Jacksonville FC Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Florida GU11 · 8 teams · Jacksonville FC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 31, 09:30 AM
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.4 for, 1.3 against · 2.03 expected points)
| Season so far | Jacksonville FC Pre | Sporting SA JAX Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-3 | 1-1-4 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.67 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W W L | L L L L W |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at Tampa Bay United Pre | 2–0 vs Florida Tropics Academy Pre |
| Worst loss | 3–6 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre | 0–3 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.69 | -0.69 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.27 | -0.53 |
Common opponents: Florida Premier FC PRE — we 2–0, 1–2; they 1–1, 2–4. Florida Kraze Krush Pre — we 3–6; they 0–3. Tampa Bay United Pre — we 5–0; they 0–1. Florida Tropics Academy Pre — we 6–1; they 2–0, 1–2.
Game plan
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They struggle to score
Sporting SA JAX Pre average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.1); blanked in 2 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 61% / draw 19% / loss 20%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
Sporting SA JAX Pre have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 09:30 AM at Veterans Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 09:30 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Florida Premier FC PRE sit 3rd on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.50.A point moves us above Florida Premier FC PRE on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Sporting SA JAX Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Jacksonville FC Pre – Sporting SA JAX Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 0 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.71 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Win 1.71 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.43 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 1.29 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd 5%
- 3rd 49%
- 4th 33%
- 5th 12%
- 6th 1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.36 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting SA JAX Pre | 3.00 (+1.50) | 2nd (2.32) | 33 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
| 2 | Florida Kraze Krush Pre | 2.40 (+0.90) | 1st (2.40) | 25 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | Florida Premier FC PRE | 1.67 (+0.17) | 5th (1.41) | A point next game |
How the results connect
20 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Jacksonville FC Pre to Sporting SA JAX Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.07 · 4th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 31 09:30 AM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre 7th · 1-1-4 · GD -5 |
Away Veterans Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.03 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +9 |
Away Veterans Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–2 | 0.86 | 1.49 | Upside |
| Sat Jan 30 02:30 PM |
SWFL PREMIER FC PRE 5th · 1-0-1 · GD -1 |
Home Patton Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
2–1 | 1.91 | 1.53 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 27 01:00 PM |
Tampa Bay United Pre 6th · 2-0-3 · GD -7 |
Home Patton Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
3–1 | 2.39 | 1.62 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 01:00 PM |
Florida Tropics Academy Pre 8th · 1-0-4 · GD -12 |
Home Patton Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 85% |
3–1 | 2.63 | 1.71 | Bank it |
| Fri Apr 2 10:00 AM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +9 |
Home Patton Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–2 | 1.14 | 1.66 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 3 10:00 AM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre 7th · 1-1-4 · GD -5 |
Home Patton Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
2–1 | 2.27 | 1.71 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 17 11:00 AM |
Florida Kraze Krush Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +14 |
Away far trip
Central Winds |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
2–3 | 0.78 | 1.64 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Sporting SA JAX Pre | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.09 | -0.14 | 100% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Jacksonville FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Florida Tropics Academy Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Tampa Bay United Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Florida Kraze Krush Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWWL | +0.20 | -0.45 | 100% | 1.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Dec 12 at Tampa Bay United Pre · Sun Dec 13 at Florida Tropics Academy Pre · Sat Mar 6 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Florida Premier FC PRE | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWW | +0.15 | +0.06 | 45% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE · Sat Dec 5 at Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sun Jan 10 vs Florida Tropics Academy Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Jacksonville FC Pre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 9 | 1.50 | LWWLL | -0.27 | +0.07 | 87% | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Jan 30 vs SWFL PREMIER FC PRE See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | SWFL PREMIER FC PRE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | +1.20 | -0.18 | 66% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Florida Premier FC PRE · Sun Dec 6 at Sporting SA JAX Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Tampa Bay United Pre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 | 1.20 | LLLWW | -0.18 | +0.33 | 2% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre · Sun Dec 13 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Sporting SA JAX Pre | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | 0.67 | WLLLL | -0.53 | +0.61 | 1% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE · Sat Oct 31 vs Jacksonville FC Pre · Sat Jan 9 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Florida Tropics Academy Pre | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | 0.60 | LLWLL | -0.09 | +0.42 | 0% | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs SWFL PREMIER FC PRE · Sun Dec 13 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.07 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.