TableChase Clubs

Cape Coral SA Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Florida GU11 · 8 teams · Cape Coral Soccer (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 14 hours ago.
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2nd
4-2-0 record · 6 played
2.33 points per game
+17 goal diff · 24–7
WWDDWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.5
-0.33 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Nov 7, 11:00 AM

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Cape Coral SA Pre
2nd · 2.33 PPG
vs
ACF Sunrise Pre
8th · 0.00 PPG

Pelican Soccer Complex, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 5–1 (expected goals 5.9 for, 1.2 against · 2.88 expected points)

Season so farCape Coral SA PreACF Sunrise Pre
Position2nd8th
Record (W-D-L)4-2-00-0-5
Points per game2.330.00
Goals for / game4.01.4
Goals against / game1.24.8
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W D D W WL L L L L
Biggest win7–0 at AC Florida West Pre—
Worst loss—1–7 vs Cape Coral SA Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.72-1.97
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.33+0.43

Already played this season: Sat Sep 12 7–1 at ACF Sunrise Pre (W)

Common opponents: SFFA Pre — we 2–0; they 1–3. Athletic Club Florida Pre — we 2–2; they 1–7. Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre — we 3–1; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    ACF Sunrise Pre concede 4.8/game; worst result 1–7 vs Cape Coral SA Pre.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 95% chance; likely score 5–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    ACF Sunrise Pre have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the ACF Sunrise Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Cape Coral SA Pre – ACF Sunrise Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.43 PPG		 2nd— holds 1st▲ up 1 2nd— holds
Win
2.43 PPG		 2nd— holds 1st▲ up 1 2nd— holds
Draw
2.14 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1
Loss
2.00 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 5–1 win we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 2nd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

64% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.5 average finish
  1. 1st 64%
  2. 2nd 23%
  3. 3rd 11%
  4. 4th 3%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.71 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Team Boca Pre 2.60 (+0.27) 2nd (2.02) 23 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection

How the results connect

17 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Cape Coral SA Pre to ACF Sunrise Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

17 favour us
0 favour them
+4.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
7–1 3–1 2–1 2–0 3–1 2–2 7–1 1–4 5–3 3–3 0–1 1–2 2–2 0–1 4–1 Cape Coral SA Pre 2nd Fort Lauderdale Uni… 6th SFFA Pre 7th Athletic Club Flori… 3rd Athletic Club Flori… 4th Team Boca Pre 1st ACF Sunrise Pre 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 27 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.10 · 6th hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM		 ACF Sunrise Pre
8th · 0-0-5 · GD -17		 Home
Pelican Soccer Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 5–1 2.88 2.41 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
11:30 AM		 AC Florida West Pre
5th · 2-1-3 · GD -11		 Home
Pelican Soccer Complex		 ●○○○○ Favorable
90%		 4–1 2.75 2.45 Bank it
Sat Jan 30
01:00 PM		 Team Boca Pre
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +7		 Home
Pelican Soccer Complex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 2–1 1.97 2.40 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
01:00 PM		 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre
6th · 3-0-5 · GD -12		 Away far trip
Gessner 1		 ●○○○○ Favorable
82%		 3–1 2.56 2.42 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
11:00 AM		 Team Boca Pre
1st · 4-1-0 · GD +7		 Away far trip
Fau Glades		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
49%		 2–1 1.69 2.35 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 PM		 SFFA Pre
7th · 1-1-3 · GD -2		 Away far trip
Canyon District Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 2–1 2.18 2.34 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
12:30 PM		 Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre
4th · 2-2-1 · GD +10		 Home
Pelican Soccer Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 2–1 1.83 2.30 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:30 PM		 Athletic Club Florida Pre
3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +8		 Home
Pelican Soccer Complex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
58%		 2–1 1.92 2.27 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Team Boca Pre 5410 136+7 132.60 WWWDW -0.45 +0.11 99% 2.6
2 Cape Coral SA Pre 6420 247+17 142.33 WWDDW -0.33 -0.10 100% 1.5
3 Athletic Club Florida Pre 4211 146+8 71.75 LWDW -0.18 -0.11 98% 3.0
4 Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre 5221 177+10 81.60 LDWWD -0.01 -0.21 99% 2.9
5 AC Florida West Pre 6213 920-11 71.17 LLWDW +0.17 +0.20 1% 6.3
6 Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre 8305 1224-12 91.13 WLLLL +0.06 +0.41 0% 6.1
7 SFFA Pre 5113 68-2 40.80 DLLLW -0.31 +0.25 3% 5.7
8 ACF Sunrise Pre 5005 724-17 00.00 LLLLL +0.43 +0.25 0% 7.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.29 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.