TableChase Clubs

Grasshoppers FC Teal

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- Ohio Valley BU12 (2014-2015) 9v9 · 9 teams · Grasshoppers FC (all teams)

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3rd
4-2-1 record · 7 played
2.00 points per game
+7 goal diff · 18–11
LDDWWlast 5
98% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.9
+0.40 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:00 PM

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Grasshoppers FC Teal
3rd · 2.00 PPG
at
Kings Hammer SC Columbus
8th · 0.17 PPG

Kilbourne Run Sports Park- 4625 Westerville Rd Col, Field 4A ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.7 for, 1.3 against · 2.73 expected points)

Season so farGrasshoppers FC TealKings Hammer SC Columbus
Position3rd8th
Record (W-D-L)4-2-10-1-5
Points per game2.000.17
Goals for / game2.61.0
Goals against / game1.66.2
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)W W D D LL D L L L
Biggest win6–3 at Manta Pre—
Worst loss2–3 at Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black0–8 at Cleveland Force Pre- Blue
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.81-3.10
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.40+0.63

Common opponents: Manta Pre — we 6–3; they 1–1. Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black — we 2–3; they 1–9. Cleveland Force Pre- Blue — we 2–2; they 0–8. Cleveland Force Pre- White — we 0–0; they 2–5. Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre — we 2–0; they 1–5. WNY Flash Pre- I — we 2–1; they 1–9.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    Kings Hammer SC Columbus average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 1 of 6.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Kings Hammer SC Columbus concede 6.2/game; worst result 0–8 at Cleveland Force Pre- Blue.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at Cleveland Force Pre- White.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 89% chance; likely score 4–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at Kilbourne Run Sports Park- 4625 Westerville Rd Col.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Kings Hammer SC Columbus game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Grasshoppers FC Teal – Kings Hammer SC Columbus) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 2 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.13 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Win
2.13 PPG		 3rd— holds 3rd— holds 3rd— holds
Draw
1.88 PPG		 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Loss
1.75 PPG		 4th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 4–1 win we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
98% top 4
2% below the top 4
2.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd 25%
  3. 3rd 64%
  4. 4th 9%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 1 remaining known games (max 2.13 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Cleveland Force Pre- Blue 2.71 (+0.71) 1st (2.64) 8 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 8 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 WNY Flash Pre- I 2.50 (+0.50) 2nd (2.22) 6 of 3 pts to pass their current pace, 4 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule

How the results connect

36 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Grasshoppers FC Teal to Kings Hammer SC Columbus through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

34 favour us
2 favour them
+5.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–0 5–2 6–3 1–1 2–0 5–1 2–3 9–1 2–2 8–0 2–1 9–1 0–3 2–0 0–3 4–2 0–7 1–6 1–2 Grasshoppers FC Teal 3rd Cleveland Force Pre… 5th Manta Pre 9th Pittsburgh Riverhou… 4th Grasshoppers FC Pre… 6th Cleveland Force Pre… 1st WNY Flash Pre- I 2nd North FC Pre- East 7th Kings Hammer SC Col… 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 5th 9th Aug 22 Sep 1 Sep 19 Oct 4 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -3.10 · 6th hardest of 7

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
12:00 PM		 Kings Hammer SC Columbus
8th · 0-1-5 · GD -31		 Away far trip
Kilbourne Run Sports Park- 4625 Westerville Rd Col		 ●○○○○ Favorable
89%		 4–1 2.73 2.09 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Cleveland Force Pre- Blue 7610 445+39 192.71 WDWWW -0.82 +1.83 100% 1.1
2 WNY Flash Pre- I 6501 245+19 152.50 WWWLW -0.87 +1.80 100% 2.3
3 Grasshoppers FC Teal 7421 1811+7 142.00 LDDWW +0.40 -3.10 98% 2.9
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds Pre 8503 2413+11 151.88 WLLWW -0.08 — 86% 4.0
5 Cleveland Force Pre- White 6312 1210+2 101.67 LWDLW -0.07 -0.14 17% 4.9
6 Grasshoppers FC Pre- Black 8404 2219+3 121.50 LLLLW -0.09 — 0% 5.8
7 North FC Pre- East 7106 734-27 30.43 WLLLL +0.88 -3.10 0% 7.5
8 Kings Hammer SC Columbus 6015 637-31 10.17 LLLDL +0.63 -0.82 0% 8.0
9 Manta Pre 7016 629-23 10.14 LLLDL +0.29 +0.14 0% 8.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.54 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.