CCV STARS Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Mountain GU12 · 4 teams · CCV STARS (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, TBD
Venue TBD
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.7 against · 1.24 expected points)
| Season so far | CCV STARS Pre | Arizona Soccer Club Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 2nd | 1st |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Arizona Soccer Club Pre average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 35%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff TBD at TBD.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Arizona Soccer Club Pre sit 1st on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Arizona Soccer Club Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Arizona Soccer Club Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CCV STARS Pre – Arizona Soccer Club Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 | 1st▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
2nd— holds | 2nd— holds | 2nd— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
4th▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 2 | 4th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 26%
- 2nd 24%
- 3rd 23%
- 4th 27%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona Soccer Club Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 2nd hardest of 4
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Nov 7 TBD |
Arizona Soccer Club Pre 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 04:00 PM |
Arizona Soccer Club Pre 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home CCV Stars Peoria Sports Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 08:00 AM |
NM Rapids SC Pre 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.35 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 08:00 AM |
El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
University Field |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
NM Rapids SC Pre 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.38 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 3rd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.41 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona Soccer Club Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 7 vs CCV STARS Pre · Sun Nov 8 at CCV STARS Pre · Sat Apr 3 at El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | CCV STARS Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 7 at Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sat Apr 3 at NM Rapids SC Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 vs NM Rapids SC Pre · Sat Mar 27 at NM Rapids SC Pre · Sat Apr 3 vs Arizona Soccer Club Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | NM Rapids SC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 at El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 · Sat Mar 27 vs El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 · Sat Apr 3 vs CCV STARS Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.