Bethesda SC Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- North Atlantic GU11 · 10 teams · Bethesda SC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Mar 20, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | Bethesda SC Pre | FC DELCO Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
FC DELCO Pre average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC DELCO Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Bethesda SC Pre – FC DELCO Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Mar 15 – Sun Mar 21); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 3rd▼ down 2 | 10th▼ down 9 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 10th▼ down 9 | 10th▼ down 9 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
10th▼ down 9 | 10th▼ down 9 | 10th▼ down 9 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 10%
- 2nd 10%
- 3rd 9%
- 4th 11%
- 5th 10%
- 6th 10%
- 7th 10%
- 8th 10%
- 9th 10%
- 10th 11%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 1st hardest of 10
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
FC DELCO Pre 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 TBD |
Pipeline SC Pre 9th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre 8th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.47 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
HEX FC Bucks Pre 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 02:30 PM |
PDA Blue Pre 6th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away PDA Main Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
PDA White Pre- Boltz 7th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
PUNSC Pre 10th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sun May 9 TBD |
Matchfit Surf Pre 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Maryland United FC Pre 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.39 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bethesda SC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 vs FC DELCO Pre · Sat Apr 10 vs Pipeline SC Pre · Sun Apr 11 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC DELCO Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 at Bethesda SC Pre · Sun Mar 21 at Pipeline SC Pre · Sat Mar 27 at PDA Blue Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | HEX FC Bucks Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Mar 21 vs Maryland United FC Pre · Sat Mar 27 at Matchfit Surf Pre · Sat Apr 3 at PDA White Pre- Boltz See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Maryland United FC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Mar 21 at HEX FC Bucks Pre · Sat Mar 27 vs Pipeline SC Pre · Sat Apr 10 vs PDA Blue Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Matchfit Surf Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 at PDA White Pre- Boltz · Sat Mar 27 vs HEX FC Bucks Pre · Sun Apr 11 vs FC DELCO Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | PDA Blue Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Tue Mar 9 vs PDA White Pre- Boltz · Sat Mar 20 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre · Sat Mar 27 vs FC DELCO Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | PDA White Pre- Boltz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Tue Mar 9 at PDA Blue Pre · Sat Mar 20 vs Matchfit Surf Pre · Sat Mar 27 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 vs PDA Blue Pre · Sat Mar 27 at PDA White Pre- Boltz · Sat Apr 10 at HEX FC Bucks Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Pipeline SC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 vs PUNSC Pre · Sun Mar 21 vs FC DELCO Pre · Sat Mar 27 at Maryland United FC Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | PUNSC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 20 at Pipeline SC Pre · Sat Apr 10 at PDA White Pre- Boltz · Sun Apr 11 vs Maryland United FC Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.