ACF Sunrise Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Florida GU11 · 8 teams · ACF Sunrise (all teams)
Next game — Sat Nov 7, 11:00 AM
Pelican Soccer Complex, Field 4 ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.2 for, 5.9 against · 0.09 expected points)
| Season so far | ACF Sunrise Pre | Cape Coral SA Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-5 | 4-2-0 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals for / game | 1.4 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 4.8 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L L L | W D D W W |
| Biggest win | — | 7–0 at AC Florida West Pre |
| Worst loss | 1–7 vs Cape Coral SA Pre | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.97 | +1.72 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.43 | -0.33 |
Already played this season: Sat Sep 12 1–7 vs Cape Coral SA Pre (L)
Common opponents: Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre — we 1–2; they 3–1. Athletic Club Florida Pre — we 1–7; they 2–2. SFFA Pre — we 1–3; they 2–0.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
Cape Coral SA Pre score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.3.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 2%; a draw (3%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at Pelican Soccer Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Cape Coral SA Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (ACF Sunrise Pre – Cape Coral SA Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Win 0.50 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Draw 0.17 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–5 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd
- 4th
- 5th 1%
- 6th 2%
- 7th 7%
- 8th 90%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 1.93 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Team Boca Pre | 2.60 (+2.60) | 2nd (2.02) | 37 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Cape Coral SA Pre | 2.33 (+2.33) | 1st (2.27) | 33 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Athletic Club Florida Pre | 1.75 (+1.75) | 4th (1.88) | 25 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 4 | Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre | 1.60 (+1.60) | 3rd (1.89) | 23 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 5 | AC Florida West Pre | 1.17 (+1.17) | 7th (0.93) | 17 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection |
| 6 | Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre | 1.13 (+1.13) | 6th (0.95) | 16 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection |
| 7 | SFFA Pre | 0.80 (+0.80) | 5th (1.01) | 12 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection |
How the results connect
17 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link ACF Sunrise Pre to Cape Coral SA Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.25 · 3rd hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Aug 23 TBD no score posted |
AC Florida West Pre 5th · 2-1-3 · GD -11 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
2–3 | 0.95 | 0.16 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 11:00 AM |
Cape Coral SA Pre 2nd · 4-2-0 · GD +17 |
Away far trip
Pelican Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–5 | 0.09 | 0.15 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre 6th · 3-0-5 · GD -12 |
Home Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.27 | 0.29 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 09:00 AM |
Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre 4th · 2-2-1 · GD +10 |
Home Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–4 | 0.26 | 0.29 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 09:00 AM |
Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre 4th · 2-2-1 · GD +10 |
Away far trip
Miami Dade College |
●●●●● Very tough | 3% |
1–5 | 0.15 | 0.27 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 7 04:30 PM |
Athletic Club Florida Pre 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +8 |
Away Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
1–5 | 0.17 | 0.26 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 04:30 PM |
SFFA Pre 7th · 1-1-3 · GD -2 |
Home Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
1–2 | 0.92 | 0.32 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 04:30 PM |
Team Boca Pre 1st · 4-1-0 · GD +7 |
Home Nob Hill Soccer Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–3 | 0.41 | 0.33 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
AC Florida West Pre 5th · 2-1-3 · GD -11 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.28 | 0.39 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Team Boca Pre | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWDW | -0.45 | +0.11 | 99% | 2.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at SFFA Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Athletic Club Florida Pre · Sat Jan 23 at Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Cape Coral SA Pre | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 14 | 2.33 | WWDDW | -0.33 | -0.10 | 100% | 1.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs ACF Sunrise Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs AC Florida West Pre · Sat Jan 30 vs Team Boca Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Athletic Club Florida Pre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | +8 | 7 | 1.75 | LWDW | -0.18 | -0.11 | 98% | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Nov 6 vs Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Team Boca Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs SFFA Pre See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +10 | 8 | 1.60 | LDWWD | -0.01 | -0.21 | 99% | 2.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Fri Nov 6 at Athletic Club Florida Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs SFFA Pre · Sat Dec 5 at ACF Sunrise Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | AC Florida West Pre | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 7 | 1.17 | LLWDW | +0.17 | +0.20 | 1% | 6.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 23 vs ACF Sunrise Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Cape Coral SA Pre · Sun Jan 10 vs Athletic Club Florida Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 9 | 1.13 | WLLLL | +0.06 | +0.41 | 1% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 at ACF Sunrise Pre · Sat Jan 30 vs Athletic Club Florida Pre · Sun Jan 31 vs Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SFFA Pre | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 | 0.80 | DLLLW | -0.31 | +0.25 | 3% | 5.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Team Boca Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Athletic Club Florida Miami Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Athletic Club Florida Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | ACF Sunrise Pre | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 24 | -17 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.43 | +0.25 | 0% | 7.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Aug 23 at AC Florida West Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Cape Coral SA Pre · Sun Nov 8 vs Fort Lauderdale United FC Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.29 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.