TableChase Clubs

Manta Pre

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Ohio Valley BU12 (2014-2015) 9v9 · 9 teams · Manta United Soccer Club (all teams)

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9th
0-1-6 record · 7 played
0.14 points per game
-23 goal diff · 6–29
LLLDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.5
+0.29 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:15 AM

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Manta Pre
9th · 0.14 PPG
at

Cleveland United Complex, Field 4 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.0 for, 3.1 against · 0.38 expected points)

Season so farManta PreCleveland Force Pre- White
Position9th5th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-63-1-2
Points per game0.141.67
Goals for / game0.92.0
Goals against / game4.11.7
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless33
Form (recent first)L D L L LW L D W L
Biggest win—5–2 vs Kings Hammer SC Columbus
Worst loss0–9 at Cleveland Force Pre- Blue0–4 at Cleveland Force Pre- Blue
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.12+0.14
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.29-0.07

Common opponents: Grasshoppers FC Teal — we 3–6; they 0–0. Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black — we 0–2; they 3–0. North FC Pre- East — we 1–3; they 4–1. Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre — we 1–5; they 0–3. Kings Hammer SC Columbus — we 1–1; they 5–2. Cleveland Force Pre- Blue — we 0–9; they 0–4.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 vs Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black, 0–3 at WNY Flash Pre- I, 0–9 at Cleveland Force Pre- Blue.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 9%; a draw (12%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:15 AM at Cleveland United Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Kings Hammer SC Columbus sit 8th on 0.17 PPG; we are on 0.14.

    A point moves us above Kings Hammer SC Columbus on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Cleveland Force Pre- White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Manta Pre – Cleveland Force Pre- White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.13 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds
Win
0.50 PPG
7th▲ up 2 7th▲ up 2 9th— holds
Draw
0.25 PPG
8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 9th— holds
Loss
0.13 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 9th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–3 loss we finish as high as 8th if every rival drops points, and as low as 9th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
8.5 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 39%
  9. 9th 57%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 0.50 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Cleveland Force Pre- Blue 2.71 (+2.57) 1st (2.64) 21 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 WNY Flash Pre- I 2.50 (+2.36) 2nd (2.22) 19 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Grasshoppers FC Teal 2.00 (+1.86) 3rd (2.09) 15 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre 1.88 (+1.74) 4th (1.88) 15 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Cleveland Force Pre- White 1.67 (+1.53) 5th (1.66) 13 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black 1.50 (+1.36) 6th (1.50) 11 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 North FC Pre- East 0.43 (+0.29) 7th (0.55) A point next game
8 Kings Hammer SC Columbus 0.17 (+0.03) 8th (0.33) Already ahead

How the results connect

37 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Manta Pre to Cleveland Force Pre- White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us
3 even
29 favour them
-3.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–5 3–0 1–1 2–5 3–6 0–0 0–9 4–0 1–3 1–4 0–2 0–3 7–0 5–0 1–2 6–1 1–5 0–3 2–1 Manta Pre 9th Pittsburgh Riverhou… 4th Kings Hammer SC Col… 8th Grasshoppers FC Teal 3rd Cleveland Force Pre… 1st North FC Pre- East 7th Grasshoppers FC Pre… 6th WNY Flash Pre- I 2nd Cleveland Force Pre… 5th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 5th 9th Aug 22 Sep 1 Sep 19 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.14 · 3rd hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
10:15 AM
Cleveland Force Pre- White
5th · 3-1-2 · GD +2
Away far trip
Cleveland United Complex
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–3 0.38 0.17 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Cleveland Force Pre- Blue 7610 445+39 192.71 WDWWW -0.82 +1.83 100% 1.1
2 WNY Flash Pre- I 6501 245+19 152.50 WWWLW -0.87 +1.80 100% 2.3
3 Grasshoppers FC Teal 7421 1811+7 142.00 LDDWW +0.40 -3.10 98% 2.9
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre 8503 2413+11 151.88 WLLWW -0.08 — 84% 4.1
5 Cleveland Force Pre- White 6312 1210+2 101.67 LWDLW -0.07 -0.14 18% 4.8
6 Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black 8404 2219+3 121.50 LLLLW -0.09 — 0% 5.8
7 North FC Pre- East 7106 734-27 30.43 WLLLL +0.88 -3.10 0% 7.5
8 Kings Hammer SC Columbus 6015 637-31 10.17 LLLDL +0.63 -0.82 0% 8.0
9 Manta Pre 7016 629-23 10.14 LLLDL +0.29 +0.14 0% 8.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.54 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.