Sporting SA JAX Pre
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Florida GU11 · 8 teams · Sporting SA (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 10:00 AM
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.7 for, 1.7 against · 1.96 expected points)
| Season so far | Sporting SA JAX Pre | Jacksonville FC Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-0-0 | 3-0-3 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 3.7 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W | L L W W L |
| Biggest win | 4–0 vs Florida Tropics Academy Pre | 5–0 at Tampa Bay United Pre |
| Worst loss | — | 3–6 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.30 | +0.69 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.09 | -0.27 |
Common opponents: Florida Tropics Academy Pre — we 4–0; they 6–1. Tampa Bay United Pre — we 4–0; they 5–0. Florida Kraze Krush Pre — we 3–2; they 3–6.
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
Jacksonville FC Pre score 3.0/game — well above the league's 2.1.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Swing game — small margins
Win 60% / draw 18% / loss 23%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Jacksonville FC Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sporting SA JAX Pre – Jacksonville FC Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Draw 2.50 PPG |
1st— holds | 1st— holds | 1st— holds |
| Loss 2.25 PPG |
2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 | 2nd▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 38%
- 2nd 55%
- 3rd 6%
- 4th 1%
- 5th <1%
- 6th <1%
- 7th
- 8th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.
How the results connect
10 chains · 7 teams
Paths of results that link Sporting SA JAX Pre to Jacksonville FC Pre through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
9 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.14 · 6th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM |
Jacksonville FC Pre 4th · 3-0-3 · GD +7 |
Home Veterans Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
2–1 | 1.96 | 2.74 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 7 11:00 AM |
Florida Tropics Academy Pre 8th · 1-0-4 · GD -12 |
Away far trip
John McGee Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
3–0 | 2.62 | 2.72 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
Tampa Bay United Pre 6th · 2-0-3 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Monroe Middle School - TBU South |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
2–0 | 2.40 | 2.66 | Bank it |
| Sat Dec 5 02:00 PM |
Florida Premier FC PRE 3rd · 3-1-2 · GD -5 |
Home Losco Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 77% |
3–1 | 2.44 | 2.63 | Bank it |
| Sun Dec 6 10:30 AM |
SWFL PREMIER FC PRE 5th · 1-0-1 · GD -1 |
Home Losco Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–1 | 2.22 | 2.58 | Swing game |
| Sat Jan 9 10:30 AM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre 7th · 1-1-4 · GD -5 |
Away Veterans Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
2–0 | 2.28 | 2.55 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 11:30 AM |
Florida Kraze Krush Pre 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +14 |
Away far trip
Central Winds |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.23 | 2.42 | Upside |
| Fri Apr 2 10:00 AM |
Jacksonville FC Pre 4th · 3-0-3 · GD +7 |
Away Patton Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–1 | 1.66 | 2.35 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 03:30 PM |
SWFL PREMIER FC PRE 5th · 1-0-1 · GD -1 |
Away far trip
Lakewood Ranch Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.96 | 2.32 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 4 11:00 AM |
Florida Premier FC PRE 3rd · 3-1-2 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
Starkey Ranch District Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
2–1 | 2.22 | 2.31 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 10:00 AM |
Sporting SA JAX Pre 7th · 1-1-4 · GD -5 |
Home Veterans Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
2–0 | 2.48 | 2.32 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Sporting SA JAX Pre | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.09 | -0.14 | 100% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Jacksonville FC Pre · Sat Nov 7 at Florida Tropics Academy Pre · Sun Nov 8 at Tampa Bay United Pre See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Florida Kraze Krush Pre | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 9 | +14 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWWL | +0.20 | -0.45 | 100% | 1.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Dec 12 at Tampa Bay United Pre · Sun Dec 13 at Florida Tropics Academy Pre · Sat Mar 6 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Florida Premier FC PRE | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWW | +0.15 | +0.06 | 45% | 4.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE · Sat Dec 5 at Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sun Jan 10 vs Florida Tropics Academy Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Jacksonville FC Pre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | +7 | 9 | 1.50 | LWWLL | -0.27 | +0.07 | 87% | 3.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Jan 30 vs SWFL PREMIER FC PRE See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | SWFL PREMIER FC PRE | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | 1.50 | LW | +1.20 | -0.18 | 66% | 4.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Nov 7 vs Florida Premier FC PRE · Sun Dec 6 at Sporting SA JAX Pre See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Tampa Bay United Pre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 | 1.20 | LLLWW | -0.18 | +0.33 | 2% | 6.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre · Sun Dec 13 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Sporting SA JAX Pre | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | 0.67 | WLLLL | -0.53 | +0.61 | 1% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at SWFL PREMIER FC PRE · Sat Oct 31 vs Jacksonville FC Pre · Sat Jan 9 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre See all 8 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Florida Tropics Academy Pre | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 3 | 0.60 | LLWLL | -0.09 | +0.42 | 0% | 7.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 7 vs Sporting SA JAX Pre · Sat Dec 12 vs SWFL PREMIER FC PRE · Sun Dec 13 vs Florida Kraze Krush Pre See all 9 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.07 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.