Sting CC Pre- STXCL Korenek
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- STXCL BU10 · 5 teams · Sting Corpus Christi (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:00 PM
Bill Witt Soccer Complex, Field 5A ↗
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–5 (expected goals 1.8 for, 6.0 against · 0.17 expected points)
| Season so far | Sting CC Pre- STXCL Korenek | Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-3 | 2-1-1 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 1.75 |
| Goals for / game | 0.7 | 6.0 |
| Goals against / game | 5.3 | 1.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L L | D W W L |
| Biggest win | — | 10–0 vs Sting CC Pre- STXCL Korenek |
| Worst loss | 0–10 at Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL | 2–3 vs Boerne SC Pre- STXCL Red |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -2.17 | +2.07 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.32 | -0.97 |
Already played this season: Sat Sep 19 0–10 at Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL (L)
Common opponents: Boerne SC Pre- STXCL Red — we 1–4; they 2–3, 9–1.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL score 6.0/game — well above the league's 3.0.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–10 at Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 4%; a draw (5%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting CC Pre- STXCL Korenek – Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 1 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.00 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Win 0.75 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Draw 0.25 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
5th— holds | 5th— holds | 5th— holds |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–5 loss we stay 5th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 7%
- 5th 93%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JSA FC Pre- STXCL | 2.00 (+2.00) | 2nd (1.98) | 18 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection |
| 2 | Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL | 1.75 (+1.75) | 1st (2.05) | 16 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 3 | San Antonio City SC Pre- STXCL Red | 1.75 (+1.75) | 3rd (1.67) | 16 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection |
| 4 | Boerne SC Pre- STXCL Red | 0.86 (+0.86) | 4th (0.93) | 8 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection |
How the results connect
5 chains · 4 teams
Paths of results that link Sting CC Pre- STXCL Korenek to Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.48 · 1st hardest of 5
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 04:00 PM |
Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL 2nd · 2-1-1 · GD +17 |
Home Bill Witt Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
1–5 | 0.17 | 0.04 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 24 10:00 AM |
San Antonio City SC Pre- STXCL Red 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +1 |
Home Bill Witt Soccer Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 15% |
1–3 | 0.56 | 0.15 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 04:00 PM |
JSA FC Pre- STXCL 1st · 3-1-1 · GD +8 |
Away ASP / CC |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–4 | 0.25 | 0.16 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM |
San Antonio City SC Pre- STXCL Red 3rd · 2-1-1 · GD +1 |
Away ASP / CC |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–4 | 0.36 | 0.19 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 10:00 AM |
JSA FC Pre- STXCL 1st · 3-1-1 · GD +8 |
Home ASP / CC |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
1–4 | 0.41 | 0.22 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 02:30 PM |
Boerne SC Pre- STXCL Red 4th · 2-0-5 · GD -20 |
Home ASP / CC |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
2–2 | 1.28 | 0.34 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | JSA FC Pre- STXCL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 10 | 2.00 | WLWWD | -0.07 | -0.49 | 100% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at San Antonio City SC Pre- STXCL Red · Sun Nov 1 vs Sting CC Pre- STXCL Korenek · Sat Nov 14 at Sting CC Pre- STXCL Korenek See all 4 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 7 | +17 | 7 | 1.75 | LWWD | -0.97 | -0.12 | 100% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at San Antonio City SC Pre- STXCL Red · Sat Oct 24 at Sting CC Pre- STXCL Korenek · Sat Oct 31 vs Central Texas Coyotes FC Pre- STXCL See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | San Antonio City SC Pre- STXCL Red | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 7 | 1.75 | WWD | -0.30 | -0.13 | 100% | 2.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL · Sat Oct 24 at Sting CC Pre- STXCL Korenek · Sat Oct 31 vs JSA FC Pre- STXCL See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Boerne SC Pre- STXCL Red | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 6 | 0.86 | WLWLL | +0.66 | -0.93 | 93% | 4.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Nov 14 vs San Antonio City SC Pre- STXCL Red · Sun Nov 15 at Sting CC Pre- STXCL Korenek See all 2 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sting CC Pre- STXCL Korenek | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.32 | +0.48 | 7% | 4.9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Premier Futbol Academy Pre- STXCL · Sat Oct 24 vs San Antonio City SC Pre- STXCL Red · Sun Nov 1 at JSA FC Pre- STXCL See all 6 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.99 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.