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Colorado Storm Central Pre

Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Colorado GU12 · 8 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 9 hours ago.
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2nd
1-0-0 record · 1 played
3.00 points per game
+2 goal diff · 3–1
Wlast 1
81% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.1
-0.49 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:30 PM

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Colorado Storm Central Pre
2nd · 3.00 PPG
at

Highland Heritage Regional Park, HHRP West Field 03 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.9 against · 1.32 expected points)

Season so farColorado Storm Central PreReal Colorado Pre- Olympico
Position2nd3rd
Record (W-D-L)1-0-01-0-0
Points per game3.003.00
Goals for / game3.02.0
Goals against / game1.01.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)WW
Biggest win3–1 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United2–1 at Colorado Storm Pre- North
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.43+0.29
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.49+0.13

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 37%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:30 PM at Highland Heritage Regional Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Colorado Rush Pre- White sit 1st on 3.00 PPG; we are on 3.00.

    A win moves us above Colorado Rush Pre- White on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Real Colorado Pre- Olympico game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm Central Pre – Real Colorado Pre- Olympico) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.00 PPG
2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 2
Win
3.00 PPG
2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.00 PPG
2nd— holds 3rd▼ down 1 4th▼ down 2
Loss
1.50 PPG
4th▼ down 2 4th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 2nd even if every rival loses, and as low as 4th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

15% finish 1st
81% top 4
19% below the top 4
3.1 average finish
  1. 1st 15%
  2. 2nd 26%
  3. 3rd 22%
  4. 4th 18%
  5. 5th 10%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 2%
  8. 8th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 3.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Colorado Rush Pre- White 3.00 (+0.00) 1st (2.27) Win next game

Position over the season

2 game days

Not enough game days yet to draw a line.

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 3rd hardest of 8

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 20
TBD
no score posted
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold
8th · 0-0-1 · GD -5
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
3–1 2.09 2.54 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
12:30 PM
Real Colorado Pre- Olympico
3rd · 1-0-0 · GD +1
Away far trip
Highland Heritage Regional Park
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.32 2.14 Upside
Sun Nov 15
10:45 AM
Pride SC Pre- Copa
6th · 0-0-1 · GD -2
Home
Aurora Sports Park
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.04 2.11 Swing game
Sat Dec 5
12:30 PM
Colorado Storm Pre- North
4th · 1-0-1 · GD +1
Home
Aurora Sports Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%
2–1 1.71 2.03 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
11:00 AM
Colorado Storm South Pre
5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0
Away far trip
Gates South Soccer Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–1 1.50 1.94 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Colorado Rush Pre- White
1st · 2-0-0 · GD +6
Away
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–2 0.89 1.79 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Colorado Rush Pre- White 2200 71+6 63.00 WW -0.80 +0.08 98% 1.7
2 Colorado Storm Central Pre 1100 31+2 33.00 W -0.49 -0.01 81% 3.1
3 Real Colorado Pre- Olympico 1100 21+1 33.00 W +0.13 -0.09 85% 3.0
4 Colorado Storm Pre- North 2101 43+1 31.50 WL -0.05 -0.01 54% 4.3
5 Colorado Storm South Pre 0000 00+0 00.00 — -0.01 ——
6 Pride SC Pre- Copa 1001 13-2 00.00 L +0.13 +0.04 16% 6.1
7 Colorado EDGE Pre- United 2002 14-3 00.00 LL +0.72 -0.22 12% 6.4
8 Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold 1001 16-5 00.00 L +1.06 -0.01 6% 6.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.93 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.