELCO Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Tue Mar 9	vs	PDA White Pre- Boltz (7th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	FC DELCO Pre (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Maryland United FC Pre (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	PUNSC Pre (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Matchfit Surf Pre (5th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PDA White Pre- Boltz

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Tue Mar 9 at PDA Blue Pre · Sat Mar 20 vs Matchfit Surf Pre · Sat Mar 27 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Tue Mar 9	at	PDA Blue Pre (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Matchfit Surf Pre (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 27	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	PUNSC Pre (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Maryland United FC Pre (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Pipeline SC Pre (9th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Bethesda SC Pre (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	at	FC DELCO Pre (2nd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 vs PDA Blue Pre · Sat Mar 27 at PDA White Pre- Boltz · Sat Apr 10 at HEX FC Bucks Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	PDA Blue Pre (6th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	PDA White Pre- Boltz (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre (3rd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Bethesda SC Pre (1st)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	FC DELCO Pre (2nd)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	PUNSC Pre (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 1	at	Maryland United FC Pre (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	at	Pipeline SC Pre (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Matchfit Surf Pre (5th)	2–2	47%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pipeline SC Pre

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 vs PUNSC Pre · Sun Mar 21 vs FC DELCO Pre · Sat Mar 27 at Maryland United FC Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	PUNSC Pre (10th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	FC DELCO Pre (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Mar 27	at	Maryland United FC Pre (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Bethesda SC Pre (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	PDA Blue Pre (6th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	PDA White Pre- Boltz (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Matchfit Surf Pre (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 16	at	HEX FC Bucks Pre (3rd)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PUNSC Pre

0.00

—

+0.00

—

No games played yet.

Next: Sat Mar 20 at Pipeline SC Pre · Sat Apr 10 at PDA White Pre- Boltz · Sun Apr 11 vs Maryland United FC Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Pipeline SC Pre (9th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	PDA White Pre- Boltz (7th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Maryland United FC Pre (4th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Matchfit Surf Pre (5th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre (8th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	vs	FC DELCO Pre (2nd)	2–2	47%
·	Sun May 2	at	Bethesda SC Pre (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat May 8	vs	HEX FC Bucks Pre (3rd)	2–2	47%
·	Sat May 15	at	PDA Blue Pre (6th)	2–2	35%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.