NM Rapids SC Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Mountain GU12 · 4 teams · NM Rapids SC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Mar 6, 08:00 AM
University Field, Field 1 ↗ far trip
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)
| Season so far | NM Rapids SC Pre | El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 3rd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Away game
Kickoff 08:00 AM at University Field.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
-
Early kickoff
Game time 08:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
-
What a win does
El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 sit 3rd on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NM Rapids SC Pre – El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Mar 1 – Sun Mar 7); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 3 | 1st▲ up 3 | 1st▲ up 3 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 | 2nd▲ up 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 4th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 24%
- 2nd 26%
- 3rd 25%
- 4th 25%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona Soccer Club Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 2 | CCV STARS Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 | 0.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 4th hardest of 4
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Mar 6 08:00 AM |
El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
University Field |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 27 08:00 AM |
El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 08:00 AM |
CCV STARS Pre 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 08:00 AM |
Arizona Soccer Club Pre 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
CCV STARS Pre 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Arizona Soccer Club Pre 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona Soccer Club Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 7 vs CCV STARS Pre · Sun Nov 8 at CCV STARS Pre · Sat Apr 3 at El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | CCV STARS Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 7 at Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sat Apr 3 at NM Rapids SC Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 vs NM Rapids SC Pre · Sat Mar 27 at NM Rapids SC Pre · Sat Apr 3 vs Arizona Soccer Club Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | NM Rapids SC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 at El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 · Sat Mar 27 vs El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 · Sat Apr 3 vs CCV STARS Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.