TableChase Clubs

Sporting SA JAX Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Florida GU11 · 8 teams · Sporting SA (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 7 hours ago.
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7th
1-1-4 record · 6 played
0.67 points per game
-5 goal diff · 6–11
WLLLLlast 5
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.9
-0.53 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 09:30 AM

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Sporting SA JAX Pre
7th · 0.67 PPG
vs
Jacksonville FC Pre
4th · 1.50 PPG

Veterans Park, Field 4A ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.4 against · 0.78 expected points)

Season so farSporting SA JAX PreJacksonville FC Pre
Position7th4th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-43-0-3
Points per game0.671.50
Goals for / game1.03.0
Goals against / game1.81.8
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L L L L WL L W W L
Biggest win2–0 vs Florida Tropics Academy Pre5–0 at Tampa Bay United Pre
Worst loss0–3 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre3–6 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.69+0.69
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.53-0.27

Common opponents: Florida Premier FC PRE — we 1–1, 2–4; they 2–0, 1–2. Florida Tropics Academy Pre — we 2–0, 1–2; they 6–1. Florida Kraze Krush Pre — we 0–3; they 3–6. Tampa Bay United Pre — we 0–1; they 5–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Jacksonville FC Pre score 3.0/game — well above the league's 2.1.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre, 0–1 at Tampa Bay United Pre.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 20%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:30 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Jacksonville FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting SA JAX Pre – Jacksonville FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.57 PPG
8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Draw
0.71 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Loss
0.57 PPG
8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1 8th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
6.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 3%
  6. 6th 26%
  7. 7th 49%
  8. 8th 22%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Sporting SA JAX Pre 3.00 (+2.33) 2nd (2.32) 38 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Florida Kraze Krush Pre 2.40 (+1.73) 1st (2.40) 30 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Florida Premier FC PRE 1.67 (+1.00) 5th (1.41) 20 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
4 Jacksonville FC Pre 1.50 (+0.83) 3rd (1.64) 17 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
5 SWFL PREMIER FC PRE 1.50 (+0.83) 4th (1.55) 17 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
6 Tampa Bay United Pre 1.20 (+0.53) 6th (0.91) 13 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection

How the results connect

20 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Sporting SA JAX Pre to Jacksonville FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
2 even
15 favour them
-2.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 6–3 2–4 2–1 1–1 0–2 2–0 1–6 0–1 0–5 1–2 4–2 2–1 1–2 8–1 Sporting SA JAX Pre 7th Florida Kraze Krush… 2nd Florida Premier FC … 3rd Florida Tropics Aca… 8th Tampa Bay United Pre 6th SWFL PREMIER FC PRE 5th Jacksonville FC Pre 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 4th 8th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.61 · 1st hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 17
02:30 PM
no score posted
SWFL PREMIER FC PRE
5th · 1-0-1 · GD -1
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.83 0.69 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:30 AM
Jacksonville FC Pre
4th · 3-0-3 · GD +7
Home
Veterans Park
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–2 0.78 0.70 Upside
Sat Jan 9
10:30 AM
Sporting SA JAX Pre
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +9
Home
Veterans Park
●●●●● Very tough
13%
0–2 0.55 0.68 Upside
Sun Jan 31
10:00 AM
SWFL PREMIER FC PRE
5th · 1-0-1 · GD -1
Home
Veterans Park
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–1 1.07 0.72 Upside
Sun Feb 28
09:00 AM
Tampa Bay United Pre
6th · 2-0-3 · GD -7
Home
Veterans Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
1–1 1.61 0.80 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
10:00 AM
Jacksonville FC Pre
4th · 3-0-3 · GD +7
Away
Patton Park
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–2 0.57 0.78 Upside
Sun Apr 11
11:00 AM
Florida Kraze Krush Pre
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +14
Away far trip
Central Winds
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.29 0.75 Upside
Sat Apr 17
10:00 AM
Sporting SA JAX Pre
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +9
Away
Veterans Park
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.39 0.72 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Sporting SA JAX Pre 3300 112+9 93.00 WWW -0.09 -0.14 100% 1.7
2 Florida Kraze Krush Pre 5401 239+14 122.40 WWWWL +0.20 -0.45 100% 1.4
3 Florida Premier FC PRE 6312 1015-5 101.67 LWLWW +0.15 +0.06 45% 4.5
4 Jacksonville FC Pre 6303 1811+7 91.50 LWWLL -0.27 +0.07 87% 3.6
5 SWFL PREMIER FC PRE 2101 45-1 31.50 LW +1.20 -0.18 66% 4.1
6 Tampa Bay United Pre 5203 411-7 61.20 LLLWW -0.18 +0.33 2% 6.3
7 Sporting SA JAX Pre 6114 611-5 40.67 WLLLL -0.53 +0.61 1% 6.9
8 Florida Tropics Academy Pre 5104 315-12 30.60 LLWLL -0.09 +0.42 0% 7.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.07 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.