Colorado Storm Pre- North
Pre-ECNL Girls · Pre- Colorado GU12 · 8 teams · Colorado Storm (all teams)
Next game — Sun Nov 1, 12:00 PM
Fort Collins Soccer Complex, FCSC #8 ↗ far trip
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.7 for, 1.8 against · 1.90 expected points)
| Season so far | Colorado Storm Pre- North | Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-1 | 0-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.5 | 6.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L W | L |
| Biggest win | 3–1 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa | — |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Real Colorado Pre- Olympico | 1–6 at Colorado Rush Pre- White |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.13 | -1.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.05 | +1.06 |
Game plan
-
They leak goals — be greedy
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold concede 6.0/game; worst result 1–6 at Colorado Rush Pre- White.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 57% / draw 18% / loss 25%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
-
Away game
Kickoff 12:00 PM at Fort Collins Soccer Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Colorado Storm Pre- North – Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 3 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.00 PPG |
4th— holds | 2nd▲ up 2 | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Win 2.00 PPG |
4th— holds | 2nd▲ up 2 | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.33 PPG |
4th— holds | 4th— holds | 6th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.00 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 7th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 3%
- 2nd 10%
- 3rd 17%
- 4th 23%
- 5th 23%
- 6th 13%
- 7th 7%
- 8th 3%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 5 remaining known games (max 2.57 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colorado Rush Pre- White | 3.00 (+1.50) | 1st (2.27) | 18 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection |
| 2 | Colorado Storm Central Pre | 3.00 (+1.50) | 3rd (1.79) | 18 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection |
| 3 | Real Colorado Pre- Olympico | 3.00 (+1.50) | 2nd (1.85) | 18 of 15 pts to pass their current pace, 10 for their projection |
Position over the season
2 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.01 · 6th hardest of 8
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Nov 1 12:00 PM |
Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold 8th · 0-0-1 · GD -5 |
Away far trip
Fort Collins Soccer Complex |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.90 | 1.63 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 15 10:00 AM |
Colorado Rush Pre- White 1st · 2-0-0 · GD +6 |
Home Northwest Open Spaces |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
1–2 | 1.01 | 1.48 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 5 12:30 PM |
Colorado Storm Central Pre 2nd · 1-0-0 · GD +2 |
Away far trip
Aurora Sports Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.09 | 1.40 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 09:00 AM |
Colorado Storm South Pre 5th · 0-0-0 · GD +0 |
Home Northwest Open Spaces |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–1 | 1.61 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 10:30 AM |
Colorado EDGE Pre- United 7th · 0-0-2 · GD -3 |
Away far trip
Long Lake Regional Park · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
1–1 | 1.63 | 1.46 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Colorado Rush Pre- White | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -0.80 | +0.08 | 98% | 1.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Pride SC Pre- Copa · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sun Nov 22 vs Colorado Storm South Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Colorado Storm Central Pre | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 3.00 | W | -0.49 | -0.01 | 81% | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold · Sun Nov 1 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico · Sun Nov 15 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Real Colorado Pre- Olympico | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 3.00 | W | +0.13 | -0.09 | 85% | 3.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Central Pre · Fri Nov 6 vs Colorado Storm South Pre · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado EDGE Pre- United See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Colorado Storm Pre- North | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | -0.05 | -0.01 | 54% | 4.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold · Sun Nov 15 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White · Sat Dec 5 at Colorado Storm Central Pre See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Colorado Storm South Pre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | 0 | 0.00 | — | -0.01 | — | — | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Sun Oct 18 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa · Sun Nov 1 at Colorado EDGE Pre- United · Fri Nov 6 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico See all 7 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Pride SC Pre- Copa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +0.13 | +0.04 | 16% | 6.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 18 at Colorado Storm South Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Rush Pre- White · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm Central Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Colorado EDGE Pre- United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | LL | +0.72 | -0.22 | 12% | 6.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm South Pre · Sun Nov 15 at Real Colorado Pre- Olympico · Sun Nov 22 vs Pride SC Pre- Copa See all 5 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Arsenal Colorado Pre- Gold | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 | 0.00 | L | +1.06 | -0.01 | 6% | 6.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 20 vs Colorado Storm Central Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs Colorado Storm Pre- North · Sun Nov 15 at Colorado Storm South Pre See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.93 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.