Team Boca Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Florida GU11 · 8 teams · Team Boca (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 10:00 AM
Canyon District Park, Field 3 ↗
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.2 against · 1.77 expected points)
| Season so far | Team Boca Pre | SFFA Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-0 | 1-1-3 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals for / game | 2.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals against / game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W D W W W | W L L L D |
| Biggest win | 4–1 at Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre | 3–1 vs ACF Sunrise Pre |
| Worst loss | — | 0–2 at Cape Coral SA Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.71 | -0.28 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.45 | -0.31 |
Common opponents: Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre — we 1–0; they 2–2. Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre — we 4–1; they 0–1. AC Florida West Pre — we 1–1; they 1–2. ACF Sunrise Pre — we 5–3; they 3–1.
Game plan
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 51% / draw 23% / loss 26%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Away game
Kickoff 10:00 AM at Canyon District Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the SFFA Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Team Boca Pre – SFFA Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 2.33 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.67 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.33 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.17 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we fall to at least 2nd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 18%
- 2nd 28%
- 3rd 31%
- 4th 22%
- 5th 1%
- 6th
- 7th
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
21 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Team Boca Pre to SFFA Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.11 · 5th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 10:00 AM |
SFFA Pre 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -2 |
Away Canyon District Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
1–1 | 1.77 | 2.46 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 04:30 PM |
Athletic Club Florida Pre 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +8 |
Away far trip
Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
1–2 | 1.14 | 2.27 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 23 11:00 AM |
Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre 4th · 2-2-1 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
Miami Dade College |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.06 | 2.12 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 01:00 PM |
Cape Coral SA Pre 2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +17 |
Away far trip
Pelican Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.84 | 1.98 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 01:30 PM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre 6th · 3-0-5 · GD -12 |
Home Fau Glades |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.40 | 2.02 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 3 11:00 AM |
Cape Coral SA Pre 2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +17 |
Home Fau Glades |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–2 | 1.11 | 1.94 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 03:00 PM |
AC Florida West Pre 5th · 2-1-3 · GD -11 |
Home Fau Glades |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
3–1 | 2.44 | 1.98 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 11 04:30 PM |
ACF Sunrise Pre 8th · 0-0-5 · GD -17 |
Away far trip
Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
3–1 | 2.47 | 2.02 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 03:00 PM |
SFFA Pre 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -2 |
Home Fau Glades |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 2.01 | 2.02 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Team Boca Pre | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWDW | -0.45 | +0.11 | 99% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at SFFA Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Athletic Club Florida Pre · Sat Jan 23 at Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Cape Coral SA Pre | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 14 | 2.33 | WWDDW | -0.33 | -0.10 | 100% | 1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs ACF Sunrise Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs AC Florida West Pre · Sat Jan 30 vs Team Boca Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Athletic Club Florida Pre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 7 | 1.75 | LWDW | -0.18 | -0.11 | 98% | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Nov 6 vs Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Team Boca Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs SFFA Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 8 | 1.60 | LDWWD | -0.01 | -0.21 | 99% | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Nov 6 at Athletic Club Florida Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs SFFA Pre · Sat Dec 5 at ACF Sunrise Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | AC Florida West Pre | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 | 1.17 | LLWDW | +0.17 | +0.20 | 1% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 23 vs ACF Sunrise Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Cape Coral SA Pre · Sun Jan 10 vs Athletic Club Florida Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 9 | 1.13 | WLLLL | +0.06 | +0.41 | 0% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 at ACF Sunrise Pre · Sat Jan 30 vs Athletic Club Florida Pre · Sun Jan 31 vs Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SFFA Pre | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | 0.80 | DLLLW | -0.31 | +0.25 | 3% | 5.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Team Boca Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Athletic Club Florida Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ACF Sunrise Pre | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 24 | -17 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.43 | +0.25 | 0% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 23 at AC Florida West Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Cape Coral SA Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.29 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.