El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Mountain GU12 · 4 teams · El Paso Locomotive FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Mar 6, 08:00 AM
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.7 for, 2.4 against · 1.58 expected points)
| Season so far | El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 | NM Rapids SC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | — | — |
| Biggest win | — | — |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.00 |
Game plan
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They struggle to score
NM Rapids SC Pre average 0.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 0 of 0.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 18% / loss 35%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Early kickoff
Game time 08:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
CCV STARS Pre sit 2nd on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above CCV STARS Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the NM Rapids SC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 – NM Rapids SC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Mar 1 – Sun Mar 7); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 2 | 1st▲ up 2 | 1st▲ up 2 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 2 | 1st▲ up 2 | 1st▲ up 2 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
1st▲ up 2 | 1st▲ up 2 | 1st▲ up 2 |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 24%
- 2nd 26%
- 3rd 26%
- 4th 24%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona Soccer Club Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 1st (1.41) | Already ahead |
| 2 | CCV STARS Pre | 0.00 (+0.00) | 2nd (1.41) | Already ahead |
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 3rd hardest of 4
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Mar 6 08:00 AM |
NM Rapids SC Pre 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home University Field |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Mar 27 08:00 AM |
NM Rapids SC Pre 4th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away far trip
Mesa Del Sol Regional Sports Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 08:00 AM |
Arizona Soccer Club Pre 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home University Field |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.47 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 08:00 AM |
CCV STARS Pre 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home University Field |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.58 | 1.49 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
Arizona Soccer Club Pre 1st · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.44 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
CCV STARS Pre 2nd · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.41 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arizona Soccer Club Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 7 vs CCV STARS Pre · Sun Nov 8 at CCV STARS Pre · Sat Apr 3 at El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | CCV STARS Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Nov 7 at Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Arizona Soccer Club Pre · Sat Apr 3 at NM Rapids SC Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 vs NM Rapids SC Pre · Sat Mar 27 at NM Rapids SC Pre · Sat Apr 3 vs Arizona Soccer Club Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | NM Rapids SC Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | +0.00 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sat Mar 6 at El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 · Sat Mar 27 vs El Paso Locomotive FC Pre G14/15 · Sat Apr 3 vs CCV STARS Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.50 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.