Real Colorado Pre- Olympico
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Colorado GU12 · 8 teams · Real Colorado (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:30 PM
Highland Heritage Regional Park, HHRP West Field 03 ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.8 against · 1.47 expected points)
| Season so far | Real Colorado Pre- Olympico | Colorado Storm Central Pre |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-0 | 1-0-0 |
| Points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W | W |
| Biggest win | 2–1 at Colorado Storm Pre- North | 3–1 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United |
| Worst loss | — | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.29 | +0.43 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.13 | -0.49 |
Game plan
-
Respect their attack
Colorado Storm Central Pre score 3.0/game — well above the league's 1.9.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 42%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
What a win does
Colorado Storm Central Pre sit 2nd on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.A win moves us above Colorado Storm Central Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Colorado Storm Central Pre game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Real Colorado Pre- Olympico – Colorado Storm Central Pre) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 2.00 PPG |
3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 2 |
| Win 3.00 PPG |
2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 | 2nd▲ up 1 |
| Draw 2.00 PPG |
3rd— holds | 4th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.50 PPG |
4th▼ down 1 | 4th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 17%
- 2nd 28%
- 3rd 24%
- 4th 16%
- 5th 8%
- 6th 5%
- 7th 2%
- 8th 1%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Rush Pre- White | 3.00 (+0.00) | 1st (2.27) | Win next game |
| 2 | Colorado Storm Central Pre | 3.00 (+0.00) | 3rd (1.79) | Win next game |
Position over the season
2 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.09 · 7th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 12:30 PM |
Colorado Storm Central Pre 2nd · 1-0-0 · GD +2 |
Home Highland Heritage Regional Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
1–1 | 1.47 | 2.23 | Upside |
| Fri Nov 6 06:00 PM |
Colorado Storm South Pre 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Highland Heritage Regional Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.71 | 2.06 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 04:30 PM |
Colorado EDGE Pre- United 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -3 |
Home Highland Heritage Regional Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 59% |
2–1 | 1.96 | 2.03 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 22 01:30 PM |
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold 8th · 0-0-1 · GD -5 |
Home Highland Heritage Regional Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
3–1 | 2.26 | 2.08 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Colorado Rush Pre- White 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +6 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.85 | 1.87 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 11:00 AM |
Pride SC Pre- Copa 6th · 0-0-1 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Pride Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–1 | 1.68 | 1.85 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Rush Pre- White | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.80 | +0.08 | 98% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Pride SC Pre- Copa · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sun Nov 22 vs Colorado Storm South Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | Colorado Storm Central Pre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -0.49 | -0.01 | 81% | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold · Sun Nov 1 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico · Sun Nov 15 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Real Colorado Pre- Olympico | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | W | +0.13 | -0.09 | 85% | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Central Pre · Fri Nov 6 vs Colorado Storm South Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Colorado Storm Pre- North | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | -0.05 | -0.01 | 54% | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White · Sat Dec 5 at Colorado Storm Central Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Colorado Storm South Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Sun Oct 18 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa · Sun Nov 1 at Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Fri Nov 6 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Pride SC Pre- Copa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.13 | +0.04 | 16% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at Colorado Storm South Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Central Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | Colorado EDGE Pre- United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.72 | -0.22 | 12% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm South Pre · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico · Sun Nov 22 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +1.06 | -0.01 | 6% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Colorado Storm Central Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm South Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.93 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.