FSA FC Pre- ll

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East Meadow Field of Dreams, North Turf ↗ · turf far trip

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.6 for, 1.0 against · 1.78 expected points)

Common opponents: FC Stars Lancaster Pre- II — we 1–4; they 0–4. FC Stars Marlboro Pre- II — we 0–3; they 1–4. World Class FC Pre- ll — we 1–1; they 0–1.

• They struggle to score
  East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II average 0.2 goals/game (league avg 1.5); blanked in 4 of 5.

  A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

• They leak goals — be greedy
  East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II concede 2.8/game; worst result 0–4 vs FC Stars Lancaster Pre- II.

  Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

• Finishing wins the tight ones
  Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at FC Stars Marlboro Pre- II.

  Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

• Swing game — small margins
  Win 51% / draw 25% / loss 24%.

  Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

• Confidence is low on their side
  East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).

  Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

• Away game
  Kickoff 09:00 AM at East Meadow Field of Dreams.

  Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

• Early kickoff
  Game time 09:00 AM.

  Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

• What a win does
  Connecticut FC United Pre ll sit 7th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.33.

  A point moves us above Connecticut FC United Pre ll on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

Where we'd sit after the East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FSA FC Pre- ll – East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

1. 1st
2. 2nd
3. 3rd <1%
4. 4th 1%
5. 5th 3%
6. 6th 7%
7. 7th 17%
8. 8th 65%
9. 9th 7%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).