TableChase Clubs

Connecticut FC United Pre ll

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- New England GU12 · 9 teams · Connecticut FC (all teams)

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8th
0-0-1 record · 1 played
0.00 points per game
-1 goal diff · 3–4
Llast 1
16% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.1
+0.16 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 09:00 AM

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Connecticut FC United Pre ll
8th · 0.00 PPG
at
SUSA FC Pre ll
2nd · 2.00 PPG

The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex, field 2B ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 1.0 for, 2.1 against · 0.70 expected points)

Season so farConnecticut FC United Pre llSUSA FC Pre ll
Position8th2nd
Record (W-D-L)0-0-13-1-1
Points per game0.002.00
Goals for / game3.01.2
Goals against / game4.00.4
Clean sheets03
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)LW L W W D
Biggest win—3–0 vs FC Stars Marlboro Pre- II
Worst loss3–4 vs World Class FC Pre- ll0–1 at Select South Pre- II
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.27+0.56
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.16+0.36

Common opponents: World Class FC Pre- ll — we 3–4; they 0–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    SUSA FC Pre ll concede only 0.4/game with 3 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 09:00 AM at The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    FSA FC Pre- ll sit 7th on 0.33 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above FSA FC Pre- ll on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SUSA FC Pre ll game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Connecticut FC United Pre ll – SUSA FC Pre ll) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
8th— holds 9th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 1
Win
1.50 PPG
5th▲ up 3 5th▲ up 3 5th▲ up 3
Draw
0.50 PPG
7th▲ up 1 7th▲ up 1 8th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
8th— holds 9th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–2 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
16% top 4
84% below the top 4
6.1 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 5%
  4. 4th 9%
  5. 5th 17%
  6. 6th 21%
  7. 7th 28%
  8. 8th 16%
  9. 9th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Stars Lancaster Pre- II 2.40 (+2.40) 1st (2.35) 39 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
2 SUSA FC Pre ll 2.00 (+2.00) 2nd (1.95) 32 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
3 Select South Pre- II 2.00 (+2.00) 3rd (1.69) 32 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
4 World Class FC Pre- ll 2.00 (+2.00) 4th (1.56) 32 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
5 FC Stars Marlboro Pre- II 1.33 (+1.33) 5th (1.35) A point next game
6 Scorpions SC Pre- ll 1.00 (+1.00) 6th (1.22) A point next game
7 FSA FC Pre- ll 0.33 (+0.33) 8th (0.86) Already ahead

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link Connecticut FC United Pre ll to SUSA FC Pre ll through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–4 0–0 Connecticut FC Unit… 8th World Class FC Pre-… 4th SUSA FC Pre ll 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 5th 9th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 6 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 4th hardest of 9

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
09:00 AM
SUSA FC Pre ll
2nd · 3-1-1 · GD +4
Away far trip
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
17%
0–2 0.70 0.35 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II
9th · 0-0-5 · GD -13
Away far trip
East Meadow Field of Dreams
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.23 0.98 Swing game
Sat Oct 31
02:00 PM
FSA FC Pre- ll
7th · 0-1-2 · GD -6
Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.68 1.15 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
TBD
FC Stars Marlboro Pre- II
5th · 2-2-2 · GD +0
Home
●●●●○ Tough
41%
2–2 1.42 1.21 Upside
Sun Nov 8
TBD
FC Stars Lancaster Pre- II
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +14
Home
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.44 1.08 Upside
Sat Nov 14
07:15 PM
Scorpions SC Pre- ll
6th · 1-2-2 · GD -3
Away far trip
Forekicks III · turf
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.25 1.10 Upside
Sun Nov 15
01:15 PM
Select South Pre- II
3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +3
Away far trip
Lovell Field
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.86 1.07 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Scorpions SC Pre- ll
6th · 1-2-2 · GD -3
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
47%
2–2 1.59 1.13 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Select South Pre- II
3rd · 2-2-0 · GD +3
Home
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.11 1.13 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
SUSA FC Pre ll
2nd · 3-1-1 · GD +4
Home
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–1 0.91 1.11 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
FC Stars Lancaster Pre- II
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +14
Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–3 0.28 1.04 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
FC Stars Marlboro Pre- II
5th · 2-2-2 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.12 1.05 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
World Class FC Pre- ll
4th · 2-2-0 · GD +2
Away
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.99 1.04 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II
9th · 0-0-5 · GD -13
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
2–0 2.44 1.13 Bank it
Sat May 22
TBD
FSA FC Pre- ll
7th · 0-1-2 · GD -6
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
60%
2–1 1.97 1.19 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Stars Lancaster Pre- II 5401 173+14 122.40 WWLWW -0.39 -0.14 100% 1.2
2 SUSA FC Pre ll 5311 62+4 102.00 DWWLW +0.36 -0.29 97% 2.4
3 Select South Pre- II 4220 63+3 82.00 DDWW -0.32 +0.02 80% 3.5
4 World Class FC Pre- ll 4220 64+2 82.00 DWWD -0.51 +0.12 63% 4.2
5 FC Stars Marlboro Pre- II 6222 1010+0 81.33 DWWLL +0.03 -0.02 27% 5.4
6 Scorpions SC Pre- ll 5122 912-3 51.00 DLDWL +0.16 -0.07 15% 6.0
7 FSA FC Pre- ll 3012 28-6 10.33 LLD +0.56 -0.04 2% 7.5
8 Connecticut FC United Pre ll 1001 34-1 00.00 L +0.16 +0.01 16% 6.1
9 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II 5005 114-13 00.00 LLLLL +0.36 +0.08 0% 8.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.61 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.